Natalie Jackson
nataliej.bsky.social
Natalie Jackson
@nataliej.bsky.social
Opinions are my own. Pollster, columnist for National Journal, polsci PhD. Rural TX native, WTAMU & OU alum.
This chart from
@pewresearch.org intrigued me.

For my @nationaljournal.com column this week, I mused on the disconnect between president and personal lives: Maybe the political news they hear doesn't seem relevant to their daily lives?

Read more here: www.nationaljournal.com/s/729049/ame...
July 15, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Public opinion for strikes in Iran will never look like it did before the Iraq war. We don't live in that world anymore. Whose idea it is and how we ask is what matters.

There is an interesting age divide among Republicans, though.

@nationaljournal.com

www.nationaljournal.com/s/728859/opi...
June 24, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Support-oppose for strikes in Iran:
YouGov 35-46 (-11)
Ipsos 36-45 (-9)
CNN 44-56 (-12)

What's the difference? CNN doesn't have an explicit DK option. If you look at nets, it's basically the same result across all three polls - opposition outpaces support by 9-12 pts.
June 24, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Global confidence in Trump:

Canada: 22%
Mexico: 8%

... I'd imagine Canadians and Mexicans feel roughly the same if you adjust for Canadian politeness.
June 11, 2025 at 6:48 PM
If you're not reading everything @dellavolpe.bsky.social
writes on gen z, you're doing it wrong.

We have to look at why Musk's style is attractive to people - this is a good summary.

dellavolpe.substack.com/p/gen-zs-new...
February 9, 2025 at 9:55 PM
.@johnsides.bsky.social
writes about new research showing that people are really not moving around for politics - it's the places they live changing.

(via @goodauth.bsky.social newsletter)
February 9, 2025 at 9:18 PM
Normally I'd just post the link to this piece on polling in 2024 and the future that I was interviewed for, but I do like that Nate Silver said we are "some of America's best pollsters," so here's the screenshot of that:
January 17, 2025 at 1:03 AM
The GOP "mega-bill" has two big intersecting challenges: herding the cats, and political time.

The longer they take to herd the cats, the more political time becomes a problem.

my latest at
@nationaljournal.com
www.nationaljournal.com/s/727156/the...
January 7, 2025 at 8:58 PM
I'm watching today as a significant indicator of how the year will go for Republicans.

As I wrote in
@nationaljournal.com
earlier this week:
January 3, 2025 at 3:37 PM
The race is tighter than it was a month ago. Deal with it and do your "something" to prevent that rather than sticking your head in the sand.
October 13, 2024 at 2:27 PM