The effect to risk could be is additive to the degree that the tech can be used to offload responsibility (here moral) on to it. It becomes a cheat code to doing things that would otherwise be morally reprehensible or risky. People do this when given the option papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

The SuperCERC bus! A clear improvement over the CERC motorcycle. lol

They should make the model public. Democratize executive decrees!

Selective use of preregistration invalidates the approach! Lol

right I see. The pivot requirement comes from the relative power imbalance. I guess being on the hiring committee helps get someone that comes already aligned, but that's a relatively weak angle and has its own issues.

curious to know your view on the value of collaboration. Here, it seems you are saying that it demands pivoting. My primary collaboration model is where there is a problem of mutual interest that really demands both skill sets to address well.

Make Bald-Faced Lying Bad Again!

👍

Now do climate.

Seriously tho, why do people that follow the logic above, especially sci literate AGI people, not apply the same logic to the climate crisis? It's absent from basically all panel discussion answers to "What do you think the main challenges in your field will be in 50 years"

Especially because a single sample tells you so much. We use single samples in effective Bayesianish heuristics all the time in everyday decision making. To deny their benefit is anti-scientific.

Another model is to project a pragmatic view that attracts more options, but build in structure to your incentives to keep you from selling out. Tony Wilson shows us the way: www.youtube.com/watch?v=fwkz...

trying to parse this. What does the "without focusing on intervening on particular nodes." mean? You mean other system level interventions other than structure?

The counterview I find compelling is optimality as a crucial feature of methodology: you carefully pick as objects of study behaviours that are very likely to have strong selection pressure, thereby taking on forms that you can produce as solutions. How else could you make predictions?