Kris Abdelmessih
moontower.bsky.social
Kris Abdelmessih
@moontower.bsky.social
🌙Join 25k readers: http://moontower.substack.com
👽Option analytics moontower.ai
🎲Boardgames
🎸Guitars

Stay groovy
☮️
Is BTC something that you DCA or is it something where you are a buyer at 80k and seller at 60k by design?

Probably something to think about now in case the trap door opens
two men are standing next to each other in a dark room and talking .
ALT: two men are standing next to each other in a dark room and talking .
media.tenor.com
November 21, 2025 at 6:08 AM
Thursday moontower post is up...
moontower.substack.com/p/positive-d...

From the conclusion...
November 20, 2025 at 3:59 PM
Moontower Munchies this am...

what the heck is a tradoooor? a uselessly broad term

Some great insights from Euan and with my own personal commentary here and there

moontower.substack.com/p/trader-is-...

refs:

@sinclaireuan.bsky.social
"trader" is a uselessly broad term
Moontower Munchies #133
moontower.substack.com
November 19, 2025 at 10:45 PM
FYI for the option users and traders on here...moontower has its only sale of the year going on for the moontower.ai analytics subscriptions (20% off)

This is some love from Andrew Mack
November 18, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Foreign ETF's getting hit relative to their vols. Not fx driven
November 18, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Moontower #293

🌙What if AI is already at the "deployment" stage?
🌙the arbitrage reflex is more profitable than the opinion reflex

moontower.substack.com/p/an-arbitra...
an arbitrageable violation of how return works
Moontower #293
moontower.substack.com
November 16, 2025 at 5:30 PM
I've been writing a lot lately about early exercise and still have a bit more to share on the topic but this story from the silver options pit is fun and also a good chance to test your understanding

the art of paranoia

moontowermeta.com/the-art-of-p...
a man is sitting in the driver 's seat of a car and holding the steering wheel .
ALT: a man is sitting in the driver 's seat of a car and holding the steering wheel .
media.tenor.com
November 13, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Today's moontower post was a tutorial on the Binomial Option model which is commonly used to for Amercian sttyle options (I wrote about early exercise and optimal early exercise last week)

moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
Moontower Binomial Tree Explainer
Friends,
moontower.substack.com
November 13, 2025 at 6:49 PM
cockpit view fwiw
November 13, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Moontower Munchies today:

🌙Introducing Moontower.ai's new TRADE IDEAS tool
🌙A rare interview from Hudson River Trading

moontower.substack.com/p/automation

refs:
@weisenthal.bsky.social
@tracyalloway.bsky.social
@paleologo.bsky.social
Automation
Moontower Munchies #132
moontower.substack.com
November 12, 2025 at 5:46 PM
I shared a listicle post by @sashac.bsky.social that I liked yesterday. My favorite item on it was #14.

Decided to make a vibe code opportunity out of it and let you be able to vote on which items you liked best.

Go vote:

sasha.moontowermeta.com
50 Things Sasha Knows - Voting
sasha.moontowermeta.com
November 10, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Moontower #292

🌙which of these 50 truths feels true to YOU?
🌙Using AI to make apps
🌙Deworsification?

moontower.substack.com/p/which-of-t...

refs:
@sashac.bsky.social
which of these 50 truths feels true to YOU?
Moontower #292
moontower.substack.com
November 9, 2025 at 9:42 PM
American options are not vanilla

Welcome dorks. We dive into early exercise.

moontower.substack.com/p/american-o...
American options are not vanilla
Friends,
moontower.substack.com
November 6, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Moontower Wednesday

The best explanation I've seen articulated on why poker is used to train traders

moontower.substack.com/p/why-poker-...
why poker is used to train traders
Moontower Munchies #131
moontower.substack.com
November 5, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Moontower #291

🌙The Sauna Overfit
🌙Prediction market mania
🌙More traders to learn from

refs:
@davidepstein.bsky.social
@jrubano.bsky.social

moontower.substack.com/p/betting-on...
Betting on the truth-value of what politicians say
Moontower #291
moontower.substack.com
November 2, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Sharing a response to this execution question:

Is it a good idea to construct a synthetic put by shorting stock and buying cheap calls instead of buying a 60d put?
November 1, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Special Halloween edition Moontower

moontower.substack.com/p/spooky-jef...
October 31, 2025 at 5:32 PM
🌙
October 30, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Today's post is both fun and extremely practical

🌙It's fun because it calls on you to apply multiple option and markets concepts

🌙 It's practical because it's in service of getting better option executions.

The post starts with a user question from Discord

moontower.substack.com/p/deducing-t...
October 30, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Sharing here for people interested in options. I hear that material like this is "hard to find"

The talk was zero prep (although the sheet took a day to make so i guess that's prep) so pardon my meandering asides

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qro2...
Years worth of option education in under 90 minutes
YouTube video by Moontower AI
www.youtube.com
February 8, 2025 at 4:47 PM
munchies #93

🌙the "nastiest, hardest problem in finance"
🌙you can ONLY eat risk-adjusted returns

moontower.substack.com/p/you-can-on...
you can ONLY eat risk-adjusted returns
Moontower Munchies #93
moontower.substack.com
January 8, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Today was the last issue of moontower for 2024. For the 5th year in a row I say the same thing

moontower.substack.com/p/wrapping-2...
December 22, 2024 at 7:09 PM
Moontower today...

🌙Useful things including a productivity hack that actually works.

🌙"A mistake repeated more than once is a decision"

moontower.substack.com/p/a-mistake-...

refs:

@jposhaughnessy.bsky.social
"a mistake repeated more than once is a decision"
Moontower Munchies #92
moontower.substack.com
December 18, 2024 at 3:32 PM
Market impact question for option traders

"if a tree falls in the forest..."

youtu.be/JGPQME_EKVM
"If a tree falls in a forest..." -- Moontower riffs on market impact
YouTube video by Moontower AI
youtu.be
December 17, 2024 at 8:35 PM
Moontower #252

🌙Another 🔥 gift guide
🌙2 ideas for traders to get back to basics
🌙A tax trend you will keep hearing more about
🌙Oil trading brain damage

🎁Today is the last day to get a discount on moontowerai plans🎁

moontower.substack.com/p/im-buying-...
“I’m buying this for X, because that is Y bid”
Moontower #252
moontower.substack.com
December 15, 2024 at 5:28 PM