Kris Abdelmessih
@moontower.bsky.social
🌙Join 25k readers: http://moontower.substack.com
👽Option analytics moontower.ai
🎲Boardgames
🎸Guitars
Stay groovy
☮️
👽Option analytics moontower.ai
🎲Boardgames
🎸Guitars
Stay groovy
☮️
Moontower Munchies
🌙Why optimism is hard
🌙Dunning-Kruger detector
refs:
@strangeloopcanon.com
moontower.substack.com/p/dunning-kr...
🌙Why optimism is hard
🌙Dunning-Kruger detector
refs:
@strangeloopcanon.com
moontower.substack.com/p/dunning-kr...
Dunning-Kruger detector
Moontower Munchies #140
moontower.substack.com
January 28, 2026 at 6:59 PM
Moontower Munchies
🌙Why optimism is hard
🌙Dunning-Kruger detector
refs:
@strangeloopcanon.com
moontower.substack.com/p/dunning-kr...
🌙Why optimism is hard
🌙Dunning-Kruger detector
refs:
@strangeloopcanon.com
moontower.substack.com/p/dunning-kr...
Moontower #300
🌙AI projects I'm working on
🌙Investment Beginnings Class
moontower.substack.com/p/innovators...
🌙AI projects I'm working on
🌙Investment Beginnings Class
moontower.substack.com/p/innovators...
innovator’s dilemma in homine
Moontower #300
moontower.substack.com
January 25, 2026 at 4:10 PM
Moontower #300
🌙AI projects I'm working on
🌙Investment Beginnings Class
moontower.substack.com/p/innovators...
🌙AI projects I'm working on
🌙Investment Beginnings Class
moontower.substack.com/p/innovators...
Today's moontower:
embedding spot-vol correlation in option deltas
moontower.substack.com/p/embedding-...
embedding spot-vol correlation in option deltas
moontower.substack.com/p/embedding-...
embedding spot-vol correlation in option deltas
Friends,
moontower.substack.com
January 15, 2026 at 6:52 PM
Today's moontower:
embedding spot-vol correlation in option deltas
moontower.substack.com/p/embedding-...
embedding spot-vol correlation in option deltas
moontower.substack.com/p/embedding-...
Got distracted and published an option post on a Wednesday instead of a Thursday.
Used $HOOD to talk about earnings volatility
moontower.substack.com/p/hood-a-cas...
Used $HOOD to talk about earnings volatility
moontower.substack.com/p/hood-a-cas...
HOOD: A Case Study in “Renting the Straddle”
Moontower Munchies #139
moontower.substack.com
January 14, 2026 at 4:07 PM
Got distracted and published an option post on a Wednesday instead of a Thursday.
Used $HOOD to talk about earnings volatility
moontower.substack.com/p/hood-a-cas...
Used $HOOD to talk about earnings volatility
moontower.substack.com/p/hood-a-cas...
January 13, 2026 at 4:09 AM
Moontower
🌙work is going to feel very different by next Christmas
🌙 on trading games and family games
refs:
moontower.substack.com/p/work-is-go...
🌙work is going to feel very different by next Christmas
🌙 on trading games and family games
refs:
moontower.substack.com/p/work-is-go...
work is going to feel very different by next Christmas
Moontower #298
moontower.substack.com
January 11, 2026 at 4:41 PM
Moontower
🌙work is going to feel very different by next Christmas
🌙 on trading games and family games
refs:
moontower.substack.com/p/work-is-go...
🌙work is going to feel very different by next Christmas
🌙 on trading games and family games
refs:
moontower.substack.com/p/work-is-go...
For the fun of it...deployed a version of @investingidiocy.bsky.social
simulator with the ability to change design themes
trading-sim2.moontowermeta.com
simulator with the ability to change design themes
trading-sim2.moontowermeta.com
January 10, 2026 at 6:56 PM
For the fun of it...deployed a version of @investingidiocy.bsky.social
simulator with the ability to change design themes
trading-sim2.moontowermeta.com
simulator with the ability to change design themes
trading-sim2.moontowermeta.com
Today's Moontower
🌙Vol orders and option execution
🌙Highlighting @investingidiocy.bsky.social awesome post about Raen and funded trader challenges. He posted his code so I took the liberty:
trading-sim.moontowermeta.com
Full letter:
moontower.substack.com/p/vol-orders...
🌙Vol orders and option execution
🌙Highlighting @investingidiocy.bsky.social awesome post about Raen and funded trader challenges. He posted his code so I took the liberty:
trading-sim.moontowermeta.com
Full letter:
moontower.substack.com/p/vol-orders...
January 8, 2026 at 5:13 PM
Today's Moontower
🌙Vol orders and option execution
🌙Highlighting @investingidiocy.bsky.social awesome post about Raen and funded trader challenges. He posted his code so I took the liberty:
trading-sim.moontowermeta.com
Full letter:
moontower.substack.com/p/vol-orders...
🌙Vol orders and option execution
🌙Highlighting @investingidiocy.bsky.social awesome post about Raen and funded trader challenges. He posted his code so I took the liberty:
trading-sim.moontowermeta.com
Full letter:
moontower.substack.com/p/vol-orders...
Picking up like 500 bot followers a day here wtf
December 23, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Picking up like 500 bot followers a day here wtf
Doin some maintenance...filed all YT vids into playlists if interested
www.youtube.com/@moontower-a...
www.youtube.com/@moontower-a...
Moontower AI
This is the official moontower.ai YouTube page.
moontower.ai is an option analytics suite with a "point of view". The tools follow a logical progression from trade prospecting to execution using a "v...
www.youtube.com
December 22, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Doin some maintenance...filed all YT vids into playlists if interested
www.youtube.com/@moontower-a...
www.youtube.com/@moontower-a...
Moontower Wrapped 2025
A smattering of recs & personal thoughts.
May your holidays be cozy, hilarious, and filled with peace & love.
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
A smattering of recs & personal thoughts.
May your holidays be cozy, hilarious, and filled with peace & love.
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
Moontower Wrapped 2025
Moontower #297
moontower.substack.com
December 21, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Moontower Wrapped 2025
A smattering of recs & personal thoughts.
May your holidays be cozy, hilarious, and filled with peace & love.
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
A smattering of recs & personal thoughts.
May your holidays be cozy, hilarious, and filled with peace & love.
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
Reposted by Kris Abdelmessih
WHY YOUNG PEOPLE ARE BETTING ON EVERYTHING
In today’s Wall Street Journal, I wrote about how an economy with fewer stable paths is pushing young people toward low probability, high payoff bets in search of upside - even though this is not what people actually want.
In today’s Wall Street Journal, I wrote about how an economy with fewer stable paths is pushing young people toward low probability, high payoff bets in search of upside - even though this is not what people actually want.
December 19, 2025 at 7:31 PM
WHY YOUNG PEOPLE ARE BETTING ON EVERYTHING
In today’s Wall Street Journal, I wrote about how an economy with fewer stable paths is pushing young people toward low probability, high payoff bets in search of upside - even though this is not what people actually want.
In today’s Wall Street Journal, I wrote about how an economy with fewer stable paths is pushing young people toward low probability, high payoff bets in search of upside - even though this is not what people actually want.
Moontower Survey Results w/ some commentary...
Been a few years since I did a reader survey to learn about YOU
Thanks to all those who responded!
One question that is always fun because it highlights framing is "how does reading MT make you feel?"
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
Been a few years since I did a reader survey to learn about YOU
Thanks to all those who responded!
One question that is always fun because it highlights framing is "how does reading MT make you feel?"
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
Moontower Survey Results
Friends,
moontower.substack.com
December 19, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Moontower Survey Results w/ some commentary...
Been a few years since I did a reader survey to learn about YOU
Thanks to all those who responded!
One question that is always fun because it highlights framing is "how does reading MT make you feel?"
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
Been a few years since I did a reader survey to learn about YOU
Thanks to all those who responded!
One question that is always fun because it highlights framing is "how does reading MT make you feel?"
moontower.substack.com/p/moontower-...
Moontower today
(sigh) I've managed to go a long time without writing about 0DTEs directly. But I got lured in by a trade a mutual shared last month.
If you insist on trading 0DTE hopefully this helps
moontower.substack.com/p/pricing-0d...
(sigh) I've managed to go a long time without writing about 0DTEs directly. But I got lured in by a trade a mutual shared last month.
If you insist on trading 0DTE hopefully this helps
moontower.substack.com/p/pricing-0d...
Pricing 0DTEs
Friends,
moontower.substack.com
December 18, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Moontower today
(sigh) I've managed to go a long time without writing about 0DTEs directly. But I got lured in by a trade a mutual shared last month.
If you insist on trading 0DTE hopefully this helps
moontower.substack.com/p/pricing-0d...
(sigh) I've managed to go a long time without writing about 0DTEs directly. But I got lured in by a trade a mutual shared last month.
If you insist on trading 0DTE hopefully this helps
moontower.substack.com/p/pricing-0d...
Moontower today...
1. The short answer is – revolutions don’t work the way you think. Revolutions aren’t initiated by the poor against the rich. They are crusades launched by the top 2% against the top 1%. -- Manu Joseph
2. MGTN implied correlation?
moontower.substack.com/p/the-poor-a...
1. The short answer is – revolutions don’t work the way you think. Revolutions aren’t initiated by the poor against the rich. They are crusades launched by the top 2% against the top 1%. -- Manu Joseph
2. MGTN implied correlation?
moontower.substack.com/p/the-poor-a...
the poor and the magnificent
Moontower Munchies #137
moontower.substack.com
December 17, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Moontower today...
1. The short answer is – revolutions don’t work the way you think. Revolutions aren’t initiated by the poor against the rich. They are crusades launched by the top 2% against the top 1%. -- Manu Joseph
2. MGTN implied correlation?
moontower.substack.com/p/the-poor-a...
1. The short answer is – revolutions don’t work the way you think. Revolutions aren’t initiated by the poor against the rich. They are crusades launched by the top 2% against the top 1%. -- Manu Joseph
2. MGTN implied correlation?
moontower.substack.com/p/the-poor-a...
Moontower #296
🌙the middle class is no place to stay...personal take in the wake of "$140k poverty line" virality
🌙option exercise & pair trade weight calculators
moontower.substack.com/p/the-middle...
🌙the middle class is no place to stay...personal take in the wake of "$140k poverty line" virality
🌙option exercise & pair trade weight calculators
moontower.substack.com/p/the-middle...
December 14, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Moontower #296
🌙the middle class is no place to stay...personal take in the wake of "$140k poverty line" virality
🌙option exercise & pair trade weight calculators
moontower.substack.com/p/the-middle...
🌙the middle class is no place to stay...personal take in the wake of "$140k poverty line" virality
🌙option exercise & pair trade weight calculators
moontower.substack.com/p/the-middle...
Today's Moontower was a post I really enjoyed writing.
It started with surprise in the way my "napkin" estimate was wrong and forced me to learn some math that i never stared at directly at before despite noticing its consequences.
moontower.substack.com/p/the-coastl...
It started with surprise in the way my "napkin" estimate was wrong and forced me to learn some math that i never stared at directly at before despite noticing its consequences.
moontower.substack.com/p/the-coastl...
The Coastline Paradox in Financial Markets
Friends,
moontower.substack.com
December 11, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Today's Moontower was a post I really enjoyed writing.
It started with surprise in the way my "napkin" estimate was wrong and forced me to learn some math that i never stared at directly at before despite noticing its consequences.
moontower.substack.com/p/the-coastl...
It started with surprise in the way my "napkin" estimate was wrong and forced me to learn some math that i never stared at directly at before despite noticing its consequences.
moontower.substack.com/p/the-coastl...
Moontower today...
🌙what is intelligence?
refs:
@dwarkesh.bsky.social
moontower.substack.com/p/what-is-in...
🌙what is intelligence?
refs:
@dwarkesh.bsky.social
moontower.substack.com/p/what-is-in...
what is intelligence?
Moontower Munchies #136
moontower.substack.com
December 10, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Moontower today...
🌙what is intelligence?
refs:
@dwarkesh.bsky.social
moontower.substack.com/p/what-is-in...
🌙what is intelligence?
refs:
@dwarkesh.bsky.social
moontower.substack.com/p/what-is-in...
Moontower #295
🌙holiday coziness --> backgammon
🌙useful reflexes in a world turning into a casino
moontower.substack.com/p/from-every...
🌙holiday coziness --> backgammon
🌙useful reflexes in a world turning into a casino
moontower.substack.com/p/from-every...
From “everything computer?” to “everything casino?”
Moontower #295
moontower.substack.com
December 7, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Moontower #295
🌙holiday coziness --> backgammon
🌙useful reflexes in a world turning into a casino
moontower.substack.com/p/from-every...
🌙holiday coziness --> backgammon
🌙useful reflexes in a world turning into a casino
moontower.substack.com/p/from-every...
Today's moontower is about
🌙skills, abilities, and self-knowledge
It's got some useful reminders if you're trying to get better at anything
moontower.substack.com/p/myelination
🌙skills, abilities, and self-knowledge
It's got some useful reminders if you're trying to get better at anything
moontower.substack.com/p/myelination
myelination
Moontower Munchies #135
moontower.substack.com
December 3, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Today's moontower is about
🌙skills, abilities, and self-knowledge
It's got some useful reminders if you're trying to get better at anything
moontower.substack.com/p/myelination
🌙skills, abilities, and self-knowledge
It's got some useful reminders if you're trying to get better at anything
moontower.substack.com/p/myelination
"Day in the life..." webinar this Thursday
Friends,
moontower.substack.com
December 1, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Encouragement and gratitude today
🌙math sympathy
🌙"dancing animals"
moontower.substack.com/p/dancing-an...
refs:
@deepdishenjoyer.bsky.social
🌙math sympathy
🌙"dancing animals"
moontower.substack.com/p/dancing-an...
refs:
@deepdishenjoyer.bsky.social
November 26, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Encouragement and gratitude today
🌙math sympathy
🌙"dancing animals"
moontower.substack.com/p/dancing-an...
refs:
@deepdishenjoyer.bsky.social
🌙math sympathy
🌙"dancing animals"
moontower.substack.com/p/dancing-an...
refs:
@deepdishenjoyer.bsky.social