Markus Bayer
@mks-ba.bsky.social
interested in international law, foreign politics and security.
love buying books and sometimes even read them
love buying books and sometimes even read them
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Finland has emerged as a global leader in countering “fake news”. Here's how they've done it
Teaching when to trust
As fake news accelerates, we need to teach our children how to think critically. Finnish schools are leading the charge
newhumanist.org.uk
December 7, 2025 at 9:45 AM
Finland has emerged as a global leader in countering “fake news”. Here's how they've done it
Die Finnen sind wirklich eine Bereicherung für die NATO!
#Russland werde niemals eine militärische Stärke erreichen, die die #NATO ernsthaft bedrohen könnte, aber es werde immer genug Geld haben, um westliche Politiker & Geschäftsleute zu korrumpieren, sagt Finnlands Ex-Chef des militärischen Nachrichtendienstes.
www.n-tv.de/politik/Wir-...
www.n-tv.de/politik/Wir-...
"Wir können Putin und seinen Freunden die Software abschalten"
Soll Europa Russland mit dessen eigenen Waffen schlagen - und hybride Attacken starten? Das zumindest fordern Politiker in Berlin und Brüssel. Besonders im IT-Bereich gebe es Möglichkeiten, den Kreml ...
www.n-tv.de
December 3, 2025 at 6:38 AM
Die Finnen sind wirklich eine Bereicherung für die NATO!
Reposted by Markus Bayer
I hate that this is necessary, but it is. So it’s good that things are moving.
www.politico.eu/article/euro...
www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Europe thinks the unthinkable: Retaliating against Russia
Countries are looking at joint offensive cyber operations and surprise military drills as Moscow steps up its campaign to destabilize NATO allies.
www.politico.eu
November 27, 2025 at 9:25 AM
I hate that this is necessary, but it is. So it’s good that things are moving.
www.politico.eu/article/euro...
www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Current Taiwan wargames may be preparing for the wrong war.
A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective
In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,
warontherocks.com
October 14, 2025 at 12:15 AM
Current Taiwan wargames may be preparing for the wrong war.
Reposted by Markus Bayer
The real obstacle to Taiwan’s defense isn’t willpower — it’s politics.
Taiwan’s Will to Fight Isn’t the Problem
China’s increasingly powerful military has bracketed Taiwan with exercises. Its air and naval forces launch daily incursions, and Beijing has erased the
warontherocks.com
September 8, 2025 at 2:30 PM
The real obstacle to Taiwan’s defense isn’t willpower — it’s politics.
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Interesting: Press reports claim 🇹🇼Taiwan‘s TSMC only agreed to build a chip factory in Dresden in exchange for military technology exports, which 🇩🇪Germany had in the past restricted for fear of 🇨🇳Chinese retaliation. The reports mentions naval propulsion systems, periscope technology and radars.
1/
1/
TSMC-Fabrik in Dresden: Taiwans Zusage erfolgte wohl nur gegen militärische Hilfe
Warum hat TSMC ausgerechnet in Deutschland eine Halbleiterfabrik gebaut? Militärische Hilfen für Taiwan könnten den Ausschlag gegeben haben.
www.computerbase.de
August 7, 2025 at 7:44 AM
Interesting: Press reports claim 🇹🇼Taiwan‘s TSMC only agreed to build a chip factory in Dresden in exchange for military technology exports, which 🇩🇪Germany had in the past restricted for fear of 🇨🇳Chinese retaliation. The reports mentions naval propulsion systems, periscope technology and radars.
1/
1/
Reposted by Markus Bayer
President Lai Ching-te of Taiwan canceled U.S. transit visits after the Trump administration urged him to change his plans, two officials said. Washington has been in delicate talks with China over trade and a possible summit.
Trump Administration Told Taiwan’s President to Avoid U.S. Stopover
The Taiwanese leader canceled U.S. transit visits after being urged to change his plans, two officials said. Washington has been in talks with Beijing over trade and a possible summit.
nyti.ms
July 30, 2025 at 10:25 AM
President Lai Ching-te of Taiwan canceled U.S. transit visits after the Trump administration urged him to change his plans, two officials said. Washington has been in delicate talks with China over trade and a possible summit.
Reposted by Markus Bayer
How China Could Blockade Taiwan share.google/332OI61QLEPM...
WAR
WAR
How China Could Blockade Taiwan
China has options other than invasion to try to force Taiwan’s unification, one of which is a blockade. This report explores the potential motivations and strategic calculus for a blockade and maps ou...
share.google
July 27, 2025 at 2:18 PM
How China Could Blockade Taiwan share.google/332OI61QLEPM...
WAR
WAR
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Britain ‘ready to fight’ over Taiwan www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
Britain ‘ready to fight’ over Taiwan
Defence Secretary: ‘If we have to fight, Australia and the UK are nations that will fight together’
www.telegraph.co.uk
July 27, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Britain ‘ready to fight’ over Taiwan www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Taiwan Armed Forces will purchase five types of commercial, off-the-shelf UAVs, totaling 48,750 units, next year.
July 23, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Taiwan Armed Forces will purchase five types of commercial, off-the-shelf UAVs, totaling 48,750 units, next year.
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Han Kuang 2025: Here is what happened on Day 8!
Three major defensive exercises by the ROCA, including the 6th and 8th Army Corps participating in defense-in-depth and resiliency drills.
Additionally, air raid drills were held in the south of Taiwan as part of the 2025 Urban Resiliency exercises
Three major defensive exercises by the ROCA, including the 6th and 8th Army Corps participating in defense-in-depth and resiliency drills.
Additionally, air raid drills were held in the south of Taiwan as part of the 2025 Urban Resiliency exercises
July 16, 2025 at 11:04 AM
Han Kuang 2025: Here is what happened on Day 8!
Three major defensive exercises by the ROCA, including the 6th and 8th Army Corps participating in defense-in-depth and resiliency drills.
Additionally, air raid drills were held in the south of Taiwan as part of the 2025 Urban Resiliency exercises
Three major defensive exercises by the ROCA, including the 6th and 8th Army Corps participating in defense-in-depth and resiliency drills.
Additionally, air raid drills were held in the south of Taiwan as part of the 2025 Urban Resiliency exercises
Reposted by Markus Bayer
🥴🇷🇺Russia calls first 🇪🇪Estonian HIMARS MLRS firings a “provocation”
Kremlin spokesman Peskov said that the Baltic Sea has become a region of constant tension due to the “aggressive policy” of coastal European countries.
Kremlin spokesman Peskov said that the Baltic Sea has become a region of constant tension due to the “aggressive policy” of coastal European countries.
July 15, 2025 at 7:31 AM
🥴🇷🇺Russia calls first 🇪🇪Estonian HIMARS MLRS firings a “provocation”
Kremlin spokesman Peskov said that the Baltic Sea has become a region of constant tension due to the “aggressive policy” of coastal European countries.
Kremlin spokesman Peskov said that the Baltic Sea has become a region of constant tension due to the “aggressive policy” of coastal European countries.
Taiwans Streitkräfte üben seit Tagen die Abwehr einer chinesischen Invasion. Dieses Jahr wurden dafür 20.000 Reservisten aktiviert. Seit gestern findet die Phase “Civilian Operation” in den Städten zusammen mit zivilen Behörden statt: Mehr zur Übung Han Kuang 41:
youtu.be/1kUi9cjsnTg?...
youtu.be/1kUi9cjsnTg?...
July 15, 2025 at 5:07 AM
Taiwans Streitkräfte üben seit Tagen die Abwehr einer chinesischen Invasion. Dieses Jahr wurden dafür 20.000 Reservisten aktiviert. Seit gestern findet die Phase “Civilian Operation” in den Städten zusammen mit zivilen Behörden statt: Mehr zur Übung Han Kuang 41:
youtu.be/1kUi9cjsnTg?...
youtu.be/1kUi9cjsnTg?...
Reposted by Markus Bayer
It is day five of Taiwan's Han Kuang military exercise.
Today's exercises focus on containing and defeating a large-scale landing attempt. The ROCN will shift from preservation to tactical operations, and the 6th Army Corps will practice quick deployments alongside the 99th and 66th Marine Brigades
Today's exercises focus on containing and defeating a large-scale landing attempt. The ROCN will shift from preservation to tactical operations, and the 6th Army Corps will practice quick deployments alongside the 99th and 66th Marine Brigades
July 13, 2025 at 4:43 AM
It is day five of Taiwan's Han Kuang military exercise.
Today's exercises focus on containing and defeating a large-scale landing attempt. The ROCN will shift from preservation to tactical operations, and the 6th Army Corps will practice quick deployments alongside the 99th and 66th Marine Brigades
Today's exercises focus on containing and defeating a large-scale landing attempt. The ROCN will shift from preservation to tactical operations, and the 6th Army Corps will practice quick deployments alongside the 99th and 66th Marine Brigades
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Harvard is offering 558 free classes, including but not limited to "We the People: Civic Engagement in a Constitutional Democracy", "American Government: Constitutional Foundations", and "U.S. Political Institutions: Congress, Presidency, Courts, and Bureaucracy."
Thank you Harvard!! 👏👏👏
Thank you Harvard!! 👏👏👏
Catalog of Courses
Browse the latest courses from Harvard University
pll.harvard.edu
May 25, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Harvard is offering 558 free classes, including but not limited to "We the People: Civic Engagement in a Constitutional Democracy", "American Government: Constitutional Foundations", and "U.S. Political Institutions: Congress, Presidency, Courts, and Bureaucracy."
Thank you Harvard!! 👏👏👏
Thank you Harvard!! 👏👏👏
Reposted by Markus Bayer
🌿Paris is turning the car-centric model of urban design on its head. Following a historic vote, Parisians voted to close 500 streets to cars and reallocate them to pedestrians, cyclists, and green space. → eurocities.eu/latest/there...
#UrbanMobility #GreenerCities #SustainableCities #PublicSpace
#UrbanMobility #GreenerCities #SustainableCities #PublicSpace
There is ‘a will and a way’ to green Paris - Eurocities
Christophe Najdovski, Paris Deputy Mayor speaks about the recent vote to close 500 streets to cars and reallocate them to pedestrians, cyclists and green space.
eurocities.eu
April 28, 2025 at 3:21 PM
🌿Paris is turning the car-centric model of urban design on its head. Following a historic vote, Parisians voted to close 500 streets to cars and reallocate them to pedestrians, cyclists, and green space. → eurocities.eu/latest/there...
#UrbanMobility #GreenerCities #SustainableCities #PublicSpace
#UrbanMobility #GreenerCities #SustainableCities #PublicSpace
Reposted by Markus Bayer
NEW: The PRC is continuing to leverage global frustration with US tariffs to try to divide the United States from its partners. (1/7)
Read more in the latest edition of the China-Taiwan Weekly Update: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...
Read more in the latest edition of the China-Taiwan Weekly Update: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...
April 25, 2025 at 1:56 PM
NEW: The PRC is continuing to leverage global frustration with US tariffs to try to divide the United States from its partners. (1/7)
Read more in the latest edition of the China-Taiwan Weekly Update: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...
Read more in the latest edition of the China-Taiwan Weekly Update: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...
Reposted by Markus Bayer
This afternoon, someone bought Nvidia puts that would only pay off if the stock fell sharply.
They weren’t cheap.
But they were perfectly timed.
By 9 pm, those puts were up over 600%.
That doesn’t look like luck. That looks like insider trading. www.dataandpolitics.net/nvidia-expor...
They weren’t cheap.
But they were perfectly timed.
By 9 pm, those puts were up over 600%.
That doesn’t look like luck. That looks like insider trading. www.dataandpolitics.net/nvidia-expor...
Nvidia, Export Controls, and The Trump Team's Art of Trading on Insider Knowledge
A perfectly timed Nvidia put trade preceded Trump’s export controls by hours—and paid off by over 600%. In a month already shadowed by suspicious options activity, this one raises new questions.
www.dataandpolitics.net
April 16, 2025 at 1:19 AM
This afternoon, someone bought Nvidia puts that would only pay off if the stock fell sharply.
They weren’t cheap.
But they were perfectly timed.
By 9 pm, those puts were up over 600%.
That doesn’t look like luck. That looks like insider trading. www.dataandpolitics.net/nvidia-expor...
They weren’t cheap.
But they were perfectly timed.
By 9 pm, those puts were up over 600%.
That doesn’t look like luck. That looks like insider trading. www.dataandpolitics.net/nvidia-expor...
„Die Regierung in Peking beansprucht die Insel als eigenes Staatsgebiet, obwohl Taiwan nie unter Kontrolle der in China autokratisch regierenden Kommunistischen Partei stand.“
genau so!
www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asie...
genau so!
www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asie...
China: Die größte Marine der Welt wächst und wächst
Chinas Ausgaben für Verteidigung steigen seit Jahren. Auch die Marine wird massiv modernisiert und ausgebaut. Welche Rolle spielt Taiwan dabei? Und welche Schwächen hat Chinas Marine noch? Von Benjami...
www.tagesschau.de
April 8, 2025 at 9:16 AM
„Die Regierung in Peking beansprucht die Insel als eigenes Staatsgebiet, obwohl Taiwan nie unter Kontrolle der in China autokratisch regierenden Kommunistischen Partei stand.“
genau so!
www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asie...
genau so!
www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asie...
„Die chinesische Übung sei eine Reaktion auf Präsident Lais Rede von Mitte März.“ Lai geht dort auf 17 Maßnahmen ein, wie er chinesische Subversion und Spionage insb auch in den Taiwanischen Streitkräften bekämpfen will. 1/2
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/01/w...
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/01/w...
China’s Military Exercises Around Taiwan Enter Second Day
The drills came after Taiwan’s president, Lai Ching-te, announced measures to counter China’s influence and espionage. Beijing also wants to send a message to Washington, analysts said.
www.nytimes.com
April 5, 2025 at 3:30 AM
„Die chinesische Übung sei eine Reaktion auf Präsident Lais Rede von Mitte März.“ Lai geht dort auf 17 Maßnahmen ein, wie er chinesische Subversion und Spionage insb auch in den Taiwanischen Streitkräften bekämpfen will. 1/2
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/01/w...
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/01/w...
Reposted by Markus Bayer
Reposted by Markus Bayer
This week, China conducted Exercise Strait Thunder 2025A. I have just published a special assessment of this lightning military activity, what the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) sought to achieve and what we might learn from it. 1/4
April 4, 2025 at 7:30 AM
This week, China conducted Exercise Strait Thunder 2025A. I have just published a special assessment of this lightning military activity, what the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) sought to achieve and what we might learn from it. 1/4
Das erinnert mich ein bisschen an das Gerede über „Kriegstüchtigkeit“. Als könnte man mit IGF/KLF und einem starken Willen fehlende Munition wett machen.
It’s cool this mentality has now infected a large portion of the army lol
April 4, 2025 at 4:48 AM
Das erinnert mich ein bisschen an das Gerede über „Kriegstüchtigkeit“. Als könnte man mit IGF/KLF und einem starken Willen fehlende Munition wett machen.
Mick Ryan is always a qualified read regarding #Taiwan. The secret pentagon paper leaked a few days ago with the focus on the deterrence of China seizing Taiwan is going to be tested. Is Trump‘s government putting money where their mouth is? Let’s see.
China admits its latest aggression around #Taiwan is a rehearsal for a blockade. This latest exercise is described as "stern warning and forceful deterrence" by an Eastern Theater Commander spokesman. A quick examination of the exercise and its purpose. 1/11 🧵
April 1, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Mick Ryan is always a qualified read regarding #Taiwan. The secret pentagon paper leaked a few days ago with the focus on the deterrence of China seizing Taiwan is going to be tested. Is Trump‘s government putting money where their mouth is? Let’s see.
Sounds good for Taiwan but not that comfortable for Europe. Isn’t that just a consequence of analyzing Russia as a „regional power“ just as Obama, 2014
‘“China is the Department’s sole pacing threat, and denial of a Chinese fait accompli seizure of Taiwan — while simultaneously defending the U.S. homeland is the Department’s sole pacing scenario,” Hegseth wrote.’ www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Secret Pentagon memo on China, homeland has Heritage fingerprints
An secret memo from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth focuses on deterring China’s seizure of Taiwan and shoring up homeland defense. The guidance mimics language of a report from the conservative think ...
www.washingtonpost.com
March 30, 2025 at 9:26 AM
Sounds good for Taiwan but not that comfortable for Europe. Isn’t that just a consequence of analyzing Russia as a „regional power“ just as Obama, 2014