Michael Stephens
mikerstephens.bsky.social
Michael Stephens
@mikerstephens.bsky.social
Senior Fellow @FPRI Senior Associate Fellow @RUSI_Org, @RANDEurope, Views my own, RTs not endorsements....Fulham FC
I think you've read the undertone of my sentiment pretty well. And you're absolutely right to also refer to Sudan, and the lack of international action there to solve what is, a horrible bloody conflict far exceeding Gaza in scale.

I do think however G7 states recognising Palestine is a big deal.
July 28, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Which to date, they have utterly failed to do. Trump was right when he sent Egypt's half formed proposal back with a "do better" caveat. No Israeli PM even if they're left wing, will ever accept Hamas having political influence in Palestine ever again. So this is of utmost urgency to solve.
July 28, 2025 at 1:40 PM
And I suspect Israel's domestic politics becomes the most important variable for any movement forward on a viable political solution in the long term. This does not ignore the fact that Hamas is still operating, and the Arab world needs to come up with a mechanism for full transfer of power.
July 28, 2025 at 1:38 PM
countries follow France in support of a Palestinian State. If we're left with a point where a flailing Netanyahu is basically reliant on supportive statements from Trump, Orban and Milei but is essentially unwelcome everywhere else, then it's a slow slide towards deep extended isolation.
July 28, 2025 at 1:36 PM
Hi Andrew, yes sadly there's so much to talk about it's difficult to cover all the ways forward, as well as where we're currently at. I honestly think that this 1) Depends a lot on Trump and whether he believes in a solution 2) Israel's domestic politics and Bibi's level of support 3) Whether other
July 28, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Khamenei will need to think about his choices. Negotiate now from a place of weakness and concede, or allow this to escalate further and take more damage, which could severely undermine the regime and trigger wider instability internally. Neither option is good.
June 13, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Iran and the US have been stuck on zero enrichment, and perhaps Iran thought it had more cards to play to stretch talks out to the 13th hour, as it usually does. What the Iranians didn't realise is that it was already the 13th hour, and time had run out. It was a costly error.
June 13, 2025 at 9:24 AM
I don't even know who David Bull is...
June 10, 2025 at 10:51 AM
Absolutely!
June 4, 2025 at 3:09 PM
The delights of think tanking being turned into "Hot Tankery". The past 15 years has a lot to answer for.
June 2, 2025 at 2:03 PM
If you are a supporter of Israel living in the West, this is extremely serious, and needs to be understood. It's not about Hamas and what they have done. It is about what Israel is currently doing to prosecute this war, and the highly problematic methods it is choosing to do so.
May 20, 2025 at 8:58 AM