@mikeinsdevon.bsky.social
Still trying to make sense of everything and avoid getting too confused!
Slightly unhinged, wide range of interests.
RIP Boo Boo 2009-2024
Slightly unhinged, wide range of interests.
RIP Boo Boo 2009-2024
This just might be the stand-out projection. What a mess! If result was anything like that surely nobody would try and defend FPTP as a credible voting system.
Though it's also one I wondered whether the Lib Dems might target which would really change those numbers.
Though it's also one I wondered whether the Lib Dems might target which would really change those numbers.
November 9, 2025 at 11:04 AM
This just might be the stand-out projection. What a mess! If result was anything like that surely nobody would try and defend FPTP as a credible voting system.
Though it's also one I wondered whether the Lib Dems might target which would really change those numbers.
Though it's also one I wondered whether the Lib Dems might target which would really change those numbers.
Find Out Now looking even more unbelievable today. While I like the high Green figure I just can't take this pollster seriously.
November 6, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Find Out Now looking even more unbelievable today. While I like the high Green figure I just can't take this pollster seriously.
Or that South Derbyshire is an incredibly weak district for the party. Only one Green candidate in 2023. That said still not a great look messing up nomination papers.
November 6, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Or that South Derbyshire is an incredibly weak district for the party. Only one Green candidate in 2023. That said still not a great look messing up nomination papers.
Hoping they've peaked far too soon
October 28, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Hoping they've peaked far too soon
And Greens also fourth in Colchester. Was indeed a rare Labour hold.
October 24, 2025 at 10:24 AM
And Greens also fourth in Colchester. Was indeed a rare Labour hold.
And look who's defending him...
(just when we were all finally starting to forget about the Bassetlaw 🔔🔚)
(just when we were all finally starting to forget about the Bassetlaw 🔔🔚)
October 19, 2025 at 8:50 PM
And look who's defending him...
(just when we were all finally starting to forget about the Bassetlaw 🔔🔚)
(just when we were all finally starting to forget about the Bassetlaw 🔔🔚)
Council compositions are a lot closer though - the ratio's more like 3:1.
And I'm not really suggesting standing down candidates as electoral pacts can backfire. I'm thinking more targeted resources and not seriously going after each other's targets.
And I'm not really suggesting standing down candidates as electoral pacts can backfire. I'm thinking more targeted resources and not seriously going after each other's targets.
October 17, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Council compositions are a lot closer though - the ratio's more like 3:1.
And I'm not really suggesting standing down candidates as electoral pacts can backfire. I'm thinking more targeted resources and not seriously going after each other's targets.
And I'm not really suggesting standing down candidates as electoral pacts can backfire. I'm thinking more targeted resources and not seriously going after each other's targets.
Me neither, particularly in city seats where Reform unlikely to win although freak results do happen especially with split opposition.
Could definitely see Lib Dems going after Aylesbury or Montgomeryshire if polls are still as split as now. Possibly City of Durham as well?
Could definitely see Lib Dems going after Aylesbury or Montgomeryshire if polls are still as split as now. Possibly City of Durham as well?
October 11, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Me neither, particularly in city seats where Reform unlikely to win although freak results do happen especially with split opposition.
Could definitely see Lib Dems going after Aylesbury or Montgomeryshire if polls are still as split as now. Possibly City of Durham as well?
Could definitely see Lib Dems going after Aylesbury or Montgomeryshire if polls are still as split as now. Possibly City of Durham as well?
Teignbridge one looks like there was a fair size personal vote involved. Could just be between Lib Dems and Reform for a gain?
October 6, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Teignbridge one looks like there was a fair size personal vote involved. Could just be between Lib Dems and Reform for a gain?
True. They'd need someone to apply the baby oil.
October 5, 2025 at 8:37 PM
True. They'd need someone to apply the baby oil.
You also just knew this guy would be involved too
September 28, 2025 at 8:14 PM
You also just knew this guy would be involved too
Almost as though they're getting excuses in early?
September 28, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Almost as though they're getting excuses in early?
Though maybe not as weird as this one (2024 result included for comparison)
September 27, 2025 at 8:40 PM
Though maybe not as weird as this one (2024 result included for comparison)
That seems to be what they're suggesting, though some of these numbers look weird
September 27, 2025 at 8:34 PM
That seems to be what they're suggesting, though some of these numbers look weird
The standout projection
September 27, 2025 at 8:32 PM
The standout projection
Suspect if Fartage did become PM + failed (likely) the right wing media would shift to supporting this guy...
September 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Suspect if Fartage did become PM + failed (likely) the right wing media would shift to supporting this guy...
Good grief
September 26, 2025 at 9:13 PM
Good grief
This one maybe even worse
September 21, 2025 at 6:03 PM
This one maybe even worse
This one was pretty lopsided
September 21, 2025 at 6:01 PM
This one was pretty lopsided
Some of the seat projections are insane
September 18, 2025 at 9:08 PM
Some of the seat projections are insane
Not quite. Lib Dem opposition with Labour and SNP fighting for third place.
(seat numbers might not be quite right as didn't have Scotland or Wales figures to add so ended up just using average given)
(seat numbers might not be quite right as didn't have Scotland or Wales figures to add so ended up just using average given)
September 18, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Not quite. Lib Dem opposition with Labour and SNP fighting for third place.
(seat numbers might not be quite right as didn't have Scotland or Wales figures to add so ended up just using average given)
(seat numbers might not be quite right as didn't have Scotland or Wales figures to add so ended up just using average given)
Hardly a surprise when they also use the Serbian coat of arms + give their address as the Thai embassy
September 9, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Hardly a surprise when they also use the Serbian coat of arms + give their address as the Thai embassy
Judging by some of the stuff they were posting just before the English/Cornish local elections, I'd say their social media is being run by a ten year old.
September 3, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Judging by some of the stuff they were posting just before the English/Cornish local elections, I'd say their social media is being run by a ten year old.
I remember doing a map along these lines during the Johnson years. With the traditional two main parties now in self-destruct mode, an out of control media pushing the Overton window ever rightwards, the prospect of PM Farage + possibly Yaxley-Lennon entering mainstream, could it happen after all?
August 31, 2025 at 5:32 PM
I remember doing a map along these lines during the Johnson years. With the traditional two main parties now in self-destruct mode, an out of control media pushing the Overton window ever rightwards, the prospect of PM Farage + possibly Yaxley-Lennon entering mainstream, could it happen after all?