Mike Honey
@mikehoney.bsky.social
Data Visualisation and Data Integration specialist - Melbourne, Australia
https://linktr.ee/mike_honey_
Support my projects by sponsoring me on Github: https://github.com/sponsors/Mike-Honey
https://linktr.ee/mike_honey_
Support my projects by sponsoring me on Github: https://github.com/sponsors/Mike-Honey
Pinned
Australian Influenza update:
Reported cases have been holding at a stubbornly high plateau. This wave has run much longer than in previous years.
#Influenza #Australia
🧵
Reported cases have been holding at a stubbornly high plateau. This wave has run much longer than in previous years.
#Influenza #Australia
🧵
November 7, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Australian Influenza update:
Reported cases have been holding at a stubbornly high plateau. This wave has run much longer than in previous years.
#Influenza #Australia
🧵
Reported cases have been holding at a stubbornly high plateau. This wave has run much longer than in previous years.
#Influenza #Australia
🧵
I’ve used WA Health’s COVID-19 wastewater surveillance page to estimate the number of infections of BA.3.2.
I estimate ~1,100 BA.3.2.* infections in Perth for the latest week, and ~5,700 over the 11 weeks since BA.3.2.* was first detected.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #BA_3_2 #Australia #WA #Perth
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I estimate ~1,100 BA.3.2.* infections in Perth for the latest week, and ~5,700 over the 11 weeks since BA.3.2.* was first detected.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #BA_3_2 #Australia #WA #Perth
🧵
November 7, 2025 at 8:25 AM
Reposted by Mike Honey
Yes it's quite impressive. I found it a bit surprising, but I suppose that pattern has repeated elsewhere with NB.1.8.1.* holding off challengers once it dominates.
Interesting that XDV.* wasn't utterly dominant until about Feb-March 2025. But XDV.* / NB.1.8.1.* has been utterly dominant since.
Interesting that XDV.* wasn't utterly dominant until about Feb-March 2025. But XDV.* / NB.1.8.1.* has been utterly dominant since.
November 5, 2025 at 7:38 AM
Yes it's quite impressive. I found it a bit surprising, but I suppose that pattern has repeated elsewhere with NB.1.8.1.* holding off challengers once it dominates.
Interesting that XDV.* wasn't utterly dominant until about Feb-March 2025. But XDV.* / NB.1.8.1.* has been utterly dominant since.
Interesting that XDV.* wasn't utterly dominant until about Feb-March 2025. But XDV.* / NB.1.8.1.* has been utterly dominant since.
Reposted by Mike Honey
Here's what I have for XFG.10.4 + S:A435S.
Global: growth at 1.8% per day (13% per week)
Italy: growth at 2.3% per day (16% per week), frequency up to 7%.
Global: growth at 1.8% per day (13% per week)
Italy: growth at 2.3% per day (16% per week), frequency up to 7%.
November 5, 2025 at 7:23 AM
Here's what I have for XFG.10.4 + S:A435S.
Global: growth at 1.8% per day (13% per week)
Italy: growth at 2.3% per day (16% per week), frequency up to 7%.
Global: growth at 1.8% per day (13% per week)
Italy: growth at 2.3% per day (16% per week), frequency up to 7%.
Reposted by Mike Honey
Here's the latest I have on "Nimbus" sub-lineage PQ.2.8.1.
Globally vs XFG.* I got 2.6% growth per day or 18% per week.
Japan is the global hotspot, where NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" has been utterly dominant since mid-May. It doesn't look the rise of PQ.2.8.1 is matched by a rise in infections there.
Globally vs XFG.* I got 2.6% growth per day or 18% per week.
Japan is the global hotspot, where NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" has been utterly dominant since mid-May. It doesn't look the rise of PQ.2.8.1 is matched by a rise in infections there.
November 2, 2025 at 4:39 AM
Here's the latest I have on "Nimbus" sub-lineage PQ.2.8.1.
Globally vs XFG.* I got 2.6% growth per day or 18% per week.
Japan is the global hotspot, where NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" has been utterly dominant since mid-May. It doesn't look the rise of PQ.2.8.1 is matched by a rise in infections there.
Globally vs XFG.* I got 2.6% growth per day or 18% per week.
Japan is the global hotspot, where NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" has been utterly dominant since mid-May. It doesn't look the rise of PQ.2.8.1 is matched by a rise in infections there.
Reposted by Mike Honey
Here's the latest I have on XFW.1.1
Globally vs XFG.* I got 1.2% growth per day or 8% per week.
Globally vs XFG.* I got 1.2% growth per day or 8% per week.
November 2, 2025 at 1:39 AM
Here's the latest I have on XFW.1.1
Globally vs XFG.* I got 1.2% growth per day or 8% per week.
Globally vs XFG.* I got 1.2% growth per day or 8% per week.
Reposted by Mike Honey
Here's the latest I have on QW.1.
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 3.2% growth per day or 20% per week.
It looks like it was largely driven by the string of samples from Wales, which I understand was a cluster? The last was collected on 2025-09-30. Wales has shared 270+ samples after that date.
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 3.2% growth per day or 20% per week.
It looks like it was largely driven by the string of samples from Wales, which I understand was a cluster? The last was collected on 2025-09-30. Wales has shared 270+ samples after that date.
November 2, 2025 at 1:31 AM
Here's the latest I have on QW.1.
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 3.2% growth per day or 20% per week.
It looks like it was largely driven by the string of samples from Wales, which I understand was a cluster? The last was collected on 2025-09-30. Wales has shared 270+ samples after that date.
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 3.2% growth per day or 20% per week.
It looks like it was largely driven by the string of samples from Wales, which I understand was a cluster? The last was collected on 2025-09-30. Wales has shared 270+ samples after that date.
Reposted by Mike Honey
Thanks Fede!
Here's latest I have on XFG.17.2.1:
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 2.8% growth per day or 20% per week. But it is starting from a long way down.
It looks like it might have stalled in Italy, which seems the hotspot.
Here's latest I have on XFG.17.2.1:
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 2.8% growth per day or 20% per week. But it is starting from a long way down.
It looks like it might have stalled in Italy, which seems the hotspot.
November 2, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Thanks Fede!
Here's latest I have on XFG.17.2.1:
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 2.8% growth per day or 20% per week. But it is starting from a long way down.
It looks like it might have stalled in Italy, which seems the hotspot.
Here's latest I have on XFG.17.2.1:
Globally vs other XFG.* I got 2.8% growth per day or 20% per week. But it is starting from a long way down.
It looks like it might have stalled in Italy, which seems the hotspot.
Here's the latest variant picture for Europe (excluding the UK), to mid-October.
The XFG.* "Stratus" variant continued to dominate, and was roughly flat at 81% frequency.
NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell slightly to 10%.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #EUR #LP_8_1 #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
🧵
The XFG.* "Stratus" variant continued to dominate, and was roughly flat at 81% frequency.
NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell slightly to 10%.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #EUR #LP_8_1 #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
🧵
November 2, 2025 at 12:10 AM
Australian COVID-19 weekly stats update:
The risk estimate fell to 0.1% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-1264.
That implies a 2% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
The risk estimate fell to 0.1% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-1264.
That implies a 2% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
November 1, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Australian COVID-19 weekly stats update:
The risk estimate fell to 0.1% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-1264.
That implies a 2% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
The risk estimate fell to 0.1% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-1264.
That implies a 2% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
Here’s the October 2025 update I just sent to my GitHub Sponsors.
I continued to share results from these projects, here and on other social media platforms
mike-honey.github.io/sponsors/Git...
🧵
I continued to share results from these projects, here and on other social media platforms
mike-honey.github.io/sponsors/Git...
🧵
mike-honey.github.io
November 1, 2025 at 1:35 AM
Here’s the October 2025 update I just sent to my GitHub Sponsors.
I continued to share results from these projects, here and on other social media platforms
mike-honey.github.io/sponsors/Git...
🧵
I continued to share results from these projects, here and on other social media platforms
mike-honey.github.io/sponsors/Git...
🧵
Here are the countries reporting BA.3.2.* samples recently.
The only known community transmission is in South Africa and Australia, with just sporadic samples elsewhere, presumably from travellers.
#SARSCoV2 #COVID19 #SouthAfrica #Australia #BA_3_2
🧵
The only known community transmission is in South Africa and Australia, with just sporadic samples elsewhere, presumably from travellers.
#SARSCoV2 #COVID19 #SouthAfrica #Australia #BA_3_2
🧵
October 29, 2025 at 7:46 AM
Here are the countries reporting BA.3.2.* samples recently.
The only known community transmission is in South Africa and Australia, with just sporadic samples elsewhere, presumably from travellers.
#SARSCoV2 #COVID19 #SouthAfrica #Australia #BA_3_2
🧵
The only known community transmission is in South Africa and Australia, with just sporadic samples elsewhere, presumably from travellers.
#SARSCoV2 #COVID19 #SouthAfrica #Australia #BA_3_2
🧵
Reposted by Mike Honey
Well so far BA.3.2.* is mostly constrained to WA, so from my understanding actual action would need to be driven by the health minister there.
I've just dropped her an email - please consider doing the same.
www.wa.gov.au/government/p...
I've just dropped her an email - please consider doing the same.
www.wa.gov.au/government/p...
Meredith Hammat | Western Australian Government
Hon Meredith Hammat BA MIR MLA
www.wa.gov.au
October 27, 2025 at 1:24 AM
Well so far BA.3.2.* is mostly constrained to WA, so from my understanding actual action would need to be driven by the health minister there.
I've just dropped her an email - please consider doing the same.
www.wa.gov.au/government/p...
I've just dropped her an email - please consider doing the same.
www.wa.gov.au/government/p...
