These results hold strong across alternative specs: repeated protest exposure (number of events) and protest participants (various operationalization).

6/8

We find:
1) local anti-racist protest reduced AfD vote shares in German Federal Election 2021 and in the European Election 2024;
2) Green benefitted from anti-racist protests in the German Federal Election 2021, but not anymore in the European Election 2024.

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🧮Methodologically, we employ a diff-in-diff design to study how local anti-racist protests affected anti-migration (AfD) and pro-migration (Green party) vote share.

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To answer the question, we study two cases:

1⃣ Protests following the racist murder in Hanau in 2020 -> 2021 German Federal Election results

2⃣ Protests following the uncovering of mass deportation plans in 2024 -> 2024 European Election results

3/8

📢 New @wzb.bsky.social Working Paper w/ @lennartschuermann.bsky.social:
“How Anti-Racist Protests Influence Pro- and Anti-Migration Voting Behavior: Evidence from National and European Elections”

❗️Main finding: Anti-racist protests can change voting behavior towards a more inclusive society

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