mbrown839.bsky.social
@mbrown839.bsky.social
Last time on first preference votes LAB beat CON by 34.4% but need 45.7% this time. For LD to win they need to beat CON by 35.2% but last time only managed 16.8%. Both REF and GRN are spanners in the works, but it looks like CON will win.
In order to win, the amount needed to beat CON by in Cambridge City are:
REF: 8,676
LD: 19,930
LAB: 25,912
GRN: 42,278

It's the biggest district and will give a lot of votes to LAB & LD but overcoming a 20k+ deficit is a tall order, given REF will probably split the right-leaning vote less here.
Overall result with just Cambridge still to come
May 2, 2025 at 12:35 PM
In order to win, the amount needed to beat CON by in Cambridge City are:
REF: 8,676
LD: 19,930
LAB: 25,912
GRN: 42,278

It's the biggest district and will give a lot of votes to LAB & LD but overcoming a 20k+ deficit is a tall order, given REF will probably split the right-leaning vote less here.
Overall result with just Cambridge still to come
May 2, 2025 at 12:27 PM