Felipe Schwartzman
macroinpieces.bsky.social
Felipe Schwartzman
@macroinpieces.bsky.social
trying to figure out what makes the macroeconomy tick, from the bottom up.

Views are own, not from Federal Reserve Board or Federal Reserve of Richmond.

https://t.co/LWxBHWkxKJ
I am not sure I buy this just because of the sheer volume of US output. But per band or person, yeah, the UK punches way above its weight
July 23, 2025 at 5:28 PM
My advisor taught me one should always make sure you make an even number of mistakes
July 5, 2025 at 6:00 AM
Nelson Cavaquinho has written the most heart wrenching songs about unrequited love in Brazilian samba. He also has this absolute gem, about a person who changed his life and “organized a party” in him.

youtu.be/l8ruKVlpyqA?...
"Minha festa", por Nelson Cavaquinho
YouTube video by TV Cultura
youtu.be
May 15, 2025 at 10:16 AM
You mean you didn’t play happy birthday?
May 13, 2025 at 6:55 PM
It sure is
March 17, 2025 at 5:38 PM
I think there is a decent chance that the rise of professional classes complementary to analytical machines has peaked.
February 3, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Fair. I guess the other way of putting it is how many humans!
February 3, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Well but there is no such thing as zero human mistakes either.

But one outcome may be that you only need a small number of humans for the really high stake decisions
February 3, 2025 at 3:46 AM
The Boeing example underlines also that an important part of the alignment problem is not about trusting the AI, but the corporation or entity that controls it
February 3, 2025 at 1:19 AM
Problem is, if it becomes sufficiently cheaper to trust the machine and their errors sufficiently rare, many people may take the trade off. The big question for me is when you get to that point.
February 3, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Totally agree. A Boeing can probably fly without a pilot, but would you trust it if you don’t have an expert inside who has their life at risk as much as you do if things go bad?
February 3, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Thanks for organizing this. Please add me to the list
November 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM
Very nice. Really erm thoughtful post! :-)
November 19, 2023 at 12:11 PM
My sister has written about it (and gets a section in the paper :-) )
October 24, 2023 at 1:34 AM
October 15, 2023 at 9:35 PM