Felipe Schwartzman

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Jul 23

I am not sure I buy this just because of the sheer volume of US output. But per band or person, yeah, the UK punches way above its weight

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Jul 5

My advisor taught me one should always make sure you make an even number of mistakes

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · May 15

Nelson Cavaquinho has written the most heart wrenching songs about unrequited love in Brazilian samba. He also has this absolute gem, about a person who changed his life and “organized a party” in him.

youtu.be/l8ruKVlpyqA?...

"Minha festa", por Nelson Cavaquinho

YouTube video by TV Cultura

youtu.be

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · May 13

You mean you didn’t play happy birthday?

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Apr 8

Always happy to find out that people estimate components with principles

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Mar 17

It sure is

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Mar 17

Doing macro(economic) data refinement

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Feb 3

I think there is a decent chance that the rise of professional classes complementary to analytical machines has peaked.

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Feb 3

Fair. I guess the other way of putting it is how many humans!

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Feb 3

Well but there is no such thing as zero human mistakes either.

But one outcome may be that you only need a small number of humans for the really high stake decisions

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Feb 3

The Boeing example underlines also that an important part of the alignment problem is not about trusting the AI, but the corporation or entity that controls it

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Feb 3

Problem is, if it becomes sufficiently cheaper to trust the machine and their errors sufficiently rare, many people may take the trade off. The big question for me is when you get to that point.

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Feb 3

Totally agree. A Boeing can probably fly without a pilot, but would you trust it if you don’t have an expert inside who has their life at risk as much as you do if things go bad?

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Jan 4

If you are in SF for the ASSA meetings, Come tomorrow at 10:15 PST for the ISIR session in heterogeneity and aggregate dynamics, organized by Andres Blanco and Sergio Salgado!

Felipe Schwartzman @macroinpieces.bsky.social · Dec 31

Happy to see this in print!

AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · Dec 31

Forthcoming in AEJ: Macroeconomics: "The Consumption Origins of Business Cycles: Lessons from Sectoral Dynamics" by Christian Matthes and Felipe Schwartzman. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

The Consumption Origins of Business Cycles: Lessons from Sectoral Dynamics

(Forthcoming Article) - We measure the impact of household consumption shocks on aggregate fluctuations. These shocks affect household consumption directly, and production and prices indirectly throug...

www.aeaweb.org

AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · Dec 31

Forthcoming in AEJ: Macroeconomics: "The Consumption Origins of Business Cycles: Lessons from Sectoral Dynamics" by Christian Matthes and Felipe Schwartzman. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

The Consumption Origins of Business Cycles: Lessons from Sectoral Dynamics

(Forthcoming Article) - We measure the impact of household consumption shocks on aggregate fluctuations. These shocks affect household consumption directly, and production and prices indirectly throug...

www.aeaweb.org