Luíza Cerioli
@lucerioli.bsky.social
Postdoc researcher at University of Kassel - Extractivism.de.
A Brazilian in Europe.
Here you find an unbalanced potpourri of Global IR, Middle Eastern and Latin American foreign policy, extractivism and energy transition, cinema and cats.
A Brazilian in Europe.
Here you find an unbalanced potpourri of Global IR, Middle Eastern and Latin American foreign policy, extractivism and energy transition, cinema and cats.
De acordo com algumas infos, a aeronave B2 saiu dos EUA e voou 37 hrs direto, abastecendo no ar. E tiveram também outros movimentos que dava para cravar ontem ainda cedo que algo ia passar nas próximas 24h. Não acho que foi um vazamento, o q importa é a alta capacidade de monitoramento que temos hj.
June 22, 2025 at 6:15 AM
De acordo com algumas infos, a aeronave B2 saiu dos EUA e voou 37 hrs direto, abastecendo no ar. E tiveram também outros movimentos que dava para cravar ontem ainda cedo que algo ia passar nas próximas 24h. Não acho que foi um vazamento, o q importa é a alta capacidade de monitoramento que temos hj.
Unless it falls? There are close to zero chances that if (big if) it falls, there will be a) a new stable regime b) that is friendly with the West and c) that will give up the nuclear program.
It was a massive dumb idea.
It was a massive dumb idea.
June 22, 2025 at 5:59 AM
Unless it falls? There are close to zero chances that if (big if) it falls, there will be a) a new stable regime b) that is friendly with the West and c) that will give up the nuclear program.
It was a massive dumb idea.
It was a massive dumb idea.
Reposted by Luíza Cerioli
Top of mind for me was @profdownes.bsky.social's @cornellupress.bsky.social book "Catastrophic Success: Why Foreign-Imposed Regime Change Goes Wrong." It's right there in the title. www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501...
Catastrophic Success by Alexander B. Downes | eBook | Cornell University Press
In Catastrophic Success, Alexander B. Downes compiles all instances of regime change around the world over the past two centuries. Drawing on this impressive data set, Downes shows that regime change....
www.cornellpress.cornell.edu
June 18, 2025 at 11:38 AM
Top of mind for me was @profdownes.bsky.social's @cornellupress.bsky.social book "Catastrophic Success: Why Foreign-Imposed Regime Change Goes Wrong." It's right there in the title. www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501...
Reposted by Luíza Cerioli
7/ My assessment as his biographer is that at this point only one thing can stop a war with Iran that will define the next two decades of US foreign policy and cause countless deaths around the world: if the MAGA base so loudly yells about this that Trump worries his entire movement could collapse.
June 18, 2025 at 3:22 AM
7/ My assessment as his biographer is that at this point only one thing can stop a war with Iran that will define the next two decades of US foreign policy and cause countless deaths around the world: if the MAGA base so loudly yells about this that Trump worries his entire movement could collapse.
Argumento que mesmo com mt insatisfação com o regime entre iranianos, a possibilidade que o povo iraniano apoie as medidas de Israel é muito baixa. O interesse é de destronar o atual regime por vias democráticas ou revolucionárias internas e nao por pressao externa
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8FX...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8FX...
Análise: Há pouca chance de pressão externa derrubar o regime iraniano, diz especialista | CNN 360º
YouTube video by CNN Brasil
www.youtube.com
June 17, 2025 at 9:34 AM
Argumento que mesmo com mt insatisfação com o regime entre iranianos, a possibilidade que o povo iraniano apoie as medidas de Israel é muito baixa. O interesse é de destronar o atual regime por vias democráticas ou revolucionárias internas e nao por pressao externa
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8FX...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8FX...