Logan Giles
@logangileswx.bsky.social
Climatologist I Fairfield and Salisbury grad I Currently recovering from CIDP
DCA failed to hit 35˚F yesterday, and is not forecasted to do so through at least Thanksgiving, although there will be close calls. This means there should be the third longest streak above 35, and third latest 35 degree day on record
November 23, 2024 at 2:35 PM
DCA failed to hit 35˚F yesterday, and is not forecasted to do so through at least Thanksgiving, although there will be close calls. This means there should be the third longest streak above 35, and third latest 35 degree day on record
This phase traditionally results in warmer weather for the eastern US, and history shows us this relationship is significant. CPC also agrees on this assessment for Thanksgiving. This has been the second warmest fall on record, and will likely end warm.
November 18, 2024 at 10:45 PM
This phase traditionally results in warmer weather for the eastern US, and history shows us this relationship is significant. CPC also agrees on this assessment for Thanksgiving. This has been the second warmest fall on record, and will likely end warm.
A second piece we look at is the MJO. While it is not the single most important long term forecast tool, it is pretty important. It will be located over Oceania/West Pacific. If you look at when the first active pattern is, maybe in a few weeks.
November 18, 2024 at 10:45 PM
A second piece we look at is the MJO. While it is not the single most important long term forecast tool, it is pretty important. It will be located over Oceania/West Pacific. If you look at when the first active pattern is, maybe in a few weeks.
Look what happens a few days after we see the high over Asia, the jet retracts. As we see in the western US, a trough forms which will bring in cooler air. While in the east, a fairly potent ridge forms. This will bring in warmer air from the south.
November 18, 2024 at 10:45 PM
Look what happens a few days after we see the high over Asia, the jet retracts. As we see in the western US, a trough forms which will bring in cooler air. While in the east, a fairly potent ridge forms. This will bring in warmer air from the south.
Let's talk a bit about Thanksgiving and why it will be warm for the eastern US, there is a few reasons. First is we look at Eurasian weather. History tells us when there is high pressure near Kazakhstan, a jet stream retraction will occur. Good graph from @webberweather.bsky.social below
November 18, 2024 at 10:45 PM
Let's talk a bit about Thanksgiving and why it will be warm for the eastern US, there is a few reasons. First is we look at Eurasian weather. History tells us when there is high pressure near Kazakhstan, a jet stream retraction will occur. Good graph from @webberweather.bsky.social below
Wouldn't be surprised to see flakes flying NW of 95 Friday morning. String vortmax and subfreezing temperatures a mile up/surface will help produce flakes. Likely no accumulation, but should see snow falling in areas like Hagerstown and Cumberland
November 18, 2024 at 2:05 PM
Wouldn't be surprised to see flakes flying NW of 95 Friday morning. String vortmax and subfreezing temperatures a mile up/surface will help produce flakes. Likely no accumulation, but should see snow falling in areas like Hagerstown and Cumberland
NWS is forecasting a low of 34 on Thursday. If that happens, it would break what will be the 4th longest streak above 35˚F. It would also be the 6th latest day at 35˚F on record
November 18, 2024 at 1:46 PM
NWS is forecasting a low of 34 on Thursday. If that happens, it would break what will be the 4th longest streak above 35˚F. It would also be the 6th latest day at 35˚F on record
NEW RECORD
No rain was measured today which means 2024 will set the record for consecutive days without measurable rain.
No rain was measured today which means 2024 will set the record for consecutive days without measurable rain.
November 7, 2024 at 2:27 AM
NEW RECORD
No rain was measured today which means 2024 will set the record for consecutive days without measurable rain.
No rain was measured today which means 2024 will set the record for consecutive days without measurable rain.
Has it felt dry lately? Today is the fourth longest streak without measurable rain in Washington DC. Rain did fall this morning, but was not measurable. Looking at the forecast there might be rain Thursday. But it is looking Wednesday the record will be broken.
November 1, 2024 at 11:54 PM
Has it felt dry lately? Today is the fourth longest streak without measurable rain in Washington DC. Rain did fall this morning, but was not measurable. Looking at the forecast there might be rain Thursday. But it is looking Wednesday the record will be broken.
Today hit 82˚F which makes it the third warmest Halloween on record. Warmest in 74 years. 82 degrees today makes it the 5th warmest temperature this late in the year.
October 31, 2024 at 8:27 PM
Today hit 82˚F which makes it the third warmest Halloween on record. Warmest in 74 years. 82 degrees today makes it the 5th warmest temperature this late in the year.
The rainless streak is in serious jeopardy as a front will arrive and bring rain Friday morning.
October 30, 2024 at 3:26 PM
The rainless streak is in serious jeopardy as a front will arrive and bring rain Friday morning.
Has it felt like there hasn't been a lot of snow recently in Washington DC of late? You wouldn't be wrong. The last five years have been the least snowiest on record and it isn't close. For 2020-2025 to be snowier than 1997-2002 we'd need 10.8" of snow this season.
October 29, 2024 at 5:30 PM
Has it felt like there hasn't been a lot of snow recently in Washington DC of late? You wouldn't be wrong. The last five years have been the least snowiest on record and it isn't close. For 2020-2025 to be snowier than 1997-2002 we'd need 10.8" of snow this season.
What does La Niña look like in one image
October 29, 2024 at 2:24 PM
What does La Niña look like in one image
Great fall foliage today in Great Falls. MD
October 28, 2024 at 10:19 PM
Great fall foliage today in Great Falls. MD
Peak fall foliage in Northern Maryland.
📍Catoctin Park
📍Catoctin Park
October 27, 2024 at 7:16 PM
Peak fall foliage in Northern Maryland.
📍Catoctin Park
📍Catoctin Park
Stunning colors near Baltimore today
📍Liberty Reservoir
📍Liberty Reservoir
October 26, 2024 at 12:19 AM
Stunning colors near Baltimore today
📍Liberty Reservoir
📍Liberty Reservoir
Fall in Maryland
📍Lake Needwood
📍Lake Needwood
October 25, 2024 at 3:51 PM
Fall in Maryland
📍Lake Needwood
📍Lake Needwood
Signs of fall
📍 Montgomery County, MD
📍 Montgomery County, MD
October 22, 2024 at 6:54 PM
Signs of fall
📍 Montgomery County, MD
📍 Montgomery County, MD
The last time it rained in DC Was October 2. That is the 11th longest streak on record. With no rain for at least a week, no reason why this cannot get into the top 5.
October 22, 2024 at 1:06 PM
The last time it rained in DC Was October 2. That is the 11th longest streak on record. With no rain for at least a week, no reason why this cannot get into the top 5.
Fun swim at the Hall of Fame
October 20, 2024 at 4:02 PM
Fun swim at the Hall of Fame
Only one I got lol
October 17, 2024 at 6:21 PM
Only one I got lol
Saw some neat planes today at DCA
October 17, 2024 at 3:51 PM
Saw some neat planes today at DCA
Like many, photos will no longer be on the bird app so here’s one site they will be on! Aurora from that great night last week.
📍Carroll County, MD
📍Carroll County, MD
October 17, 2024 at 4:09 AM
Like many, photos will no longer be on the bird app so here’s one site they will be on! Aurora from that great night last week.
📍Carroll County, MD
📍Carroll County, MD