Letitia Roman
@letitiaroman.bsky.social
PhD Candidate in International Relations @CEU, ACLED Researcher on Eastern Europe (🇷🇴🇭🇺🇲🇩), climate change and conflict dynamics, conflict management, causal inference 🐩🐾 enthusiast & self-proclaimed TV Series expert! Opinions are my own.
Why do people protest against authoritarian regimes even when facing extreme dangers? Check out this amazing piece 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
🚨 Why do people protest against authoritarian regimes even when facing extreme danger? 🚨
In our new paper on Romania's 1989 Revolution, we find that communities exposed to the communist Gulag showed 5x higher dissent levels.
doi.org/10.1177/0010...
1/🧵
In our new paper on Romania's 1989 Revolution, we find that communities exposed to the communist Gulag showed 5x higher dissent levels.
doi.org/10.1177/0010...
1/🧵
September 27, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Why do people protest against authoritarian regimes even when facing extreme dangers? Check out this amazing piece 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/MPRSF... by
@vladsurdea.bsky.social is such an engaging reading. Can’t miss it!
@vladsurdea.bsky.social is such an engaging reading. Can’t miss it!
The populist spiral: How populist rhetoric spreads within party systems - Vlad Surdea-Hernea, 2025
This paper investigates whether populism, independent of its substantive policy correlates, diffuses within party systems as a rhetorical strategy. Building on ...
journals.sagepub.com
July 26, 2025 at 9:02 AM
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/MPRSF... by
@vladsurdea.bsky.social is such an engaging reading. Can’t miss it!
@vladsurdea.bsky.social is such an engaging reading. Can’t miss it!
Reposted by Letitia Roman
To the last point: one useful practical demand of causal identification thinking is that you translate
"I cannot (credibly) estimate this causal effect"
into
"You'd need to believe <assumptions list> for that quantity there to estimate this causal effect"
Then people can decide for themselves.
"I cannot (credibly) estimate this causal effect"
into
"You'd need to believe <assumptions list> for that quantity there to estimate this causal effect"
Then people can decide for themselves.
Finally, another real advantage of causal inference is that you will better recognise situations where you cannot actually estimate the causal effect you are interested in, in any reliable way. So it is a good way to avoid doing things that are hopeless
December 5, 2024 at 9:17 AM
To the last point: one useful practical demand of causal identification thinking is that you translate
"I cannot (credibly) estimate this causal effect"
into
"You'd need to believe <assumptions list> for that quantity there to estimate this causal effect"
Then people can decide for themselves.
"I cannot (credibly) estimate this causal effect"
into
"You'd need to believe <assumptions list> for that quantity there to estimate this causal effect"
Then people can decide for themselves.
Reposted by Letitia Roman
So I started a new thing with @letitiaroman.bsky.social, @markuspo.bsky.social and Erin Jenne this term.
Check out our interview with @stephenwalt.bsky.social on our new podcast “Vienna Dialogues: Coffee and IR” here!
open.spotify.com/episode/2SrC...
Check out our interview with @stephenwalt.bsky.social on our new podcast “Vienna Dialogues: Coffee and IR” here!
open.spotify.com/episode/2SrC...
U.S. Foreign Policy in the Aftermath of the 2024 Presidential Election - with Stephen M. Walt
Vienna Dialogues- Coffee and IR · Episode
open.spotify.com
December 3, 2024 at 9:20 AM
So I started a new thing with @letitiaroman.bsky.social, @markuspo.bsky.social and Erin Jenne this term.
Check out our interview with @stephenwalt.bsky.social on our new podcast “Vienna Dialogues: Coffee and IR” here!
open.spotify.com/episode/2SrC...
Check out our interview with @stephenwalt.bsky.social on our new podcast “Vienna Dialogues: Coffee and IR” here!
open.spotify.com/episode/2SrC...