LeRaffl
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leraffl.bsky.social
LeRaffl
@leraffl.bsky.social
Math dude, doing math with BEV market shares

https://ts.la/raphael59773
Uruguay has such an insanely fast shift towards BEV it should embarrass western countries.
November 15, 2025 at 10:51 AM
🇺🇾 Uruguay - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
34.4% BEV
1.7% PHEV
63.8% ICE (of which 9.8%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
25.6% BEV
1.4% PHEV
73.0% ICE (of which 8.9%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 15, 2025 at 10:51 AM
NEV growth is due to BEV. ICE is on the way out in China.
November 12, 2025 at 5:21 PM
PHEV have stopped growing in China prematurely it seems. This may be a hiccup, but it could just as well be the realisation that PHEV do not offer any real advantages to BEV. And yes, that goes for EREV as well, seeing how they are part of the blue curve.
November 12, 2025 at 5:21 PM
🇨🇳 China - October 25 - BEV Trajectory (Repost)
35.8% BEV
20.7% PHEV (of which 4.8%p were EREV)
43.5% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
32.0% BEV
20.1% PHEV (of which 4.8%p were EREV)
47.9% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 12, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Not only is China above 50% for NEV, but consistently so. And the best part? Recently this was driven by BEV specifically!
November 11, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Hybrids are already getting sloppy in China and ICE is basically dead at this point. BEV are undeniable.
November 11, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Pure Petrol is already more or less out in Germany now.
Things go ICE->HEV->PHEV->BEV
November 10, 2025 at 7:36 PM
About 5 years to go until PHEV will lose from what it looks like today.
November 10, 2025 at 7:36 PM
🇩🇪 Germany - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
21.0% BEV
12.4% PHEV
66.7% ICE (of which 28.2%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
17.8% BEV
10.2% PHEV
72.0% ICE (of which 28.9%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 10, 2025 at 7:36 PM
November 5, 2025 at 12:45 PM
🇮🇳 India (4-Wheelers) - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
3.4% BEV
0% PHEV
90.0% ICE (of which 6.7%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
3.8% BEV
0.0% PHEV
96.2% ICE (of which 8.2%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 5, 2025 at 12:45 PM
November 5, 2025 at 12:34 PM
🇮🇳 India (3-Wheelers) - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
54.5% BEV
0.0% Hybrid
45.5% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
59.9% BEV
0.0% PHEV
40.1% ICE (of which 0.1%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 5, 2025 at 12:34 PM
November 5, 2025 at 12:30 PM
🇮🇳 India (2-Wheelers) - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
4.6% BEV
0.0% Hybrid
95.4% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
6.2% BEV
0.0% PHEV
93.8% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 5, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Ireland set a new record trailing 12 months BEV share in Oct at 19.06%
November 3, 2025 at 7:19 PM
🇮🇪 Ireland - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
32.3% BEV
15.9% PHEV
51.8% ICE (of which 20.5%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
19.1% BEV
15.1% PHEV
65.9% ICE (of which 23.5%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 3, 2025 at 7:19 PM
November 3, 2025 at 7:09 PM
🇮🇹 Italy - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
5.0% BEV
7.7% PHEV
87.3% ICE (of which 45.5%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
5.2% BEV
5.7% PHEV
89.1% ICE (of which 44.3%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 3, 2025 at 7:09 PM
ICE is dead in Portugal
November 3, 2025 at 7:01 PM
🇵🇹 Portugal - October 25 - BEV Trajectory
28.6% BEV
20.1% PHEV
51.3% ICE (of which 18.9%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
22.5% BEV
14.9% PHEV
62.6% ICE (of which 22.0%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
November 3, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Gallery now includes the Durations Tab, where you can see how long it takes for a country to go from x% BEV share to y% BEV share based on the underlying model visualized in the graphs from the Gallery Tab.
November 2, 2025 at 8:15 PM
October 31, 2025 at 8:33 AM
🇭🇺 Hungary - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
8.7% BEV
6.4% PHEV
84.9% ICE (of which 48.8%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
7.8% BEV
4.7% PHEV
87.5% ICE (of which 50.0%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
October 31, 2025 at 8:33 AM