Lars Peder Haga
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Lars Peder Haga
@larspederhaga.bsky.social
Associate Professor at the Air Force Academy, Norwegian Defence University College. Used to do Soviet history before I turned to Air Power studies.
9/9 In conclusion, I believe this is good news even if operational capability is years away, and may well happen after the fighting has ended. In most realistic scenarios, Ukraine will require a strong air force to deter Russia for the foreseeable future.
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
8/9 As these will be new builds, they will have an expected service life probably beyond the 2060s. Ukraine's legacy Soviet aircraft are more or less beyond any reasonable life expectation - especially during wartime. Donated F-16s and Mirages are not much better off.
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
7/9 But the Gripen E is also an excellent combat aircraft, with modern sensors, electronic warfare capabilities and weapons that will make it a very dangerous opponent for the Flankers that will remain the backbone of the Russian Air Force for the next decades.
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
6/9 It is developed from the bottom up for the concept of operations Sweden developed as a front line state during the Cold War. It is made for dispersed operations from austere airfields, for fast turnaround and servicing in the field by reservists.
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
5/9 The Gripen E is explicitly mentioned as an example of the desired type of combat aircraft, together with F-16 Block 70/72. The Gripen is a very good choice for Ukraine for several reasons.
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
4/9 In this document, the Ukrainian Air Force suggested replacing all legacy Soviet combat aircraft with a single western Gen4+ type by 2035, with an initial low-rate purchase for training, testing and development purposes finished by 2025.
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
3/9 In that respect, it is a belated realization of the Ukrainian Air Force's road map from 2020, "Air Force Vision 2035".
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
2/9 This is a long-term project, not another stop-gap solution to get Ukraine combat aircraft ASAP. Prime Minister Kristersson was talking about a 10-15 year timeframe for completing deliveries and getting the Gripens operationally capable. So an end point around 2035-40
October 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
It reminds me of rubber tires on aircraft, painted airplane-shaped silhouettes on the ground, and Russian soldiers treating counter-IR cloaks as magical and ignoring every other principle of camouflage and concealment.
October 22, 2025 at 6:40 AM
BTW, the camouflage netting in partial lush green contrast to the tan dirt and snugly fitted around a very airplane-shaped thingy in the open is amazing.
October 22, 2025 at 6:40 AM
The Estonians formulated their doctrine on "little green men" more than 10 years ago: “you should shoot the first one to appear,” Gen Terras said. “If somebody without any military insignia commits terrorist attacks in your country you should shoot him … (..)”
mil.ee/en/news/esto...
Estonia ready to deal with Russia’s ‘little green men’ – Estonian Defence Forces
mil.ee
October 17, 2025 at 12:17 PM
forgotten. (Norwegian autocorrect)
September 20, 2025 at 1:41 PM
I guess it became the normal so fast that it is almost forfoten.
September 20, 2025 at 11:58 AM