Alexander Lanoszka
@lanoszka.bsky.social
Associate professor at the University of Waterloo (Canada); visiting professor at the College of Europe in Natolin (Poland); and author of Military Alliances in the Twenty-First Century (Polity, 2022).
www.alexlanoszka.com
www.alexlanoszka.com
My International Theory article on non-aggression pacts is finally indexed. Available open-access, I show that the literature to date has coded various international agreements erroneously as non-aggression pacts and missed the unique historical context in which they first emerged.
bit.ly/4o8k94W
bit.ly/4o8k94W
November 20, 2025 at 3:24 PM
My International Theory article on non-aggression pacts is finally indexed. Available open-access, I show that the literature to date has coded various international agreements erroneously as non-aggression pacts and missed the unique historical context in which they first emerged.
bit.ly/4o8k94W
bit.ly/4o8k94W
Congratulations to @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @laurensukin.bsky.social. @herzogsm.bsky.social, and @mvranka.bsky.social on their new article! They address address the central question: can public opinion influence decision-makers’ views on nuclear weapon use?
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
November 12, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Congratulations to @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @laurensukin.bsky.social. @herzogsm.bsky.social, and @mvranka.bsky.social on their new article! They address address the central question: can public opinion influence decision-makers’ views on nuclear weapon use?
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
"The reluctance among Russian scholars to address the function of FSB officers in academia can be attributed to their positionality and concerns about job security. This issue, however, has also been largely overlooked by Western Sovietologists and Russianists." www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
September 25, 2025 at 7:29 PM
"The reluctance among Russian scholars to address the function of FSB officers in academia can be attributed to their positionality and concerns about job security. This issue, however, has also been largely overlooked by Western Sovietologists and Russianists." www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
"A central argument in this article is that Russia – contrary to, for example, China and the United States – uses information confrontation because it lacks enough political, military and economic power. In short, it is a grand strategy for the weak." www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
September 23, 2025 at 1:51 PM
"A central argument in this article is that Russia – contrary to, for example, China and the United States – uses information confrontation because it lacks enough political, military and economic power. In short, it is a grand strategy for the weak." www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
This chart on Canada's industrial implosion is astonishing and highlights a major divergence with the US. The author notes that, "according to the latest national accounts data, real investment in industrial machinery & equipment fell in Q2 to its lowest level on record."
www.nbc.ca/content/dam/...
www.nbc.ca/content/dam/...
September 17, 2025 at 12:36 PM
This chart on Canada's industrial implosion is astonishing and highlights a major divergence with the US. The author notes that, "according to the latest national accounts data, real investment in industrial machinery & equipment fell in Q2 to its lowest level on record."
www.nbc.ca/content/dam/...
www.nbc.ca/content/dam/...
"The gaps in military hardware and software are considerable, and the IISS estimates that replacing key elements of the US conven tional military capabilities assumed to be assigned to the Euro-Atlantic theatre could cost approximately 1 trillion USD." www.iiss.org/publications...
September 6, 2025 at 1:57 PM
"The gaps in military hardware and software are considerable, and the IISS estimates that replacing key elements of the US conven tional military capabilities assumed to be assigned to the Euro-Atlantic theatre could cost approximately 1 trillion USD." www.iiss.org/publications...
"While Zapad-2025 is not as large as previous exercises (...), the resumption of strategic-level exercises could indicate a returned focus on potential conflict scenarios between Russia and NATO." www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
September 4, 2025 at 4:08 PM
"While Zapad-2025 is not as large as previous exercises (...), the resumption of strategic-level exercises could indicate a returned focus on potential conflict scenarios between Russia and NATO." www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
Contrary to dominant theoretical perspectives and certain conventional narratives, we provide evidence that, at least in that particular phase of the war, the U.S. approach drew global support for the level of restraint it had.
August 13, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Contrary to dominant theoretical perspectives and certain conventional narratives, we provide evidence that, at least in that particular phase of the war, the U.S. approach drew global support for the level of restraint it had.
To gain leverage on this question, we appraise early U.S. attempts to reassure allies and partners in the context of the Russo-Ukrainian War using public opinion surveys in 24 countries on six continents in June 2023.
August 13, 2025 at 1:39 PM
To gain leverage on this question, we appraise early U.S. attempts to reassure allies and partners in the context of the Russo-Ukrainian War using public opinion surveys in 24 countries on six continents in June 2023.
Thread.
I'm delighted to share a new piece that @laurensukin.bsky.social, @herzogsm.bsky.social, and I have in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. Available via OA, we address the following question: when and why do restraint or resolve reassure, and for whom?
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
I'm delighted to share a new piece that @laurensukin.bsky.social, @herzogsm.bsky.social, and I have in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. Available via OA, we address the following question: when and why do restraint or resolve reassure, and for whom?
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
August 13, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Thread.
I'm delighted to share a new piece that @laurensukin.bsky.social, @herzogsm.bsky.social, and I have in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. Available via OA, we address the following question: when and why do restraint or resolve reassure, and for whom?
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
I'm delighted to share a new piece that @laurensukin.bsky.social, @herzogsm.bsky.social, and I have in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. Available via OA, we address the following question: when and why do restraint or resolve reassure, and for whom?
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
"Because U.S. arms sales to Taiwan are driven by symbolic and economic considerations rather than strategic military objectives, the case is an outlier with implications for theory on the global arms trade."
I am not fully convinced, but this merits attention.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
I am not fully convinced, but this merits attention.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
August 9, 2025 at 7:31 PM
"Because U.S. arms sales to Taiwan are driven by symbolic and economic considerations rather than strategic military objectives, the case is an outlier with implications for theory on the global arms trade."
I am not fully convinced, but this merits attention.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
I am not fully convinced, but this merits attention.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
"While Quebec’s strategic culture is gradually shifting toward liberal internationalism, our findings indicate that it remains influenced by pacifist, anti-militarist, and anti-imperialist tendencies. Pro-Russian views ... are mainly promoted by a limited number of actors." bit.ly/4letWF2
August 8, 2025 at 1:30 PM
"While Quebec’s strategic culture is gradually shifting toward liberal internationalism, our findings indicate that it remains influenced by pacifist, anti-militarist, and anti-imperialist tendencies. Pro-Russian views ... are mainly promoted by a limited number of actors." bit.ly/4letWF2
"Using this rhetoric and driven by its quest for status and belief in Russia’s mission to the world, the Kremlin has tried to position Russia at the forefront of the reorganisation of the international system and resistance to Western dominance."
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
August 4, 2025 at 7:02 PM
"Using this rhetoric and driven by its quest for status and belief in Russia’s mission to the world, the Kremlin has tried to position Russia at the forefront of the reorganisation of the international system and resistance to Western dominance."
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
New @ejisbisa.bsky.social paper:
"By precisely locating hedging within the neutrality family and by identifying its main analytical features, this paper aims to clarify theoretically the ‘nature’ of the phenomenon."
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
"By precisely locating hedging within the neutrality family and by identifying its main analytical features, this paper aims to clarify theoretically the ‘nature’ of the phenomenon."
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
August 3, 2025 at 2:18 PM
New @ejisbisa.bsky.social paper:
"By precisely locating hedging within the neutrality family and by identifying its main analytical features, this paper aims to clarify theoretically the ‘nature’ of the phenomenon."
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
"By precisely locating hedging within the neutrality family and by identifying its main analytical features, this paper aims to clarify theoretically the ‘nature’ of the phenomenon."
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
A new FOI report examines important variation in how NATO's Forward Land Forces in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are structured. It is a big and welcome contribution to the emerging analytical literature on these deployments.
www.foi.se/en/foi/news-...
www.foi.se/en/foi/news-...
June 27, 2025 at 6:00 PM
A new FOI report examines important variation in how NATO's Forward Land Forces in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are structured. It is a big and welcome contribution to the emerging analytical literature on these deployments.
www.foi.se/en/foi/news-...
www.foi.se/en/foi/news-...
A new collection of essays takes stock of the maritime dimension to the Russo-Ukrainian War and generates lessons to be learned from the Black Sea. Of interest to those working on Ukrainian security, the Black Sea, and the Baltic Sea region. gids-hamburg.de/re-learning-...
June 18, 2025 at 2:30 PM
A new collection of essays takes stock of the maritime dimension to the Russo-Ukrainian War and generates lessons to be learned from the Black Sea. Of interest to those working on Ukrainian security, the Black Sea, and the Baltic Sea region. gids-hamburg.de/re-learning-...
Finally, I show that many friendship treaties have been miscoded as non-aggression pacts, particularly after the Second World War. Their salience in the interwar period thus needs explanation.
April 23, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Finally, I show that many friendship treaties have been miscoded as non-aggression pacts, particularly after the Second World War. Their salience in the interwar period thus needs explanation.
More to the point, these agreements were most often used in the 1920s and 1930s by the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany, great powers otherwise out of step with international order.
April 23, 2025 at 7:05 PM
More to the point, these agreements were most often used in the 1920s and 1930s by the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany, great powers otherwise out of step with international order.
Long in the making, I am delighted to share my latest peer-reviewed publication -- in @internatltheory.bsky.social -- on non-aggression pacts.
A short thread.
A short thread.
April 23, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Long in the making, I am delighted to share my latest peer-reviewed publication -- in @internatltheory.bsky.social -- on non-aggression pacts.
A short thread.
A short thread.
And so the backlash to MAGA begins.
April 3, 2025 at 2:06 PM
And so the backlash to MAGA begins.
How real is the threat of nuclear proliferation among U.S. treaty allies at present? Much new commentary suggests that the risk of countries trying to acquire nuclear weapons is much more elevated now because of the Trump administration.
I offer some pushback.
open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
I offer some pushback.
open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
March 17, 2025 at 7:18 PM
How real is the threat of nuclear proliferation among U.S. treaty allies at present? Much new commentary suggests that the risk of countries trying to acquire nuclear weapons is much more elevated now because of the Trump administration.
I offer some pushback.
open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
I offer some pushback.
open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
After a brief hiatus owing to travel, I have a new weekly round-up on some of the latest alliance research, discussing one piece on Germany's Ostpolitik and another on Russia's nuclear posture. I also mention a series of RAS essays on Franco-Canadian relations.
Link: substack.com/@alanoszka/n...
Link: substack.com/@alanoszka/n...
February 11, 2025 at 3:38 PM
After a brief hiatus owing to travel, I have a new weekly round-up on some of the latest alliance research, discussing one piece on Germany's Ostpolitik and another on Russia's nuclear posture. I also mention a series of RAS essays on Franco-Canadian relations.
Link: substack.com/@alanoszka/n...
Link: substack.com/@alanoszka/n...
On deck in this week's alliance research round-up are two new research articles that touch on Estonia and Latvia. alanoszka.substack.com/p/weekly-all...
January 20, 2025 at 1:16 PM
On deck in this week's alliance research round-up are two new research articles that touch on Estonia and Latvia. alanoszka.substack.com/p/weekly-all...
As I have shifted most of my social media engagement to Substack, I decided to use that platform to share recent work in alliance scholarship that I find notable.
Here is my first such round-up. alanoszka.substack.com/p/weekly-all...
Here is my first such round-up. alanoszka.substack.com/p/weekly-all...
January 13, 2025 at 2:50 PM
As I have shifted most of my social media engagement to Substack, I decided to use that platform to share recent work in alliance scholarship that I find notable.
Here is my first such round-up. alanoszka.substack.com/p/weekly-all...
Here is my first such round-up. alanoszka.substack.com/p/weekly-all...
My new Substack essay: President-elect Donald Trump has exposed the complete lack of strategic preparedness and seriousness in Ottawa at the highest levels of government. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
January 9, 2025 at 6:45 PM
My new Substack essay: President-elect Donald Trump has exposed the complete lack of strategic preparedness and seriousness in Ottawa at the highest levels of government. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...