Kyle Kondik
@kkondik.bsky.social
American elections analyst; Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA Center for Politics. Sign up free at http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball
NEW Crystal Ball: @jmilescoleman.bsky.social on House district presidential voting in Trump's three elections. All but 28 districts (shown in the map) voted the same way in all 3 elections based on the current lines centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
February 27, 2025 at 3:48 PM
NEW Crystal Ball: @jmilescoleman.bsky.social on House district presidential voting in Trump's three elections. All but 28 districts (shown in the map) voted the same way in all 3 elections based on the current lines centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
NEW Crystal Ball Senate ratings, including analysis of midterm Senate rhythms and setting expectations. Rs heavily favored to hold majority. Ratings updated to reflect Tina Smith's retirement earlier today centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
February 13, 2025 at 6:52 PM
NEW Crystal Ball Senate ratings, including analysis of midterm Senate rhythms and setting expectations. Rs heavily favored to hold majority. Ratings updated to reflect Tina Smith's retirement earlier today centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
from a Crystal Ball piece publishing soon -- map on left is makeup of Senate after the 2000 election, map on right is makeup after 2024.
many more split delegations a quarter-century ago and less sorted on prez partisanship
many more split delegations a quarter-century ago and less sorted on prez partisanship
December 4, 2024 at 3:57 PM
from a Crystal Ball piece publishing soon -- map on left is makeup of Senate after the 2000 election, map on right is makeup after 2024.
many more split delegations a quarter-century ago and less sorted on prez partisanship
many more split delegations a quarter-century ago and less sorted on prez partisanship
Assuming special elections in FL and OH, here is the 2026 Senate map based on current control
November 13, 2024 at 8:23 PM
Assuming special elections in FL and OH, here is the 2026 Senate map based on current control
"Center for Politics Study: Partisan Desires Override Support for Constitutional Freedoms and American Values" -- new study from us (with much more to come going forward). Some key findings noted in this morning's Playbook centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
October 18, 2023 at 12:46 PM
"Center for Politics Study: Partisan Desires Override Support for Constitutional Freedoms and American Values" -- new study from us (with much more to come going forward). Some key findings noted in this morning's Playbook centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...