Kit Thomas
@kitthomaswx.bsky.social
TV Meteorologist at ABC24 in Memphis |
AMS CBM #977 | general geek | 🏳️🌈husband | gamer
Karaoke is my outlet for my inner theatre kid
AMS CBM #977 | general geek | 🏳️🌈husband | gamer
Karaoke is my outlet for my inner theatre kid
As a follow-up to yesterday's post about next week's uncertainty:
The Euro Ensemble's weekly temp anomaly is cutting the mid-south down the middle for above/below average temps. The ensembles are so spread it's basically outputting climatology for us.
The Euro Ensemble's weekly temp anomaly is cutting the mid-south down the middle for above/below average temps. The ensembles are so spread it's basically outputting climatology for us.
November 26, 2025 at 2:49 AM
As a follow-up to yesterday's post about next week's uncertainty:
The Euro Ensemble's weekly temp anomaly is cutting the mid-south down the middle for above/below average temps. The ensembles are so spread it's basically outputting climatology for us.
The Euro Ensemble's weekly temp anomaly is cutting the mid-south down the middle for above/below average temps. The ensembles are so spread it's basically outputting climatology for us.
Today's Excel adventure: radar graphs!
Each thin line shows a single year 1991-2020, with the oval showing the NWS climatological average, and 2025 plotted darkest on top of them all.
Each thin line shows a single year 1991-2020, with the oval showing the NWS climatological average, and 2025 plotted darkest on top of them all.
November 26, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Today's Excel adventure: radar graphs!
Each thin line shows a single year 1991-2020, with the oval showing the NWS climatological average, and 2025 plotted darkest on top of them all.
Each thin line shows a single year 1991-2020, with the oval showing the NWS climatological average, and 2025 plotted darkest on top of them all.
Long-range forecasting is notoriously difficult, but this setup is just horrendous. The spread on temperatures next week in the ensembles is over 30 degrees for some days!!
November 25, 2025 at 4:27 AM
Long-range forecasting is notoriously difficult, but this setup is just horrendous. The spread on temperatures next week in the ensembles is over 30 degrees for some days!!
Wednesday will be interesting as a cold air mass pushes into the Mid-South.
The maximum temperature for the day will be set at midnight, with the afternoon high not cresting higher. The morning low will also not be the minimum for the day, as the colder air fully arrives with mid 30s by 11:59pm.
The maximum temperature for the day will be set at midnight, with the afternoon high not cresting higher. The morning low will also not be the minimum for the day, as the colder air fully arrives with mid 30s by 11:59pm.
November 24, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Wednesday will be interesting as a cold air mass pushes into the Mid-South.
The maximum temperature for the day will be set at midnight, with the afternoon high not cresting higher. The morning low will also not be the minimum for the day, as the colder air fully arrives with mid 30s by 11:59pm.
The maximum temperature for the day will be set at midnight, with the afternoon high not cresting higher. The morning low will also not be the minimum for the day, as the colder air fully arrives with mid 30s by 11:59pm.
I've heard of fog thick as pea soup, but never fog so thick it reflects what's behind you!
November 24, 2025 at 4:01 AM
I've heard of fog thick as pea soup, but never fog so thick it reflects what's behind you!
Me liking every post I see about the Northern Lights rn
November 12, 2025 at 5:12 AM
Me liking every post I see about the Northern Lights rn
It looks like the CME's from the two previous X-class flares Sunday and Monday combined into one wave RIGHT on top of us! The CME from today's X5.1 looks to miss us tomorrow slightly ahead of our orbit.
In short, WE LUCKED OUT SO GOOD!!!!!
In short, WE LUCKED OUT SO GOOD!!!!!
November 12, 2025 at 4:37 AM
It looks like the CME's from the two previous X-class flares Sunday and Monday combined into one wave RIGHT on top of us! The CME from today's X5.1 looks to miss us tomorrow slightly ahead of our orbit.
In short, WE LUCKED OUT SO GOOD!!!!!
In short, WE LUCKED OUT SO GOOD!!!!!
INCREDIBLE That we got such a brilliant show in Memphis, TN tonight! Even through city lights and looking directly at lights, our East Memphis camera caught some brilliant red waves between 8-10pm tonight!
November 12, 2025 at 4:21 AM
INCREDIBLE That we got such a brilliant show in Memphis, TN tonight! Even through city lights and looking directly at lights, our East Memphis camera caught some brilliant red waves between 8-10pm tonight!
Info from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center: G4 Storm levels have been reached!
My favorite part of this graphic is the credit line "image courtesy of a NOAA/SWPC spouse"
I also texted my husband to go get a picture but he was working lol
My favorite part of this graphic is the credit line "image courtesy of a NOAA/SWPC spouse"
I also texted my husband to go get a picture but he was working lol
November 12, 2025 at 3:27 AM
Info from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center: G4 Storm levels have been reached!
My favorite part of this graphic is the credit line "image courtesy of a NOAA/SWPC spouse"
I also texted my husband to go get a picture but he was working lol
My favorite part of this graphic is the credit line "image courtesy of a NOAA/SWPC spouse"
I also texted my husband to go get a picture but he was working lol
From downtown Memphis, pic by Chief Meteorologist Trevor Birchett
November 12, 2025 at 2:37 AM
From downtown Memphis, pic by Chief Meteorologist Trevor Birchett
MEMPHIS, TN AURORA RIGHT NOW!!!!!
November 12, 2025 at 2:28 AM
MEMPHIS, TN AURORA RIGHT NOW!!!!!
Both iconic in their own rights
November 11, 2025 at 2:28 AM
Both iconic in their own rights
This would be good news to help improve the drought situation in Arkansas and Mississippi! Much of West Tennessee including Memphis were dropped from any abnormally dry areas last Thursday.
November 10, 2025 at 10:51 PM
This would be good news to help improve the drought situation in Arkansas and Mississippi! Much of West Tennessee including Memphis were dropped from any abnormally dry areas last Thursday.
The cold front arrived last night and has dropped temperatures across the Mid-South 25-30 degrees!!! Over night, we're expecting our first freeze of the season.
November 9, 2025 at 9:50 PM
The cold front arrived last night and has dropped temperatures across the Mid-South 25-30 degrees!!! Over night, we're expecting our first freeze of the season.
Late night update on Melissa.
I’ve been making more effort to update TikTok with forecasts, follow me @ProKitman!
I’ve been making more effort to update TikTok with forecasts, follow me @ProKitman!
October 29, 2025 at 4:04 AM
Late night update on Melissa.
I’ve been making more effort to update TikTok with forecasts, follow me @ProKitman!
I’ve been making more effort to update TikTok with forecasts, follow me @ProKitman!
Here is a look at all the initial windspeeds of all full advisories from NHC. It's always interesting to see a hurricane season laid out like this, with how the activity was clustered early season, then became more active in the latter half.
For those interested, here's 2024 as well.
For those interested, here's 2024 as well.
October 29, 2025 at 3:32 AM
Here is a look at all the initial windspeeds of all full advisories from NHC. It's always interesting to see a hurricane season laid out like this, with how the activity was clustered early season, then became more active in the latter half.
For those interested, here's 2024 as well.
For those interested, here's 2024 as well.
I keep a pretty thorough spreadsheet of tropical data. With most storms it's at most 3-hourly updates, but I made this chart with room for the hourly updates Melissa had across Jamaica. It's always amazing to see how quickly storms weaken over land.
October 29, 2025 at 3:23 AM
I keep a pretty thorough spreadsheet of tropical data. With most storms it's at most 3-hourly updates, but I made this chart with room for the hourly updates Melissa had across Jamaica. It's always amazing to see how quickly storms weaken over land.
While the eye of #Melissa was making landfall, did you notice the standing wave on the Eastern side of the island?
The mountains in eastern Jamaica reach upwards of to 7,000 feet, and likely wrung out a ton of additional moisture. Looking here for flooding and landslide reports in the coming days.
The mountains in eastern Jamaica reach upwards of to 7,000 feet, and likely wrung out a ton of additional moisture. Looking here for flooding and landslide reports in the coming days.
October 28, 2025 at 11:42 PM
While the eye of #Melissa was making landfall, did you notice the standing wave on the Eastern side of the island?
The mountains in eastern Jamaica reach upwards of to 7,000 feet, and likely wrung out a ton of additional moisture. Looking here for flooding and landslide reports in the coming days.
The mountains in eastern Jamaica reach upwards of to 7,000 feet, and likely wrung out a ton of additional moisture. Looking here for flooding and landslide reports in the coming days.
Here's some of the stats of the Atlantic basin strongest hurricane stats, sorted wind/pressure/year.
Melissa clocks in at a tie for 2nd fastest winds/tied fastest landfall; ties for 3rd lowest overall pressure, ties for strongest landfalling pressure.
Graphic inspired by @rshoptaugh.bsky.social
Melissa clocks in at a tie for 2nd fastest winds/tied fastest landfall; ties for 3rd lowest overall pressure, ties for strongest landfalling pressure.
Graphic inspired by @rshoptaugh.bsky.social
October 28, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Here's some of the stats of the Atlantic basin strongest hurricane stats, sorted wind/pressure/year.
Melissa clocks in at a tie for 2nd fastest winds/tied fastest landfall; ties for 3rd lowest overall pressure, ties for strongest landfalling pressure.
Graphic inspired by @rshoptaugh.bsky.social
Melissa clocks in at a tie for 2nd fastest winds/tied fastest landfall; ties for 3rd lowest overall pressure, ties for strongest landfalling pressure.
Graphic inspired by @rshoptaugh.bsky.social
What's keeping Melissa away from the U.S. coast? Fortunately, there are two jet streams combining off the East Coast that will push it away and send it to the North Atlantic. It may bring strong winds to Bermuda late Thursday.
October 28, 2025 at 10:47 PM
What's keeping Melissa away from the U.S. coast? Fortunately, there are two jet streams combining off the East Coast that will push it away and send it to the North Atlantic. It may bring strong winds to Bermuda late Thursday.
I'm guessing this happens right about this stage of the simulation in this paper shared by @agitatedcu.bsky.social
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
October 28, 2025 at 6:10 PM
I'm guessing this happens right about this stage of the simulation in this paper shared by @agitatedcu.bsky.social
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
The final stretch of water under #Melissa was >30°C. Despite its slow movement and thick clouds over the last several days, the ocean heat is very deep. A post from @drkimwood.bsky.social showed that heat extended down 60m, so any upwelling which has occurred has just brought up more hot water.
October 28, 2025 at 4:15 PM
The final stretch of water under #Melissa was >30°C. Despite its slow movement and thick clouds over the last several days, the ocean heat is very deep. A post from @drkimwood.bsky.social showed that heat extended down 60m, so any upwelling which has occurred has just brought up more hot water.
Incredible situation about to unfold in Western Jamaica...
October 28, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Incredible situation about to unfold in Western Jamaica...
An incredible sight from the 89GHz channel showing #Melissa has an impressive eyewall with deep convection. This was about an hour and a half ago, just after the upgrade to 185mph.
October 28, 2025 at 3:26 PM
An incredible sight from the 89GHz channel showing #Melissa has an impressive eyewall with deep convection. This was about an hour and a half ago, just after the upgrade to 185mph.