Karishma Vanjani
karishma-vanjani.bsky.social
Karishma Vanjani
@karishma-vanjani.bsky.social
Reporting on the bond market and other good market stuff for Barron's
Reposted by Karishma Vanjani
Brilliant investigation into Saudi Arabia's discovery that the optimal shape for a city is not a 170-kilometre straight line ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
End of The Line: how Saudi Arabia’s Neom dream unravelled
Mohammed bin Salman’s utopian city was undone by the laws of physics and finance
ig.ft.com
November 6, 2025 at 3:21 PM
A series of bankruptcies, bad loans, and allegations of fraud this month have spooked many investors—count junk bond investors out of that tally, though.

What's behind their resiliency?

Read our piece on @barrons.com to get answers to market's lingering questions.
www.barrons.com/articles/jun...
Junk Bonds Ignore Stress in Credit Markets. Here’s Why.
As bankruptcies start to pile up, especially in the auto sector, high-yield bonds remain surprisingly resilient.
www.barrons.com
October 23, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Foreign investors aren't fleeing the U.S. #Treasury market but private investors--rather than foreign central banks and government institutions--are now the dominant force.

That's not a good thing. Read my story on @barrons.com
to know what it means for your money

www.barrons.com/articles/tre...
Treasury Bonds Are Getting Riskier. Here’s What’s to Blame.
With hedge funds and other investors becoming more dominant, Treasuries might not be the haven they used to be.
www.barrons.com
September 30, 2025 at 2:08 PM
The U.S. government bond market has divorced itself from the rest of the world, perhaps influenced by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

@barrons.com

www.barrons.com/articles/tre...
U.S. 10-Year Bond Yields Have Broken Away from the Rest of the World
The U.S. and governments abroad are facing similiar challenges, but yields on their debt have gone in opposite directions.
www.barrons.com
September 8, 2025 at 7:32 PM
Lot of #Tbills are getting issued as the #Treasury works to refill its account, just like it did in 2023. This time, though, the financial system doesn't have a lot of 'extra cash.' We are nearly emptied out. Why does this matter?

Read my piece on @barrons.com

www.barrons.com/articles/t-b...
T-Bill Sales Are Draining the Market’s Extra Cash. Watch Reverse Repos.
Excess cash is getting sucked out of the financial machinery as the government increasingly turns to shorter-dated debt to meet its borrowing needs.
www.barrons.com
August 18, 2025 at 3:54 PM
This is the best opening to August for investors in shorter-dated Treasuries.

The 2-year Treasury yield declined 0.2335 percentage today—the largest intraday fall on the first day of August ever, based on data going back to 2001. Read why it matters on @barrons.com

www.barrons.com/articles/sho...
Weak Jobs Report Sparks Big Rally in Short-Dated Treasuries
Treasuries rallied in the aftermath of a weak jobs report, with shorter-dated notes seeing the biggest decline in yields to kick off August in more than two decades.
www.barrons.com
August 1, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Treasury is issuing a lot of #Tbills.

There's demand. Unlike #stocks, these are universally loved; they offer security and a lovely above 4% yield. But there's one hiccup: This deluge of #Tbills can trip a fuse in the funding market.

Read more on @barrons.com

www.barrons.com/articles/tre...
A Treasury Bill Deluge Is Here. What Could Go Wrong.
The department is issuing billions of short-term debt. Wall Street is watching to see if it trips up the funding market.
www.barrons.com
July 14, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Trump wants lower rates. The logic is clear: U.S. debt problem is now more prevalent and a sustainable decline in rates will lower the governments' interest costs.

Fed/ Treasury can help, if the market isn't willing. Its very untraditional to 'repress' free market, but it may be happening anyway
June 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM
BNP: Consumer sentiment alone often gives false signals about a recession: consumers can report a dour outlook but keep on spending. However, if weakness is joined by lower stocks and higher initial jobless claims, there is a higher likelihood that a downturn could happen or is already happening.
April 17, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Over the past many months, a clear pattern has emerged: Foreign governments are gobbling up a virtually risk-free U.S. debt called T-bill but selling longer term debt that matures after many years.

Central banks own 44% of our nearly $9 trillion in foreign debt. They matter.

Read on @barrons.com
Foreign Central Banks Are Loading Up on T-Bills, Selling U.S. Bonds
Every month, the Treasury Department publishes delayed data on U.S. assets sold and bought by foreign central banks and investors. No ones typically sweats the numbers—but as President Donald Trump’s ...
www.barrons.com
April 17, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Bond market can be tough to understand. A theoretical concept called Treasury Term Premium can make matters worse.

But here's the long and short of it: The premium is telling the market that other risks in U.S. bonds are more dominant than inflation. Policy uncertainty, debt ceiling to name a few.
‘Term Premium’ Sends a Message. Inflation Isn’t the Culprit in Bond Selloff.
The so-called term premium, a measure of concern about risk, is the highest since September 2014.
www.barrons.com
April 15, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Lets put this in context: U.S. government #bonds are not doing well. Unlike stocks that recuperated some losses after Trump's tariff u-turn, bonds did not.

Why? China, among the biggest bond holders, may be selling our debt, existing tariffs is expected to lock U.S. inflation and more @barrons.com
U.S. Treasury Bonds Sell Off as 30-Year Yield Rises Most Since 2020
Stocks rallied but yields on bonds with long maturities still ended the day higher. That means bond prices declined.
www.barrons.com
April 10, 2025 at 4:32 PM
Reposted by Karishma Vanjani
Our story on the bond market, by Karishma Vanjani. www.barrons.com/articles/tre...?
US Government Bond Yields Spike. Inside the Selloff That’s Spooking the Treasury Market.
The basis trade is a favorite of hedge funds. It’s complicated, big, and very risky.
www.barrons.com
April 8, 2025 at 8:55 PM