Justin Lynch
@justinlynch.bsky.social
Managing Director, Conflict Insights Group, a public benefit analytics and research firm. co-author Sudan's Unfinished Democracy http://tinyurl.com/4mfzbe3n. views my own.
4. Displaced civilians from El Fashir must be allowed to travel to Tawila freely. Diplomats should prioritize this immediately with parties and their foreign backers so civilians fleeing violence will have refuge.
May 2, 2025 at 9:27 AM
4. Displaced civilians from El Fashir must be allowed to travel to Tawila freely. Diplomats should prioritize this immediately with parties and their foreign backers so civilians fleeing violence will have refuge.
3.It's time for diplomats to get real and stop with approaches that won't work. This war will end when SAF and the UAE come to the negotiating table -- be it in 6 months or 60 years. Is anyone in a position to facilitate talks?
May 2, 2025 at 9:27 AM
3.It's time for diplomats to get real and stop with approaches that won't work. This war will end when SAF and the UAE come to the negotiating table -- be it in 6 months or 60 years. Is anyone in a position to facilitate talks?
2. Sudanese soup kitchens, Emergency Response Rooms, national NGOs and INGOs are the ones delivering on the ground in areas affected by famine. They must receive funding as famine is projected to spread in the next two months.
May 2, 2025 at 9:27 AM
2. Sudanese soup kitchens, Emergency Response Rooms, national NGOs and INGOs are the ones delivering on the ground in areas affected by famine. They must receive funding as famine is projected to spread in the next two months.
1. Many humanitarians predicted the current situation back in 2020 (I have receipts for those who served in the transitional government who seem to have forgotten!) Blaming aid workers but not SAF and the RSF for blocking aid is a bizarre talking point.
May 2, 2025 at 9:27 AM
1. Many humanitarians predicted the current situation back in 2020 (I have receipts for those who served in the transitional government who seem to have forgotten!) Blaming aid workers but not SAF and the RSF for blocking aid is a bizarre talking point.
8/ Second, Sudan's chaos was predictable. Once mass atrocities begin, options become limited. Prevention is key. The current lack of engagement in South Sudan & Ethiopia/Eritrea is equally negligent. Where is the high-level UK + US leadership? See: foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/12/e...
Stop the Next Ethiopia-Eritrea War Before It Begins
As armies deploy, Gulf states and their Western allies must halt an impending conflict that could inflame the entire Red Sea region.
foreignpolicy.com
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
8/ Second, Sudan's chaos was predictable. Once mass atrocities begin, options become limited. Prevention is key. The current lack of engagement in South Sudan & Ethiopia/Eritrea is equally negligent. Where is the high-level UK + US leadership? See: foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/12/e...
7/ Why does this matter? First, the culture of immunity & negligence continues in Western capitals. We need accountability from think tanks & political leaders to prevent policy failures in Sudan & Africa. Journalists get fooled by style rather than substance.
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
7/ Why does this matter? First, the culture of immunity & negligence continues in Western capitals. We need accountability from think tanks & political leaders to prevent policy failures in Sudan & Africa. Journalists get fooled by style rather than substance.
6/ Remember: We tried keeping UN peacekeepers in Darfur in 2020. The 2020 Juba Peace Agreement actually facilitated conflict. Western diplomats & experts ignored warnings and were patronizing. Clearly, I/we failed, also. See: foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/03/u...
How the U.N. and the West Failed Sudan
Self-delusion and negligence stopped governments and aid agencies from facilitating a genuine and lasting transition to democracy.
foreignpolicy.com
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
6/ Remember: We tried keeping UN peacekeepers in Darfur in 2020. The 2020 Juba Peace Agreement actually facilitated conflict. Western diplomats & experts ignored warnings and were patronizing. Clearly, I/we failed, also. See: foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/03/u...
5/ The West facilitated this disaster through arrogance & negligence. Many "experts" were useless in 2019-20 when concrete preventative steps could've been taken. The response from many in Washington was patronizing.
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
5/ The West facilitated this disaster through arrogance & negligence. Many "experts" were useless in 2019-20 when concrete preventative steps could've been taken. The response from many in Washington was patronizing.
4/ UAE, Egypt, Turkey, Iran & Russia provide weapons & support to Sudan's warring parties. Qatar & Saudi Arabia likely facilitate this too. They share significant responsibility, particularly the UAE.
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
4/ UAE, Egypt, Turkey, Iran & Russia provide weapons & support to Sudan's warring parties. Qatar & Saudi Arabia likely facilitate this too. They share significant responsibility, particularly the UAE.
3/ Let's be honest: Western policy on Sudan is subservient to financial & military ties with UAE, Turkey & Egypt. But Sudan's leaders are primarily responsible for what's happening. Blaming only the West is careless.
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
3/ Let's be honest: Western policy on Sudan is subservient to financial & military ties with UAE, Turkey & Egypt. But Sudan's leaders are primarily responsible for what's happening. Blaming only the West is careless.
2/ I continue to be embarrassed at the West's negligence, arrogance & patronization. History seems to be rewritten as we see statements of solidarity from governments. UN agencies and experts who ignored concrete actions during the transition.
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
2/ I continue to be embarrassed at the West's negligence, arrogance & patronization. History seems to be rewritten as we see statements of solidarity from governments. UN agencies and experts who ignored concrete actions during the transition.