Justin Lynch
justinlynch.bsky.social
Justin Lynch
@justinlynch.bsky.social
Managing Director, Conflict Insights Group, a public benefit analytics and research firm. co-author Sudan's Unfinished Democracy http://tinyurl.com/4mfzbe3n. views my own.
Reposted by Justin Lynch
This week’s column is on people losing their minds, and insulting the public’s intelligence, over Mamdani.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Zohran Mamdani won by being himself – and his victory has revealed the Islamophobic ugliness of others | Nesrine Malik
The vicious reaction to his New York mayoral success tells us this: the establishment will not countenance mainstream voters making common cause with Muslims, says Guardian columnist Nesrine Malik
www.theguardian.com
June 30, 2025 at 9:00 AM
“It seems hardly a coincidence that RSF public conferences in Nairobi were immediately followed by a $1.5 billion loan from the UAE and a surge in suspicious UAE-to-RSF shipments transiting through Kenya,” Lynch said.
June 16, 2025 at 5:47 AM
Great job by @bellingcat.com
and @nationafrica.bsky.social for their investigation into Kenyan-labeled crates of ammunition found in Sudan's civil war.

www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/06...
Kenyan Weapons Linked to Sudan’s Civil War - bellingcat
Bellingcat and our partners at Kenya’s Daily Nation have identified Kenyan-labelled crates of ammunition inside an alleged RSF depot close to the recently recaptured Sudanese capital Khartoum. Althoug...
www.bellingcat.com
June 16, 2025 at 5:47 AM
Reposted by Justin Lynch
After reports of drone strikes emerged from Port Sudan in early May, CIR's Sudan Witness used user-generated content (UGC) and satellite imagery to verify fires and damage to six sites in Port Sudan between 4 and 7 May 2025.
New report: www.info-res.org/reports/alle...
Alleged drone strikes in Port Sudan
CIR verified user-generated content and satellite imagery confirming fires and damage to six sites in Port Sudan.
www.info-res.org
May 14, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Last week’s UAV attacks in Port Sudan show how Sudan’s war is driven by new technology. The RSF have discovered a vulnerability in SAF’s anti-drone systems. SAF will close the vulnerability, but when? See my comments in the BBC. www.bbc.com/news/article...
Port Sudan strikes: Drone attacks raise stakes in new phase of bloody civil war - BBC News
Experts tell the BBC the air strikes showcase the growth of advanced drone warfare in Africa.
www.bbc.com
May 15, 2025 at 8:57 AM
Critical investigation by @clairelwilmot.bsky.social about how Meta offshored content moderation to the world's poorest countries. Sweatshops of the digital age. www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2025...
Meta’s content moderators face worst conditions yet at secret Ghana…
Hit by workers’ rights lawsuits in Kenya, the tech giant has moved its outsourcing to a top-secret new site – where life is grimmer still
www.thebureauinvestigates.com
May 8, 2025 at 8:54 AM
Sudan is suffering the world's worst famine in four decades, but aid is dwindling. I appeared on Al Jazeera's Inside Story with Kholood Khair to discuss how to save lives now and in the future. Here are the points I made:
youtube.com/watch?v=-J_J...
Why is aid to Sudan falling while famine and conflict worsen? | Inside Story
YouTube video by Al Jazeera English
m.youtube.com
May 2, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Reposted by Justin Lynch
Iran dreamed up a US-style Marshall Plan to rebuild Syria after the civil war. It invested billions to build influence there. Documents from its looted embassy show how that plan went spectacularly wrong with the fall of Bashar al-Assad reut.rs/3Ypri76
May 1, 2025 at 9:33 AM
1/ I can't imagine the anger & disappointment Sudanese feel today. The sit-in was a release of 30 years of fear & violence that erupted into euphoric celebration of democracy. It was a privilege to witness it. Today the transition has turned into a nightmare.
April 15, 2025 at 12:43 PM
Important article on the risks of a war between Eritrea and Ethiopia. CIG have seen evidence of a military buildup for a few months. foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/12/e...
Stop the Next Ethiopia-Eritrea War Before It Begins
As armies deploy, Gulf states and their Western allies must halt an impending conflict that could inflame the entire Red Sea region.
foreignpolicy.com
March 12, 2025 at 8:45 PM
It's looking bad again in Tigray. It's hard to know what will happen, but Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, DRC, and Somalia are all on the brink of or in the middle of state collapse/conflict. The future of the region is being decided in the Middle East.
March 11, 2025 at 8:33 PM
“You don’t need a lot of drones to turn the tide of war,” said
Justin Lynch, MD at Conflict Insights Group, a data analytics and research organization that helped authenticate the trove of documents. “You have seen a huge SAF advancement." www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
A Turkish arms firm helped fuel Sudan’s brutal civil war, records show
A trove of documents and communications provided to The Post reveals how a Turkish company covertly funneled weapons to the Sudanese army.
www.washingtonpost.com
March 7, 2025 at 3:57 PM
This is an exceptional article about war, trauma, and Ethiopia. tps://newlinesmag.com/reportage/the-monastery-at-the-heart-of-the-war-between-ethiopia-and-eritrea/
In Search of Ethiopia's Garima Gospels
Some of the world’s oldest Christian manuscripts are in hiding from the violence that has ripped through their region
newlinesmag.com
March 2, 2025 at 3:41 PM