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@jpip.bsky.social
Reposted by jp
Wow. I really didn't think he'd be foolish enough to do it.

Some initial thoughts, as writing them down will help me not scream 🧵
June 22, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Reposted by jp
There's research on this by Mona Lee Crook and Juliana Restrepo Sanin, among others.

It's not just a hunch - it's true.
June 14, 2025 at 5:41 PM
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Folks. Check your feeds. It's done
June 13, 2025 at 3:27 AM
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as someone whose life is devoted to the careful arrangement of facts, i have to say, i do think they care about my feelings
January 28, 2025 at 10:54 PM
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January 16, 2025 at 6:44 PM
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That’s that.
January 12, 2025 at 9:48 PM
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We ended 2024 with a graphical snapshot of Africa’s security trends—ten infographics (OK, eleven!) that illustrate the compounding effects of unresolved conflict, violent extremist insurgencies, external authoritarian actors vying for influence, and natural disasters.

africacenter.org/spo...
January 13, 2025 at 8:22 PM
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I am increasingly convinced that comparative politics (including especially me) has fundamentally misunderstood contemporary democratic backsliding. We are attending to elections and the rule of law, when the politics is more fundamental, about a vision for the state and society within it 1/x
December 15, 2024 at 8:32 PM
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This festive season I’m sharing a video every day for the next 24 days showing useful OSINT tools & techniques. Creating this OSINT Advent Series has been a lot of fun and I hope it’s helpful for the ever-growing OSINT community! 🎄👇
December 1, 2024 at 1:34 PM
Reposted by jp
A summary of key points to bear in mind as we watch the rapid developments in Syria.

The situation echoes many previous developments in Syria, except the circumstances today are different in a few new ways.
November 30, 2024 at 6:30 PM
Reposted by jp
Weak autocracies are far more common than strong autocracies.

They are also often far more dangerous and damaging than strong autocracies.

Never take hope from an autocrat’s weakness. Instead, prepare for the worst.

A 🧵 based on 2 of my books: (1/N)
November 23, 2024 at 10:39 AM
Academics coming over here from twitter like:
November 18, 2024 at 7:46 PM