Wow. I really didn't think he'd be foolish enough to do it.

Some initial thoughts, as writing them down will help me not scream 🧵

There's research on this by Mona Lee Crook and Juliana Restrepo Sanin, among others.

It's not just a hunch - it's true.

Folks. Check your feeds. It's done

as someone whose life is devoted to the careful arrangement of facts, i have to say, i do think they care about my feelings

That’s that.

We ended 2024 with a graphical snapshot of Africa’s security trends—ten infographics (OK, eleven!) that illustrate the compounding effects of unresolved conflict, violent extremist insurgencies, external authoritarian actors vying for influence, and natural disasters.

africacenter.org/spo...

I am increasingly convinced that comparative politics (including especially me) has fundamentally misunderstood contemporary democratic backsliding. We are attending to elections and the rule of law, when the politics is more fundamental, about a vision for the state and society within it 1/x

This festive season I’m sharing a video every day for the next 24 days showing useful OSINT tools & techniques. Creating this OSINT Advent Series has been a lot of fun and I hope it’s helpful for the ever-growing OSINT community! 🎄👇

A summary of key points to bear in mind as we watch the rapid developments in Syria.

The situation echoes many previous developments in Syria, except the circumstances today are different in a few new ways.

Weak autocracies are far more common than strong autocracies.

They are also often far more dangerous and damaging than strong autocracies.

Never take hope from an autocrat’s weakness. Instead, prepare for the worst.

A 🧵 based on 2 of my books: (1/N)

Academics coming over here from twitter like: