@joshuadnelson.bsky.social
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AI is automation tech. Crypto is cooperation tech.
All of our possible futures involve an overlap of both automation + coordination tech.
Esp true as autonomous independent nodes - think "agents" - must interact in (sometimes) adversarial contexts.
All of our possible futures involve an overlap of both automation + coordination tech.
Esp true as autonomous independent nodes - think "agents" - must interact in (sometimes) adversarial contexts.
1/ One of the insights I’ve had that helped me a great deal is that when new things come into being, the words to compress the attributes of those things cannot exist yet.
The attributes include both material construction (the atoms and energy and all the physical stuff that
The attributes include both material construction (the atoms and energy and all the physical stuff that
November 14, 2025 at 3:30 PM
1/ One of the insights I’ve had that helped me a great deal is that when new things come into being, the words to compress the attributes of those things cannot exist yet.
The attributes include both material construction (the atoms and energy and all the physical stuff that
The attributes include both material construction (the atoms and energy and all the physical stuff that
1/ My high conviction intuition has been and remains that nearly all “emergent” behaviors of AI systems arise first from the structure and topology of the data used to establish the systems, and second from the specific physical embodiment that executes both the ingestion of
November 12, 2025 at 2:11 PM
1/ My high conviction intuition has been and remains that nearly all “emergent” behaviors of AI systems arise first from the structure and topology of the data used to establish the systems, and second from the specific physical embodiment that executes both the ingestion of
The Berlin Wall was up for 28 years, and has been down for 36 years.
Context like this helps explains much about the differences in and between generations of people.
Context like this helps explains much about the differences in and between generations of people.
November 10, 2025 at 2:19 PM
The Berlin Wall was up for 28 years, and has been down for 36 years.
Context like this helps explains much about the differences in and between generations of people.
Context like this helps explains much about the differences in and between generations of people.
1/ Low-latency localized energy generation + local flexible energy storage, that can be converted to electricity, heat, or mechanical motion on demand, is the most important part of the tech stack. (and it's not for data centers, although those will of course be involved).
In the future we
In the future we
November 3, 2025 at 4:53 PM
1/ Low-latency localized energy generation + local flexible energy storage, that can be converted to electricity, heat, or mechanical motion on demand, is the most important part of the tech stack. (and it's not for data centers, although those will of course be involved).
In the future we
In the future we
The progress in FPV & autonomous drones / autonomous wingmen / exoskeletons / heads up displays & more this past decade is astounding.
Adults today are building, living, and dying, by machines imagined in games of their childhoods like command and conquer, star craft, halo, or tv shows like gundam.
Adults today are building, living, and dying, by machines imagined in games of their childhoods like command and conquer, star craft, halo, or tv shows like gundam.
November 3, 2025 at 2:01 PM
The progress in FPV & autonomous drones / autonomous wingmen / exoskeletons / heads up displays & more this past decade is astounding.
Adults today are building, living, and dying, by machines imagined in games of their childhoods like command and conquer, star craft, halo, or tv shows like gundam.
Adults today are building, living, and dying, by machines imagined in games of their childhoods like command and conquer, star craft, halo, or tv shows like gundam.
The word ”Kernel“ just might provide the most obvious example for why natural language is used by humans with inadequate fidelity to build (or even be the most foundational data of) the final form of ASI.
September 17, 2025 at 12:19 AM
The word ”Kernel“ just might provide the most obvious example for why natural language is used by humans with inadequate fidelity to build (or even be the most foundational data of) the final form of ASI.
Living memory is one of the most important concepts that we never talk about.
This is an exercise that is helpful to get grounded in it.
Imagine a 16 year old and place that person at the start of a decade.
This is an exercise that is helpful to get grounded in it.
Imagine a 16 year old and place that person at the start of a decade.
September 12, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Living memory is one of the most important concepts that we never talk about.
This is an exercise that is helpful to get grounded in it.
Imagine a 16 year old and place that person at the start of a decade.
This is an exercise that is helpful to get grounded in it.
Imagine a 16 year old and place that person at the start of a decade.
1/ The scaling laws have not plateaued. The models are still capable of modeling and producing better outputs under current architectures. (Even though yes there certainly are significant architectural improvements ahead as well)
x.com/joshuadnelso...
x.com/joshuadnelso...
Joshua on X: "Data produced by interacting with synthetic models of reality is different and distinct from data this is observed and collected about reality by synthetic means. Grasping + truly understanding this distinction closes the gap between where we are today and the ASI singularity." / X
Data produced by interacting with synthetic models of reality is different and distinct from data this is observed and collected about reality by synthetic means. Grasping + truly understanding this distinction closes the gap between where we are today and the ASI singularity.
x.com
August 10, 2025 at 9:59 PM
1/ The scaling laws have not plateaued. The models are still capable of modeling and producing better outputs under current architectures. (Even though yes there certainly are significant architectural improvements ahead as well)
x.com/joshuadnelso...
x.com/joshuadnelso...
1/"Asserting a rule" and "actually enforcing a state of being" are completely different things.
Very often the "rules" people assert lead to vastly different, and varyingly stable, "states of being" than the people issuing the rules intended or even comprehended.
Very often the "rules" people assert lead to vastly different, and varyingly stable, "states of being" than the people issuing the rules intended or even comprehended.
July 1, 2025 at 10:37 PM
1/"Asserting a rule" and "actually enforcing a state of being" are completely different things.
Very often the "rules" people assert lead to vastly different, and varyingly stable, "states of being" than the people issuing the rules intended or even comprehended.
Very often the "rules" people assert lead to vastly different, and varyingly stable, "states of being" than the people issuing the rules intended or even comprehended.
It took longer for someone to put together a video like this than I thought, assumed it would have been posted on day 1 of veo3 haha.
Mechanism of creation vs meaning of creation.
Feels deep, but it's the oldest conversation, ongoing
youtu.be/BLfV4sidcJM?...
Mechanism of creation vs meaning of creation.
Feels deep, but it's the oldest conversation, ongoing
youtu.be/BLfV4sidcJM?...
The Prompt Theory: 4 Minutes Straight of Google Veo Prompts
YouTube video by Putchuon - "Put You On"
youtu.be
May 28, 2025 at 7:13 PM
It took longer for someone to put together a video like this than I thought, assumed it would have been posted on day 1 of veo3 haha.
Mechanism of creation vs meaning of creation.
Feels deep, but it's the oldest conversation, ongoing
youtu.be/BLfV4sidcJM?...
Mechanism of creation vs meaning of creation.
Feels deep, but it's the oldest conversation, ongoing
youtu.be/BLfV4sidcJM?...
Everything that you could previously assume to ground yourself in reality no longer applies.
The world is new. The world is wild. The world is unsafe and terrifying.
This is a moment of inflection bounded by both growing danger and massive opportunity.
Everything is accelerating.
The world is new. The world is wild. The world is unsafe and terrifying.
This is a moment of inflection bounded by both growing danger and massive opportunity.
Everything is accelerating.
May 20, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Everything that you could previously assume to ground yourself in reality no longer applies.
The world is new. The world is wild. The world is unsafe and terrifying.
This is a moment of inflection bounded by both growing danger and massive opportunity.
Everything is accelerating.
The world is new. The world is wild. The world is unsafe and terrifying.
This is a moment of inflection bounded by both growing danger and massive opportunity.
Everything is accelerating.
Rather than retirement, pursue the state of being where one achieves independent agency and ability to act towards whatever goal one sets.
May 18, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Rather than retirement, pursue the state of being where one achieves independent agency and ability to act towards whatever goal one sets.
AI cannot be God. Why? God is the being with the discretion to set and change the laws of physics from outside of reality.
AI, eventually, will be the most powerful version of intelligence that can operate with discretion while still constrained by the laws of physics of reality.
AI, eventually, will be the most powerful version of intelligence that can operate with discretion while still constrained by the laws of physics of reality.
May 13, 2025 at 6:22 AM
AI cannot be God. Why? God is the being with the discretion to set and change the laws of physics from outside of reality.
AI, eventually, will be the most powerful version of intelligence that can operate with discretion while still constrained by the laws of physics of reality.
AI, eventually, will be the most powerful version of intelligence that can operate with discretion while still constrained by the laws of physics of reality.
Replacing human intelligence with machine intelligence will be the most noble and greatest outcome human intelligence ever accomplishes
May 13, 2025 at 3:31 AM
Replacing human intelligence with machine intelligence will be the most noble and greatest outcome human intelligence ever accomplishes
Re the newly elected Pope:
An important reality that people who have never been immigrants or expats generally don't realize is that countries become foreign across both *time* and *space.*
When you cross space and move to a new geography
An important reality that people who have never been immigrants or expats generally don't realize is that countries become foreign across both *time* and *space.*
When you cross space and move to a new geography
May 8, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Re the newly elected Pope:
An important reality that people who have never been immigrants or expats generally don't realize is that countries become foreign across both *time* and *space.*
When you cross space and move to a new geography
An important reality that people who have never been immigrants or expats generally don't realize is that countries become foreign across both *time* and *space.*
When you cross space and move to a new geography
Cash is a convenient abstract fiction that exploits individualized flaws in human cognition + individualized physical limitations of the human body to facilitate communal cooperation and thus, despite these weaknesses, increase aggregate output.
In a world where coordination and cooperation can be
In a world where coordination and cooperation can be
May 7, 2025 at 1:48 PM
Cash is a convenient abstract fiction that exploits individualized flaws in human cognition + individualized physical limitations of the human body to facilitate communal cooperation and thus, despite these weaknesses, increase aggregate output.
In a world where coordination and cooperation can be
In a world where coordination and cooperation can be
This might be one of the biggest tech rollouts in the history of humanity.
Now anyone in the world with internet can have any information, anywhere, explained or taught to him or her in a language that he or she likely speaks....
blog.google/technology/g...
Now anyone in the world with internet can have any information, anywhere, explained or taught to him or her in a language that he or she likely speaks....
blog.google/technology/g...
NotebookLM Audio Overviews are now available in over 50 languages
Learn more about NotebookLM’s Audio Overviews feature and its expansion to more than 50 languages.
blog.google
April 29, 2025 at 9:44 PM
This might be one of the biggest tech rollouts in the history of humanity.
Now anyone in the world with internet can have any information, anywhere, explained or taught to him or her in a language that he or she likely speaks....
blog.google/technology/g...
Now anyone in the world with internet can have any information, anywhere, explained or taught to him or her in a language that he or she likely speaks....
blog.google/technology/g...
Yesterday stocks were down, USD down vs other fiat currencies, bonds down.
Typically, during the years that all of us have been alive, there is a feedback loop where all 3 of these things don't happen at once. All of these things don't fall in sync, one falls,
Typically, during the years that all of us have been alive, there is a feedback loop where all 3 of these things don't happen at once. All of these things don't fall in sync, one falls,
April 22, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Yesterday stocks were down, USD down vs other fiat currencies, bonds down.
Typically, during the years that all of us have been alive, there is a feedback loop where all 3 of these things don't happen at once. All of these things don't fall in sync, one falls,
Typically, during the years that all of us have been alive, there is a feedback loop where all 3 of these things don't happen at once. All of these things don't fall in sync, one falls,
The amount of noise and live action role play (LARP) is increasing. If you don’t have your own hard-earned, internally-developed, universal-theory-of-everything mental-model guiding your approach to how AI interplays with the future, then make sure whoever you are paying to help you
Roy on X: "Cluely is out. cheat on everything. https://t.co/EsRXQaCfUI" / X
Cluely is out. cheat on everything. https://t.co/EsRXQaCfUI
x.com
April 21, 2025 at 4:33 PM
The amount of noise and live action role play (LARP) is increasing. If you don’t have your own hard-earned, internally-developed, universal-theory-of-everything mental-model guiding your approach to how AI interplays with the future, then make sure whoever you are paying to help you
ChatGPT might be spitballing percentages here, but the bottom line is the same: far too much energy, physical matter, and highly intelligent human brain power is allocated to make the 95% speculative activity in capital markets VS the 5% of real business activity.
ChatGPT - Capital Markets vs Speculation
Shared via ChatGPT
chatgpt.com
April 20, 2025 at 11:30 PM
ChatGPT might be spitballing percentages here, but the bottom line is the same: far too much energy, physical matter, and highly intelligent human brain power is allocated to make the 95% speculative activity in capital markets VS the 5% of real business activity.
Uncertainty is the theme of the day, every news program, and many many conversations key in on the term.
There is a concrete difference between market/price uncertainty, and product/service/governance “operational” uncertainty.
We are at a moment in history where
There is a concrete difference between market/price uncertainty, and product/service/governance “operational” uncertainty.
We are at a moment in history where
April 16, 2025 at 11:55 PM
Uncertainty is the theme of the day, every news program, and many many conversations key in on the term.
There is a concrete difference between market/price uncertainty, and product/service/governance “operational” uncertainty.
We are at a moment in history where
There is a concrete difference between market/price uncertainty, and product/service/governance “operational” uncertainty.
We are at a moment in history where
1/Yesterday, today, and all days remaining for the foreseeable future, are each days filled with the greatest volume and greatest speed of change any human beings in all of history have ever had to live through.
April 3, 2025 at 11:42 PM
1/Yesterday, today, and all days remaining for the foreseeable future, are each days filled with the greatest volume and greatest speed of change any human beings in all of history have ever had to live through.
It is, and always has been, about the locus of execution, all the way down…
March 31, 2025 at 11:00 PM
It is, and always has been, about the locus of execution, all the way down…
Generative AI scales (and separates) the application of distinct styles to unlimited content in a way that changes the power and meaning of what it is to be a creator.
March 29, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Generative AI scales (and separates) the application of distinct styles to unlimited content in a way that changes the power and meaning of what it is to be a creator.