Josh Housden
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joshhousden.bsky.social
Josh Housden
@joshhousden.bsky.social
He/Him • Green Party member 🍉 • I tweet about politics
How many constituency seats do the SNP win in your model? I thought 57 seemed a bit low for a 20pt lead
April 15, 2025 at 8:47 PM
This implies Labour's vote share in Scotland is now back to being lower than the UK total

GE2024: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 35.3% 🇬🇧 33.7%
Jan polls: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 ~20% 🇬🇧 ~25%
February 2, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Pact is calculated by assuming the 2nd largest projected party (per constituency) steps aside, and ~66% of their voters are willing to tactically lend support

The 66% figure is adjustable but I'll admit, I have no clue what it would be in practice
November 28, 2024 at 4:35 PM