John T Ormerod
johntormerod.bsky.social
John T Ormerod
@johntormerod.bsky.social
Statistician at Sydney University.
I like likelihoods.
October 18, 2025 at 2:40 PM
It is a model all the way down.
October 18, 2025 at 2:38 PM
I taught this for the first time in my course this year. We ended up doing a couple of weeks. It isn't much, but at least they got a taste of it.
September 26, 2025 at 4:49 AM
What an interesting sounding course!
August 5, 2025 at 12:25 AM
As my mum would say: :Butter wouldn't melt in its mouth".
July 19, 2025 at 9:55 AM
I make the sun rise by waking up.
July 14, 2025 at 2:31 PM
TSGTA =Three statisticians gave ten answers.
July 14, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Oorah. The other day I felt real feelings.
two men are standing next to each other in a room .
ALT: two men are standing next to each other in a room .
media.tenor.com
July 14, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Owf. Damage done.
July 14, 2025 at 1:32 PM
I miss random too, but am all for an adopted kitten, yay.
July 10, 2025 at 2:07 PM
The new normal.
July 4, 2025 at 2:15 PM
So senseless. What a waste of life.
July 3, 2025 at 10:03 AM
God loved everyone whoever they are, man, woman or any other child of god.
June 29, 2025 at 3:34 PM
And what is your evidence against it?
June 29, 2025 at 2:15 PM
To double down as a statistician, what is your null hypothesis?
June 29, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Not all fields are at the same levels of maturity. Physics is at a different level of maturity as the social sciences, for example. Do you have an expectant difference in replicability for *any* field for the replicability given that all fields are exploring the forefront of their research areas?
June 29, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Reposted by John T Ormerod
As the prior probability of any arbitrary molecule curing a cancer is extremely low than by Bayes rule alone even an extremely efficient science would produce many false positives.
June 29, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Frequentist super-raft vs Bayesian superyachts, I know what I am choosing.
June 29, 2025 at 12:01 PM
Then why use the word crisis? If science isn't stagnating, is there really a crisis?
June 29, 2025 at 10:10 AM