John Sugden
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johnsug.bsky.social
John Sugden
@johnsug.bsky.social
Armchair analytics for ultramarathons I'll likely never run
March 20, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Are you giving Laz a copy to hide in Frozen Head next year? 😆
March 20, 2025 at 4:54 PM
*since at least 1995, @taka-does-stuff.bsky.social 's database only goes back that far
March 20, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Reposted by John Sugden
Need to zoom in on the #bm100 fun run zone i.e. till 4am. The main issue will be the wind but temps and clouds should hold off for a bit.
March 20, 2025 at 1:33 AM
For anyone else, I'd say no, but I'm not ready to bet against Tomo and John
March 20, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Keith posted that four started loop 3, though Max quickly noped out
March 19, 2025 at 10:25 PM
I forgot Sébastien Raichon raced last year; it took him 13:29:13 to complete loop 3; he'd have to complete loop 3 again in 14:30:45 for a fun run this year

3/2 (oops, I guess people usually write out their multi-thread posts first)
March 19, 2025 at 9:29 PM
For John Kelly to go to Loop 4, he'd need to finish in 10:59:20. His prior loop 3 finishes (in likely better years) were 12:12:49, 12:24:25, 12:39:59, 15:52:08, 11:56:59, and 12:09:08. I'm skeptical about him completing an 11 hour loop, but he has lots of margin (14:59:20) to go for a fun run

2/2
March 19, 2025 at 9:27 PM
correct
March 19, 2025 at 9:27 PM
"Max seems relaxed"
30 minutes later "Max is out"
Lol
March 19, 2025 at 7:36 PM
ooops, that's what I get for commenting without reading the whole thread
March 19, 2025 at 6:29 PM
I'd love to be wrong, but I don't see either completing loop 3 in 11 hours, to make the 36 hour cutoff to start loop 4. That being said, both are capable to finish under the 40 hour fun run.
March 19, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Apologies for the grainy graphics, I still have yet to find a way to make compelling-looking visuals on Bluesky :/
March 19, 2025 at 3:18 PM
But could also be Domo
March 19, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Based on the limited entrants list, Aurélien (who finished in 2023 but only finished two loops last year)
March 19, 2025 at 1:32 PM
brutal
March 19, 2025 at 11:20 AM
March 19, 2025 at 11:16 AM