John Sugden
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johnsug.bsky.social
John Sugden
@johnsug.bsky.social
Armchair analytics for ultramarathons I'll likely never run
A warmer year led to lower top-10 times in both fields, but yesterday was still an exciting #wser
June 29, 2025 at 2:19 PM
March 20, 2025 at 7:25 PM
this year was brutal -- looks like the fewest total loops completed (and average loops per runner) since 1995 #bm100
March 20, 2025 at 4:03 PM
final tracker (more or less -- still don't know who was the tenth runner to complete the first loop) -- congrats on a fun time in Frozen Head, John Kelly! #bm100
March 20, 2025 at 3:31 PM
weather forecasts from www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Frozen...

"Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Freeze-thaw conditions (max 13°C on Wed night, min -4°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (severe gales from the SSW on Wed night, light winds from the NW by Fri morning)." #bm100
March 20, 2025 at 12:39 AM
Keith posted that four started loop 3, though Max quickly noped out
March 19, 2025 at 10:25 PM
I forgot Sébastien Raichon raced last year; it took him 13:29:13 to complete loop 3; he'd have to complete loop 3 again in 14:30:45 for a fun run this year

3/2 (oops, I guess people usually write out their multi-thread posts first)
March 19, 2025 at 9:29 PM
more or less, how things look now #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 8:56 PM
A fun run is a strong possibility for Tomo; he's roughly in the same spot as he was in 2019 which resulted in a fun run as well #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 4:33 PM
It's hard to update the tracker when we don't know which six runners are still out there, but the best update I can do it this: The #bm100 has been on-going for 23+ hours now. Since 1998, only 26% of runners who took over 23 hours to finish loop 2 even made it to a fun run :/
March 19, 2025 at 3:17 PM
brutal
March 19, 2025 at 11:20 AM
Note, per @taka-does-stuff.bsky.social John Kelly came in right after Tomo, and not in the first wave like I assumed. That being the case, his historical performance looks like this; the Barkley is out for blood this year #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 11:06 AM
the real march madness #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 11:04 AM
twelve hours in, lots of carnage already #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 3:39 AM
simplifying a bit (assuming no one will get past the fun run, but I can always expand as needed), but I'm not sure it's yet really "readable" #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 3:27 AM
fixing the daytime/nighttime shading #bm100 - go Tomo go
March 19, 2025 at 3:10 AM
I know these initial charts are pointless, but if nothing else, helps me work on the formatting (I'm still new to creating charts for Bluesky) #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 2:25 AM
Assuming John Kelly was the 9:44:55 (or 9:44:57), this is how this year compares to previous attempts -- looking grim #bm100
March 19, 2025 at 1:55 AM
ohh, fat fingers, yes I'll correct that
March 18, 2025 at 7:07 PM
better aspect ratios #bm100
March 18, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Found this guide for anyone else creating content for Bluesky
March 18, 2025 at 2:26 PM