John P Grogan
@johnpgrogan1.bsky.social
Cognitive neuroscience postdoc at Trinity College Dublin, developing models of neural activity during decision making. @JohnPGrogan@mastodon.world. @JohnPGrogan1 on twitter
Read the paper to see how assumptions about initial-decisions (e.g. collapsing-boundaries) influence post-decision confidence model computations and comparisons, and how we went about simulating a CPP proxy signal (doi.org/10.1101/2025...)
Neurally-informed modelling unravels a single evidence accumulation process for choices and subsequent confidence reports
Subjective confidence in perceptual choices depends on computations occurring prior to and after choice commitment. However, the nature of these computations remains unclear. Current models disagree o...
doi.org
June 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Read the paper to see how assumptions about initial-decisions (e.g. collapsing-boundaries) influence post-decision confidence model computations and comparisons, and how we went about simulating a CPP proxy signal (doi.org/10.1101/2025...)
Overall, we found and that post-decision confidence can be explained by a Single accumulation process that continues from initial decision until reaching a post-decision collapsing confidence-boundary, and comparing models' decision-dynamics to the CPP can distinguish behaviourall-similar models.
June 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Overall, we found and that post-decision confidence can be explained by a Single accumulation process that continues from initial decision until reaching a post-decision collapsing confidence-boundary, and comparing models' decision-dynamics to the CPP can distinguish behaviourall-similar models.
to get Certainty effects before the initial choice, as we have seen previously (e.g. Grogan et al., 2023).
No model could replicate a surprising result; that the CPP was larger when speed-pressure (short deadline) was applied to the confidence-ratings, suggesting additional mechanisms at play...
No model could replicate a surprising result; that the CPP was larger when speed-pressure (short deadline) was applied to the confidence-ratings, suggesting additional mechanisms at play...
June 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
to get Certainty effects before the initial choice, as we have seen previously (e.g. Grogan et al., 2023).
No model could replicate a surprising result; that the CPP was larger when speed-pressure (short deadline) was applied to the confidence-ratings, suggesting additional mechanisms at play...
No model could replicate a surprising result; that the CPP was larger when speed-pressure (short deadline) was applied to the confidence-ratings, suggesting additional mechanisms at play...
Boundary-Single models could replicate the effects of Certainty we saw on the CPP, while Boundary-Distinct could not, especially for pre-choice effects.
Having pre- and post-choice as a Single process allows evidence-info to carry over and inform certainty ratings, which seems to be necessary...
Having pre- and post-choice as a Single process allows evidence-info to carry over and inform certainty ratings, which seems to be necessary...
June 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Boundary-Single models could replicate the effects of Certainty we saw on the CPP, while Boundary-Distinct could not, especially for pre-choice effects.
Having pre- and post-choice as a Single process allows evidence-info to carry over and inform certainty ratings, which seems to be necessary...
Having pre- and post-choice as a Single process allows evidence-info to carry over and inform certainty ratings, which seems to be necessary...
there was little difference between Boundary models where the pre- and post-decision accumulation processes were Distinct or a Single process, when looking at behavioural fits.
However, simulating Decision-Variable accumulation traces allowed us to compare these different mechanisms directly...
However, simulating Decision-Variable accumulation traces allowed us to compare these different mechanisms directly...
June 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
there was little difference between Boundary models where the pre- and post-decision accumulation processes were Distinct or a Single process, when looking at behavioural fits.
However, simulating Decision-Variable accumulation traces allowed us to compare these different mechanisms directly...
However, simulating Decision-Variable accumulation traces allowed us to compare these different mechanisms directly...
on a task with long or short post-decision deadlines to rate confidence, which induced a post-decision/confidence speed-accuracy trade-off.
Post-decision accumulation was better explained by accumulation to collapsing confidence-boundaries, than by a Time-based stopping rule, but...
Post-decision accumulation was better explained by accumulation to collapsing confidence-boundaries, than by a Time-based stopping rule, but...
June 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
on a task with long or short post-decision deadlines to rate confidence, which induced a post-decision/confidence speed-accuracy trade-off.
Post-decision accumulation was better explained by accumulation to collapsing confidence-boundaries, than by a Time-based stopping rule, but...
Post-decision accumulation was better explained by accumulation to collapsing confidence-boundaries, than by a Time-based stopping rule, but...
Different confidence models can give very similar behavioural predictions, making it hard to compare them, but they often make different predictions for the decision dynamics. We simulated Decision Variable traces, and compared them to a neural metric of evidence accumulation, the CPP...
June 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Different confidence models can give very similar behavioural predictions, making it hard to compare them, but they often make different predictions for the decision dynamics. We simulated Decision Variable traces, and compared them to a neural metric of evidence accumulation, the CPP...