John Pfaff
@johnpfaff.bsky.social
Professor at Fordham Law. Prisons and criminal justice quant. I'm not contrarian, the data are. Author of Locked In. New stuff at johnfpfaff.com.
I’d also note that article notes that the arrest was for the felony but the booking was not.
So seems like cops may have over-arrested and downgraded right away.
Which makes the bail even more preposterous.
HUGE props, too, to the Daily Cal for providing actual crim code sections for reference.
So seems like cops may have over-arrested and downgraded right away.
Which makes the bail even more preposterous.
HUGE props, too, to the Daily Cal for providing actual crim code sections for reference.
November 11, 2025 at 7:45 AM
I’d also note that article notes that the arrest was for the felony but the booking was not.
So seems like cops may have over-arrested and downgraded right away.
Which makes the bail even more preposterous.
HUGE props, too, to the Daily Cal for providing actual crim code sections for reference.
So seems like cops may have over-arrested and downgraded right away.
Which makes the bail even more preposterous.
HUGE props, too, to the Daily Cal for providing actual crim code sections for reference.
Reposted by John Pfaff
“Ain’t gonna play the Kennedy Center” is going to be the new “Ain’t gonna play Sun City.”
November 11, 2025 at 2:27 AM
“Ain’t gonna play the Kennedy Center” is going to be the new “Ain’t gonna play Sun City.”
“Ain’t gonna play the Kennedy Center” is going to be the new “Ain’t gonna play Sun City.”
November 11, 2025 at 2:27 AM
“Ain’t gonna play the Kennedy Center” is going to be the new “Ain’t gonna play Sun City.”
I think there’s something symbolically important in saying “this was a tie,” not “that was close.”
To me, it’s about being honest about significant figures (which here I do not think run out to the ones place).
To me, it’s about being honest about significant figures (which here I do not think run out to the ones place).
November 11, 2025 at 2:14 AM
I think there’s something symbolically important in saying “this was a tie,” not “that was close.”
To me, it’s about being honest about significant figures (which here I do not think run out to the ones place).
To me, it’s about being honest about significant figures (which here I do not think run out to the ones place).
This is very bad, to be clear.
But I feel like the politics is to not to say “oh, well, guess everyone gets a blank check.”
It’s to start pointing out all the OTHER ways our federalized system can impose accountability when the President is the problem.
But I feel like the politics is to not to say “oh, well, guess everyone gets a blank check.”
It’s to start pointing out all the OTHER ways our federalized system can impose accountability when the President is the problem.
November 10, 2025 at 10:26 PM
This is very bad, to be clear.
But I feel like the politics is to not to say “oh, well, guess everyone gets a blank check.”
It’s to start pointing out all the OTHER ways our federalized system can impose accountability when the President is the problem.
But I feel like the politics is to not to say “oh, well, guess everyone gets a blank check.”
It’s to start pointing out all the OTHER ways our federalized system can impose accountability when the President is the problem.
I thought PA was fairly loose. Is that not correct (asked sincerely, not rhetorically)? I guess the question, tho, is “vs. Indiana.”
November 10, 2025 at 9:53 PM
I thought PA was fairly loose. Is that not correct (asked sincerely, not rhetorically)? I guess the question, tho, is “vs. Indiana.”
But other cities have tough laws while sitting next to states w lax laws and don’t see this low a level of shooting. So those laws may be necessary, but I don’t think they’re sufficient.
November 10, 2025 at 9:50 PM
But other cities have tough laws while sitting next to states w lax laws and don’t see this low a level of shooting. So those laws may be necessary, but I don’t think they’re sufficient.
As always, I think every terminally-online poster needs to be assigned a Grass-Touching Medium-Info Normie Buddy.
At times of high political stress, all hot-takes should be vetted by the Buddy.
I have a Buddy. I can’t swear by it enough.
At times of high political stress, all hot-takes should be vetted by the Buddy.
I have a Buddy. I can’t swear by it enough.
a close up of a person 's hand laying on the grass .
Alt: a close up of a person 's hand laying on the grass .
media.tenor.com
November 10, 2025 at 8:38 PM
As always, I think every terminally-online poster needs to be assigned a Grass-Touching Medium-Info Normie Buddy.
At times of high political stress, all hot-takes should be vetted by the Buddy.
I have a Buddy. I can’t swear by it enough.
At times of high political stress, all hot-takes should be vetted by the Buddy.
I have a Buddy. I can’t swear by it enough.
So which party you belong to and who you vote for says much less about you as you (putting aside that even multiparty systems don’t have THAT many parties).
Which could almost be liberating, in a way.
There’s no personal brand/aesthetic judgement here.
Just do what wins you the most.
Which could almost be liberating, in a way.
There’s no personal brand/aesthetic judgement here.
Just do what wins you the most.
November 10, 2025 at 8:28 PM
So which party you belong to and who you vote for says much less about you as you (putting aside that even multiparty systems don’t have THAT many parties).
Which could almost be liberating, in a way.
There’s no personal brand/aesthetic judgement here.
Just do what wins you the most.
Which could almost be liberating, in a way.
There’s no personal brand/aesthetic judgement here.
Just do what wins you the most.
In a true multiparty, coalition-based parliamentary system, perhaps you can more perfectly choose the party that describes your entire set of values the best (and then let those you vote for do the ugly compromising to enact legislation).
But our system constrains you to two choices. It just does.
But our system constrains you to two choices. It just does.
a cartoon says it 's a two-party system you have to vote for one of us ..
Alt: a cartoon says it 's a two-party system you have to vote for one of us ..
media.tenor.com
November 10, 2025 at 8:28 PM
In a true multiparty, coalition-based parliamentary system, perhaps you can more perfectly choose the party that describes your entire set of values the best (and then let those you vote for do the ugly compromising to enact legislation).
But our system constrains you to two choices. It just does.
But our system constrains you to two choices. It just does.
If there is anything like the NJRP at the local level, I’d love to see that too.
November 10, 2025 at 6:20 PM
If there is anything like the NJRP at the local level, I’d love to see that too.
The NYS bail reform datasets start from arraignment to … well, depends. For misdemeanors, disposition I think. For felonies it’s until transfer to the “supreme” (lowest state) court.
So at least you get a view of Misdemeanorland. Not sure what years, but starts in 2019, pre-reform.
So at least you get a view of Misdemeanorland. Not sure what years, but starts in 2019, pre-reform.
November 10, 2025 at 6:19 PM
The NYS bail reform datasets start from arraignment to … well, depends. For misdemeanors, disposition I think. For felonies it’s until transfer to the “supreme” (lowest state) court.
So at least you get a view of Misdemeanorland. Not sure what years, but starts in 2019, pre-reform.
So at least you get a view of Misdemeanorland. Not sure what years, but starts in 2019, pre-reform.