Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Fewer workers. Fewer international students. More people leaving.
A "step in the right direction" according to the PM.
Impossible to take PM/govt seriously on growth if they are deliberately reducing it (and making the fiscal position worse) *as a matter of policy*.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
A "step in the right direction" according to the PM.
Impossible to take PM/govt seriously on growth if they are deliberately reducing it (and making the fiscal position worse) *as a matter of policy*.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
UK net migration falls sharply with drop in arrivals for work and study
Provisional figures for net migration to the UK show levels dropped to 204,000 in the year to June 2025.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 27, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Fewer workers. Fewer international students. More people leaving.
A "step in the right direction" according to the PM.
Impossible to take PM/govt seriously on growth if they are deliberately reducing it (and making the fiscal position worse) *as a matter of policy*.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
A "step in the right direction" according to the PM.
Impossible to take PM/govt seriously on growth if they are deliberately reducing it (and making the fiscal position worse) *as a matter of policy*.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Me on @bloomberg.com discussing the two child limit
November 27, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Me on @bloomberg.com discussing the two child limit
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Today we’ll get latest net immigration figures - They’ll show immigration for work is plummeting.
Why is this not part of the discussion on Rachel Reeves balancing her books & stalled growth?
For every 100,000 drop in net immigration, the OBR adds £7bn to the deficit. #r4today
Why is this not part of the discussion on Rachel Reeves balancing her books & stalled growth?
For every 100,000 drop in net immigration, the OBR adds £7bn to the deficit. #r4today
November 27, 2025 at 8:41 AM
Today we’ll get latest net immigration figures - They’ll show immigration for work is plummeting.
Why is this not part of the discussion on Rachel Reeves balancing her books & stalled growth?
For every 100,000 drop in net immigration, the OBR adds £7bn to the deficit. #r4today
Why is this not part of the discussion on Rachel Reeves balancing her books & stalled growth?
For every 100,000 drop in net immigration, the OBR adds £7bn to the deficit. #r4today
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
One big risk to the OBR forecasts has already materialised -migration is falling more quickly than their projections and that will hit growth and tax revenue.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cn...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cn...
UK net migration drops sharply to 204,000 in year to June - live updates
Net migration fell by around two-thirds - from 649,000 in the year to June 2024 to 204,000 in the year to June 2025.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 27, 2025 at 9:55 AM
One big risk to the OBR forecasts has already materialised -migration is falling more quickly than their projections and that will hit growth and tax revenue.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cn...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cn...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Wer heute glaubt, die Rechtsextremen zu schwächen, indem er ihre Politik normalisiert, gar mit ihnen kooperiert, hat aus der Geschichte nichts gelernt - unsere Rede anlässlich des Geschwister-Scholl-Preises. @camlinger.bsky.social @suhrkamp.de
Rede von Carolin Amlinger und Oliver Nachtwey zum Geschwister-Scholl-Preis
Die Demokratie befindet sich in einer ihrer tiefsten Krisen. Doch eine Umkehr ist möglich – das ist das Vermächtnis der Geschwister Scholl.
www.sueddeutsche.de
November 26, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Wer heute glaubt, die Rechtsextremen zu schwächen, indem er ihre Politik normalisiert, gar mit ihnen kooperiert, hat aus der Geschichte nichts gelernt - unsere Rede anlässlich des Geschwister-Scholl-Preises. @camlinger.bsky.social @suhrkamp.de
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
"Demnach betrachtet Deutschland den promovierten, approbierten, berufstätigen, ins Team integrierten, Steuern zahlenden Arzt Jamil Nawlo ausschließlich als Flüchtling."
Kann mir einer erklären, wieso es diese Geschichten immer wieder gibt? Ich. Verstehe. Es. Nicht.
www.maz-online.de/lokales/bran...
Kann mir einer erklären, wieso es diese Geschichten immer wieder gibt? Ich. Verstehe. Es. Nicht.
www.maz-online.de/lokales/bran...
Notfall-Chirurg droht Ausweisung, weil Ausländerbehörde nicht reagiert
Jamil Nawlo, vor elf Jahren aus Syrien geflüchtet, lebt in Brandenburg an der Havel und arbeitet als Chirurg fest in der Notaufnahme in Cottbus. Seit 2023 bemüht er sich um die Einbürgerung, doch die ...
www.maz-online.de
November 26, 2025 at 10:53 AM
"Demnach betrachtet Deutschland den promovierten, approbierten, berufstätigen, ins Team integrierten, Steuern zahlenden Arzt Jamil Nawlo ausschließlich als Flüchtling."
Kann mir einer erklären, wieso es diese Geschichten immer wieder gibt? Ich. Verstehe. Es. Nicht.
www.maz-online.de/lokales/bran...
Kann mir einer erklären, wieso es diese Geschichten immer wieder gibt? Ich. Verstehe. Es. Nicht.
www.maz-online.de/lokales/bran...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
The government has announced it intends to abolish the two-child limit, at a cost of £3bn according to @OBR_UK.
This is one of the most cost-effective levers the government has to achieve a quick reduction in child poverty, given the high poverty rates among larger families.
#Budget2025
This is one of the most cost-effective levers the government has to achieve a quick reduction in child poverty, given the high poverty rates among larger families.
#Budget2025
November 26, 2025 at 2:55 PM
The government has announced it intends to abolish the two-child limit, at a cost of £3bn according to @OBR_UK.
This is one of the most cost-effective levers the government has to achieve a quick reduction in child poverty, given the high poverty rates among larger families.
#Budget2025
This is one of the most cost-effective levers the government has to achieve a quick reduction in child poverty, given the high poverty rates among larger families.
#Budget2025
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
‘No topic is too difficult’: children’s series on life in communist East Germany wins an Emmy
‘No topic is too difficult’: children’s series on life in communist East Germany wins an Emmy
In Fritzi’s Footsteps tells story of a girl growing up in Leipzig who witnesses the fall of the Berlin Wall
www.theguardian.com
November 26, 2025 at 7:17 AM
‘No topic is too difficult’: children’s series on life in communist East Germany wins an Emmy
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Sen. Mark Kelly told NPR "it just doesn't make any sense" for him to face a military court-martial after he and other Democratic lawmakers released a video reminding active-duty troops that they don't have to follow illegal orders.
Sen. Mark Kelly: Trump and Hegseth don't 'understand the Constitution'
Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Ariz., and other congressional Democrats released a video last week letting service members know they can refuse illegal orders. Kelly is now being investigated for misconduct.
n.pr
November 25, 2025 at 11:17 PM
Sen. Mark Kelly told NPR "it just doesn't make any sense" for him to face a military court-martial after he and other Democratic lawmakers released a video reminding active-duty troops that they don't have to follow illegal orders.
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Impeach, convict, remove.
And if our current leaders won’t do it, they need to step aside for people who will.
And if our current leaders won’t do it, they need to step aside for people who will.
November 25, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Impeach, convict, remove.
And if our current leaders won’t do it, they need to step aside for people who will.
And if our current leaders won’t do it, they need to step aside for people who will.
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
The UK is losing up to £250m a day in lost tax revenue due to the economic impact of Brexit, House of Commons Library analysis for the Lib Dems suggests.
Brexit has blown a "black hole of [up to] £90 billion a year in the public finances" the party says. Even under lower estimates the hit is ~£65bn
Brexit has blown a "black hole of [up to] £90 billion a year in the public finances" the party says. Even under lower estimates the hit is ~£65bn
November 25, 2025 at 10:33 AM
The UK is losing up to £250m a day in lost tax revenue due to the economic impact of Brexit, House of Commons Library analysis for the Lib Dems suggests.
Brexit has blown a "black hole of [up to] £90 billion a year in the public finances" the party says. Even under lower estimates the hit is ~£65bn
Brexit has blown a "black hole of [up to] £90 billion a year in the public finances" the party says. Even under lower estimates the hit is ~£65bn
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
# We don't need no education #
www.theguardian.com/education/20...
www.theguardian.com/education/20...
Fifty higher education providers at risk of exiting market in England, MPs told
Regulator says 24 are at more immediate risk and may have to stop degree courses within next 12 months
www.theguardian.com
November 25, 2025 at 7:26 PM
# We don't need no education #
www.theguardian.com/education/20...
www.theguardian.com/education/20...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Just read this paper that revisits Weitzman’s 1974 question on when policymakers should use taxes versus quotas to correct externalities in stochastic networked economies. It shows if shocks are positively correlated (like a global energy price jump) linear taxes win...
November 25, 2025 at 7:18 PM
Just read this paper that revisits Weitzman’s 1974 question on when policymakers should use taxes versus quotas to correct externalities in stochastic networked economies. It shows if shocks are positively correlated (like a global energy price jump) linear taxes win...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Trevesia burckii produces otherworldly leaves the shape of snowflakes. This formation may be an adaptation to help sunlight filter down to lower leaves, helping the plant photosynthesize in shaded forests.
October 30, 2025 at 11:55 AM
Trevesia burckii produces otherworldly leaves the shape of snowflakes. This formation may be an adaptation to help sunlight filter down to lower leaves, helping the plant photosynthesize in shaded forests.
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
The tax canapes are beginning to be served with two sensible moves - sugar tax extension and local tourist taxes. If you want to get a clearer picture of the full meal on offer, @instituteforgovernment.org.uk Budget liveblog is your key resource. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 25, 2025 at 5:33 PM
The tax canapes are beginning to be served with two sensible moves - sugar tax extension and local tourist taxes. If you want to get a clearer picture of the full meal on offer, @instituteforgovernment.org.uk Budget liveblog is your key resource. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
📢 Thanks to our friends at Fudan University, the Chinese translation of The Economy 2.0: Microeconomics Units 1–3 is now complete! Read it on the CORE website: books.core-econ.org/the-economy/...
November 25, 2025 at 3:03 PM
📢 Thanks to our friends at Fudan University, the Chinese translation of The Economy 2.0: Microeconomics Units 1–3 is now complete! Read it on the CORE website: books.core-econ.org/the-economy/...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Europe must become strong
- & we can.
Very clear discussions in London on:
- Strategic Picture & Urgent Timelines
- Concept-Driven Military Change
- Embrace of New Technologies
- European Way of War
- Leveraging Our Strengths in Innovation & Industry
- Societal Readiness
- & we can.
Very clear discussions in London on:
- Strategic Picture & Urgent Timelines
- Concept-Driven Military Change
- Embrace of New Technologies
- European Way of War
- Leveraging Our Strengths in Innovation & Industry
- Societal Readiness
November 25, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Europe must become strong
- & we can.
Very clear discussions in London on:
- Strategic Picture & Urgent Timelines
- Concept-Driven Military Change
- Embrace of New Technologies
- European Way of War
- Leveraging Our Strengths in Innovation & Industry
- Societal Readiness
- & we can.
Very clear discussions in London on:
- Strategic Picture & Urgent Timelines
- Concept-Driven Military Change
- Embrace of New Technologies
- European Way of War
- Leveraging Our Strengths in Innovation & Industry
- Societal Readiness
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Masala’s writing is spare, almost clinical. There are no heroes or villains — only policymakers trapped in the fog of indecision.
www.linkedin.com/pulse/russia...
www.linkedin.com/pulse/russia...
If Russia Wins: Carlo Masala’s Chilling Blueprint for Europe’s Future
What happens if Russia wins in Ukraine — not just on the battlefield, but in the minds of Western leaders who stop believing deterrence matters? In If Russia Wins, Carlo Masala, professor of internati...
www.linkedin.com
November 25, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Masala’s writing is spare, almost clinical. There are no heroes or villains — only policymakers trapped in the fog of indecision.
www.linkedin.com/pulse/russia...
www.linkedin.com/pulse/russia...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Ich weiß nicht, ob es sich herumgesprochen hat, aber wegen der ministerialen Einflussnahme von Andi Scheuer auf die 5G Auktionen 2019 hat das Bundesverwaltungsgericht das VG Köln bestätigt: Alles rechtswidrig. BNetzA muss noch mal ran www.bundesnetzagentur.de/SharedDocs/P...
Bundesnetzagentur -
Presse - Zuverlässige Versorgung mit Mobilfunk
www.bundesnetzagentur.de
November 25, 2025 at 8:56 AM
Ich weiß nicht, ob es sich herumgesprochen hat, aber wegen der ministerialen Einflussnahme von Andi Scheuer auf die 5G Auktionen 2019 hat das Bundesverwaltungsgericht das VG Köln bestätigt: Alles rechtswidrig. BNetzA muss noch mal ran www.bundesnetzagentur.de/SharedDocs/P...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
What it looks like in the transcript versus what I actually said.
November 25, 2025 at 10:17 AM
What it looks like in the transcript versus what I actually said.
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Wow. Just wow. A decision in direct conflict with all the ideals of the Reith Lectures.
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 11:07 AM
Wow. Just wow. A decision in direct conflict with all the ideals of the Reith Lectures.
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 AM
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
I'm thrilled to announce that Talk Data to Me now has a podcast.
My first guest is Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics at Kings, who talked to me about recent problems with UK economic data & budget challenges for the Chancellor.
Available to listen now 🔊
open.spotify.com/episode/6Txz...
My first guest is Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics at Kings, who talked to me about recent problems with UK economic data & budget challenges for the Chancellor.
Available to listen now 🔊
open.spotify.com/episode/6Txz...
Are we flying blind on the economy? with Jonathan Portes
open.spotify.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:44 PM
I'm thrilled to announce that Talk Data to Me now has a podcast.
My first guest is Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics at Kings, who talked to me about recent problems with UK economic data & budget challenges for the Chancellor.
Available to listen now 🔊
open.spotify.com/episode/6Txz...
My first guest is Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics at Kings, who talked to me about recent problems with UK economic data & budget challenges for the Chancellor.
Available to listen now 🔊
open.spotify.com/episode/6Txz...
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Do I understand correctly that there is now a dispute within the administration about whether this "peace plan" was written by Russians or Americans?
November 23, 2025 at 2:42 AM
Do I understand correctly that there is now a dispute within the administration about whether this "peace plan" was written by Russians or Americans?
Reposted by Georg von Graevenitz
Guardrails anyone? Apparently not. With a sharing link for 3 non-subscribers. on.ft.com/44fyMfK
Insurers retreat from AI cover as risk of multibillion-dollar claims mounts
AIG, Great American and WR Berkley seek permission to limit liability from AI agents and chatbots
on.ft.com
November 23, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Guardrails anyone? Apparently not. With a sharing link for 3 non-subscribers. on.ft.com/44fyMfK