Jess Graves
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jessgraves.bsky.social
Jess Graves
@jessgraves.bsky.social
🧮 Statistics & data science
💊 Clinical trials & R&D & Epidemiology
💻 R enthusiast
👩‍💻 Stats @ loyal.com

https://jesslgraves.github.io
Lil’ Muncher (official name lol) update:
1) LM abandoned his post at 50% consumption but
2) Found a friend, LM2
3) And many more 😵‍💫

Consumption rates have become exponential and sadly all (visible) Munch Bunchers had to be evicted.
August 20, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Little muncher < 24 hrs later:

1) still on the same lead (! I was surprised by this!)
2) leaf consumption at 50%
August 19, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Soon to become this absolute beast
August 18, 2025 at 7:52 PM
I’m supposed to hate this little cutie, because it will eat up my tomato plant but…. Come onnnnn look at it 🥹🥹🥹🥹
August 18, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Time for one of my favorites:
August 8, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Absolutely stellar work here.
August 6, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Sometimes it's good to revisit the basics.

Part 1 of a series on using the binomial distribution to interpret & power studies on rare events -- inspired by Martin Bland's write-up, "Detecting a single event".

Spoiler: rare events are hard to find 😜
🔗: tinyurl.com/2hb9vh68

#rstats #stats101
August 6, 2025 at 1:48 AM
lol, aggressive but correct accusation 😭😅
July 30, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Eye opening read on how tech companies view us as renters and not buyers.
July 26, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Better late than never — here’s my #TidyTuesday submission from last week's data!

I built a #shiny app with #plotly to explore the @xkcd.com color survey results in both 🌈 RGB and HSV space🌈.

🖥️ App: jessgraves.shinyapps.io/xkcd-color-s...
🌐 Personal site: jesslgraves.github.io/apps/2025-07...
July 16, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Ugh I just LOVE this type of shit

nodaysoff.run
July 14, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Rewatching Us (2019) and the beginning is so absolutely delectable
July 14, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Fair point! This fig doesn’t scream “this is gonna cause bias”.

Sex is a covariate here, but the imbalanced sampling forces it to become a confounder.

In balanced designs, you don’t have to adjust for sex to get an unbiased age estimate (but it’s less powerful).

In imbalanced designs you do.
July 12, 2025 at 12:04 AM
I wrote a little post on a common issue:

You accidentally got a biased sample & now your results might biased be too.

How to recover? Can you?!

🔍 Confounding (yes, ice cream & crime is in there 😅)
📊 Model misspecification
💻 Code, plots, & takeaways

tinyurl.com/4af2td83

#rstats #episky #stats
July 11, 2025 at 3:32 AM
Duolingo? More like DuoCakes.
July 9, 2025 at 2:03 PM
I did in fact kill the bird
July 9, 2025 at 2:00 PM
The hot dog thing is one of my favorite examples of “ok so you quantified a supposed effect, so what” lol

I reference a similar finding in one of my blog posts.

jesslgraves.github.io/posts/2025-0...
July 3, 2025 at 3:37 PM
JFC Duolingo lol
June 25, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Well this was incredibly insightful and validating. 😅
June 19, 2025 at 3:32 AM
If I'm understanding correctly, you want to subset a vector of strings based on regex?

grep() setting the argument value = TRUE is pretty helpful!

#rstats
June 7, 2025 at 9:14 PM
It’s giving:
June 3, 2025 at 10:01 PM
Ooooh, I’m a fan of having the range of observed data on there!

Interactions = the effects change over the range of X — but many models predict beyond the observable range of X. For small but sig effects, if the effects aren’t sig over the observable data, then it’s not really an effect, right?
April 25, 2025 at 3:59 AM
For a split second I was like “ok, wait she’s on the right track! — oh. Nvm ☹️”
April 22, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Feeling so very honored and humbled to have my work shared by @rfortherestofus.com this week ✨😍💞✨!

🔗 Post can be found here: jesslgraves.github.io/posts/2025-0...
April 21, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Hellooooo Monday!
April 21, 2025 at 1:51 PM