Playing Dice With The Universe
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jefleppard.bsky.social
Playing Dice With The Universe
@jefleppard.bsky.social
44 followers 79 following 23 posts
A data nerd who loves music, movies, books, comics, games, math, and science.
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jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #FloridaPanthers vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupFinals series favours the Panthers in 53.3% of simulations

Prediction: Panthers in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Florida wins in 53.3% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most likely series outcome but 4-3 being almost as close.
June 6, 2025 at 3:00 AM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #DallasStars vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Stars in 63.1% of simulations

Prediction: Stars in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Dallas wins in 63.1% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most likely series outcome.
May 22, 2025 at 12:14 AM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #CarolinaHurricanes vs #FloridaPanthers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Lightning in 51.2% of simulations

Prediction: A close series!

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Carolina Hurricanes vs Florida Panthers Stanley Cup playoff series. Carolina wins in only 51.2% of the simulations, with 4-2, 4-3, 3-3-4, and 2-4 all being almost as likely.
May 20, 2025 at 11:46 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
Updated probabilities for this year's #StanleyCupPlayoffs after the second round. #EdmontonOilers the only hope for #Canada after losing both the Jets and Leafs over the weekend.

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Table showing all teams in the 2025 NHL playoffs and their predicted outcomes based on one million simulations of a data model based on regular season and first round playoff stats. Dallas Stars now have the highest likelihood of winning the cup with 37.51% odds, while at the other end the Edmonton Oilers now have a 16.98% chance.
May 20, 2025 at 10:52 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #WinnipegJets vs #DallasStars #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Jets in 67.3% of simulations

Prediction: Jets in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Stanley Cup playoff series. Winnipeg wins in 67.3% of the simulations, with 4-2 and 4-1 being the most common series outcomes.
May 7, 2025 at 11:01 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #VegasGoldenKnights vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Knights in 64.7% of simulations

Prediction: Knights in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Vegas wins in 64.7% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.
May 6, 2025 at 11:06 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #WashingtonCapitals vs #CarolinaHurricanes #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Capitals in 59.3% of simulations

Prediction: Caps in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes Stanley Cup playoff series. Washington wins in 59.3% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.
May 6, 2025 at 10:06 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #TorontoMapleLeafs vs #FloridaPanthers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Leafs in 53.0% of simulations

Prediction: Leafs in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Stanley Cup playoff series. Toronto wins in 53.0% of the simulations, with 4-2 and 4-3 being the most common series outcomes.
May 5, 2025 at 10:31 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
Updated probabilities for this year's #StanleyCupPlayoffs after the first round. #WinnipegJets still the best bet for #Canada after last night's Game 7 Double OT win!

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Table showing all teams in the 2025 NHL playoffs and their predicted outcomes based on one million simulations of a data model based on regular season and first round playoff stats. Winnipeg Jets still have the highest likelihood of winning the cup with 33.98% odds. Edmonton Oilers in last with only a 3.97% chance of going all the way.
May 5, 2025 at 10:23 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #TampaBayLightning vs #FloridaPanthers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Lightning in 68.5% of simulations

Prediction: Lightning in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Stanley Cup playoff series. Tampa Bay wins in 68.5% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.
April 22, 2025 at 6:18 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #LAKings vs #EdmontonOilers #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Kings in 61.2% of simulations

Prediction: Kings in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup playoff series. Washington wins in 61.2% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.
April 21, 2025 at 10:36 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #WashingtonCapitals vs #MontrealCanadiens #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Caps in 79.4% of simulations

Prediction: Caps in 5

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Washington Capitals vs Montréal Canadiens Stanley Cup playoff series. Washington wins in 79.4% of the simulations, with 4-1 being the most common series outcome.
April 21, 2025 at 10:24 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #VegasGoldenKnights vs #MinnesotaWild #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Knights in 77.9% of simulations

Prediction: Knights in 5

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild Stanley Cup playoff series. Vegas wins in 77.9% of the simulations, with 4-1 being the most common series outcome.
April 20, 2025 at 11:26 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for 2025's #TorontoMapleLeafs vs #OttawaSenators #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Leafs in 62.2% of simulations

Prediction: Leafs in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Stanley Cup playoff series. Toronto wins in 62.2% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.
April 20, 2025 at 9:07 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for the 2025 #CarolinaHurricanes vs #NJDevils #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Hurricanes in 55.1% of simulations

Prediction: 'Canes in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Carolina Hurricanes vs New Jersey Devils Stanley Cup playoff series. Carolina wins in 55.1% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.
April 20, 2025 at 4:00 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for this year's #DallasStars vs #ColoradoAvalanche #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Stars in 54.8% of simulations

Prediction: Stars in 6

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Stanley Cup playoff series. Dallas wins in 54.8% of the simulations, with 4-2 being the most common series outcome.
April 19, 2025 at 11:58 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for this year's #WinnipegJets vs #StLouisBlues #StanleyCupPlayoffs series favours the Jets in 78.7% of simulations

Prediction: Jets in 5

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics #Canada
Column chart showing the results of one million simulations of the 2025 Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues Stanley Cup playoff series. Winnipeg wins in 78.7% of the simulations, with 4-1 being the most common series outcome.
April 19, 2025 at 10:54 PM
jefleppard.bsky.social
My model's probabilities for this year's #StanleyCupPlayoffs. @winnipegjets.com in a great position to bring the cup back to #Canada for the first time since '93!

Raw data sourced from @hockey-reference.com
Visualized using @datawrapper.de

#DataViz #DataNerd #NHL #Hockey #SportsAnalytics
Table showing all teams in the 2025 NHL playoffs and their predicted outcomes based on one million simulations of a data model based on regular season stats. Winnipeg Jets have the highest likelihood of winning the cup with 26.19% odds. Montreal Canadiens in last with only a 0.25% chance of going all the way.
April 19, 2025 at 7:07 PM