JC Punongbayan
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jcpunongbayan.bsky.social
JC Punongbayan
@jcpunongbayan.bsky.social
Filipino economist. 🇵🇭 Asst Prof, University of the Philippines School of Economics. 👨‍🎓 Fmr Visiting Fellow, ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute. 🇸🇬 Columnist, Rappler.com. ✍️ Author, False Nostalgia. 📕 Educ, macro, econ history. 📈 jcpunongbayan.com 🌐
🎉 NEW BOOK CHAPTER 🎉

📘 Title: Counterfactuals in economics and allied social sciences: Methods, applications, and debates

👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: JC Punongbayan (UPSE) & Alfredo Paloyo (University of Wollongong)
November 20, 2025 at 9:52 AM
🎉 NEW JOURNAL PUBLICATION 🎉

Happy to share my latest journal article in Review of Development Economics (SSCI, Scopus), co-authored with UPSE Prof. Emeritus Emmanuel S. de Dios!
October 6, 2025 at 5:15 AM
[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT]

📘 Title: Martial law and the Philippine economy
👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: Emmanuel S. de Dios, Maria Socorro Gochoco-Bautista, & JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)
September 20, 2025 at 6:20 AM
[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT]

📘 Title: Much a Duterte about nothing: Continuity, complacency, and crisis in the Philippine economy (2016–23)
👨🏼‍🏫 Author: JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)
September 2, 2025 at 8:23 AM
[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT]

📘 Title: The role of power prices in structural transformation: Evidence from the Philippines
👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: Majah Ravago, Arlan Brucal, James Roumasset & JC Punongbayan
August 19, 2025 at 9:23 AM
[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT]

I had the honor of interviewing one of the country’s foremost economists: UPSE Prof. Emeritus Emmanuel S. de Dios.

🧵We talked about his intellectual journey (including his Marxist roots), the role of UPSE in society, and his advice for young economists.👇
July 24, 2025 at 2:01 AM
[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT]

📘 Title: The Philippine Journal of Development in the Early 21st Century (2002–2023)
👨🏼‍🏫 Author: JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)
📍 Journal: Philippine Journal of Development, Vol. 48, No. 2
July 9, 2025 at 4:10 AM
📕 NEW STUDY ON MICROFINANCE! 📕

We're proud to share our latest research based on a national survey of 1,900 Filipino households. 🧵👇
July 3, 2025 at 10:54 AM
📕 NEW UPSE WORKING PAPER! 📕

Excited to share this new study I co-wrote with my good friend Jeff Arapoc (@jaarapoc.bsky.social) of UPLB!

📘 Title: Is there a grade penalty for high school track and college degree mismatches? Evidence from the University of the Philippines

🧵Thread below:
July 1, 2025 at 9:15 AM
[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT]

📘 Supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, 2001–2024
👨🏼‍🏫 JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)
📍 Applied Economics Letters
📅 Published: 31 Mar 2025
🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1350...
June 26, 2025 at 1:19 AM
[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT]

Starting today, I’ll be more intentional about sharing my academic publications. It’s not enough for research to stay within journals. We need to make our work more accessible and relevant to a broader audience. Here’s the first. ⬇️
June 20, 2025 at 10:50 AM
🎉 NEW JOURNAL PUBLICATION 🎉

My latest journal article (titled "Supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, 2001-2024") just got published in Applied Economics Letters (SSCI and Scopus indexed)!
doi.org/10.1080/1350...
April 1, 2025 at 4:41 AM
My latest journal article, on the supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, has just accepted in Applied Economics Letters (SSCI, Scopus)! ❤️ This is also my first solo macroeconomics paper.
March 27, 2025 at 3:12 AM
Paid our respects to @enricovillanueva.bsky.social, our banker & economist friend who suddenly passed away on Feb 25 at the young age of 53. Tomorrow he will be laid to rest at a columbarium inside UPLB. We will miss you and your thoughtful takes on the economy, Rico!
March 1, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Next week, on Feb 5 at 2 PM, I will be giving this 2025 economic briefing exclusive to Rappler+ subscribers.
January 28, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Next week, on January 16, I'll be giving a webinar from the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore as a visiting fellow of their Philippine Studies Programme. I'll discuss recent developments in Philippine fiscal policy, especially concerning the 2025 budget.
January 10, 2025 at 6:29 AM
Here's my summary of the shady reallocations in the 2025 budget. Pork projects were inserted in the DPWH budget, crowding out important funds for social protection, education, and health. Foreign-funded projects were also relegated to unprogrammed funds. All this in the run-up to the 2025 polls. #PH
December 17, 2024 at 1:15 PM
Happy to see that my book #FalseNostalgia is the top 2 bestseller of Ateneo de Manila University Press in 2024! 🫶
December 12, 2024 at 6:31 AM
Yesterday I won an award for my first book, #FalseNostalgia!!! Thank you to Paragala: The Central Luzon Media Awards, Holy Angel University, and partner universities in Central Luzon for the Inkwell of Change Award! ❤️
December 6, 2024 at 11:53 PM
And that's a wrap for my first ever Martial Law Economics (Econ 118) class at UPSE! What a journey it has been!

A key takeaway is that studying the past allows us to make so much sense of the present. Another is that we can avoid many problems in the future if only we learned more about our past.
December 5, 2024 at 3:35 PM
So proud of my teammates in the UP Admissions Evaluation Committee! The University Council decided to defer a decision on the new formula for admissions, but I think this just needs further elaboration and explanation so that most UPD faculty can be convinced of the new, evidence-based methodology.
December 2, 2024 at 6:20 AM
Congrats to the newly weds, UP Stat Prof @pjacaytonphd.bsky.social and Melissa Barrientos-Cayton!!! ♥️♥️♥️ With us is Stat Prof and UP OAdms Director Kikko Delos Reyes. #MelAndPeteGetHitched
November 28, 2024 at 3:59 PM
Today we successfully released our new study on microfinance and consumption-smoothing in the Philippines, based on the pioneering Philippine Microfinance Survey that we developed and conducted!

Watch the recording here:
www.facebook.com/wesolveph/vi...

📸 WeSolve Foundation
November 25, 2024 at 8:44 AM
For my new friends on Bluesky, let me share that in 2023 my first book, False Nostalgia: The Marcos "Golden Age" Myths and How to Debunk Them, was published by Ateneo de Manila University Press. I debunk the myths claiming that the 🇵🇭's golden age happened during Marcos Sr's martial law (1972-1986).
November 24, 2024 at 1:21 AM
Selfie of the day at the National Communication Research Conference, where I talked about my book #FalseNostalgia. With Mona Magno-Veluz (aka Mighty Magulang), a TikTok sensation, and the legendary Direk Joey Reyes.
November 23, 2024 at 7:57 AM