Jay Mitchell
@jaymitchellwx.bsky.social
Creator/Main Contributor of 410_WX, Everything Weather In Baltimore & The Old Line State.
MD Born & Raised.
Reposts ≠ Endorsements
MD Born & Raised.
Reposts ≠ Endorsements
Extreme Cold Warning for Garrett & Far Western Allegany Counties until 11AM tomorrow morning. Wind chill values could be as cold as -25°F by early tomorrow morning. Frostbite to exposed skin in these conditions could happen in as little as 20-30 minutes!
January 27, 2026 at 1:26 AM
Extreme Cold Warning for Garrett & Far Western Allegany Counties until 11AM tomorrow morning. Wind chill values could be as cold as -25°F by early tomorrow morning. Frostbite to exposed skin in these conditions could happen in as little as 20-30 minutes!
Live Stream Starting At 1PM on YouTube . Updates on the ongoing winter storm, power outage updates, and a look at the very cold snap coming next week.
January 25, 2026 at 4:58 PM
Live Stream Starting At 1PM on YouTube . Updates on the ongoing winter storm, power outage updates, and a look at the very cold snap coming next week.
Good morning, everyone, the 06z (1am EST) model runs have come in for both the GFS & EURO models. Both are showing stronger correlation to the north & are lining up well as of now.
What does that mean? Higher snow totals possible. Of course, anything is subject to change.
What does that mean? Higher snow totals possible. Of course, anything is subject to change.
January 21, 2026 at 4:37 PM
Good morning, everyone, the 06z (1am EST) model runs have come in for both the GFS & EURO models. Both are showing stronger correlation to the north & are lining up well as of now.
What does that mean? Higher snow totals possible. Of course, anything is subject to change.
What does that mean? Higher snow totals possible. Of course, anything is subject to change.
The mid-morning run today moved the track back south, and can you guess what this afternoon's run did? Took the track back north once again.
This lack of consistency in the models is why I am not putting out preliminary totals until at earliest, Thursday. (8/9)
This lack of consistency in the models is why I am not putting out preliminary totals until at earliest, Thursday. (8/9)
January 21, 2026 at 12:47 AM
The mid-morning run today moved the track back south, and can you guess what this afternoon's run did? Took the track back north once again.
This lack of consistency in the models is why I am not putting out preliminary totals until at earliest, Thursday. (8/9)
This lack of consistency in the models is why I am not putting out preliminary totals until at earliest, Thursday. (8/9)
The GFS runs have greatly fluctuated in track. Sunday & early yesterday's model runs took the track mainly to the south. The model runs late yesterday took the line of fire back north towards Maryland. (7/9)
January 21, 2026 at 12:47 AM
The GFS runs have greatly fluctuated in track. Sunday & early yesterday's model runs took the track mainly to the south. The model runs late yesterday took the line of fire back north towards Maryland. (7/9)
The European Computer Model runs the last two days had the system track with the highest snowfall towards southern Maryland and into Virginia. Today's runs so far have had the track move more north, with big totals within both of our metropolitan zones - think 10"+ of snow. (6/9)
January 21, 2026 at 12:45 AM
The European Computer Model runs the last two days had the system track with the highest snowfall towards southern Maryland and into Virginia. Today's runs so far have had the track move more north, with big totals within both of our metropolitan zones - think 10"+ of snow. (6/9)
A strong cold front usher in another blast of cold air for this weekend, not quite as cold as the last two days though. This will ensure that everyone will see some form of winter precipitation, but mainly snow. (3/9)
January 21, 2026 at 12:30 AM
A strong cold front usher in another blast of cold air for this weekend, not quite as cold as the last two days though. This will ensure that everyone will see some form of winter precipitation, but mainly snow. (3/9)
Big line of severe storms approaching metro within the hour. Be weather aware!!
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9PM for most of Maryland.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9PM for most of Maryland.
June 19, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Big line of severe storms approaching metro within the hour. Be weather aware!!
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9PM for most of Maryland.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9PM for most of Maryland.
Weather Service in Sterling now adding a considerable tag with this storm in AA county.
Golf Ball sized hail & 70 MPH wind gusts are possible.
GET INDOORS NOW!
Golf Ball sized hail & 70 MPH wind gusts are possible.
GET INDOORS NOW!
June 18, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Weather Service in Sterling now adding a considerable tag with this storm in AA county.
Golf Ball sized hail & 70 MPH wind gusts are possible.
GET INDOORS NOW!
Golf Ball sized hail & 70 MPH wind gusts are possible.
GET INDOORS NOW!
Strong to severe storms entering into Metro Baltimore now. Be on the lookout for damaging winds, torrential rain & pea - nickel sized hail.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for far southern Baltimore City, northern Anne Arundel County, northern PG County, southern Howard County until 2:30PM
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for far southern Baltimore City, northern Anne Arundel County, northern PG County, southern Howard County until 2:30PM
June 18, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Strong to severe storms entering into Metro Baltimore now. Be on the lookout for damaging winds, torrential rain & pea - nickel sized hail.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for far southern Baltimore City, northern Anne Arundel County, northern PG County, southern Howard County until 2:30PM
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for far southern Baltimore City, northern Anne Arundel County, northern PG County, southern Howard County until 2:30PM