@jamal---james.bsky.social
Lab and computational scientist. Lives in south Tempe, AZ.
Tucson to Nogales. Santa Cruz precincts at the border were split on the issue.
November 20, 2024 at 3:03 AM
Tucson to Nogales. Santa Cruz precincts at the border were split on the issue.
The Phoenix core, including the south and west, overwhelmingly rejected the prop, everywhere else voted the opposite.
November 20, 2024 at 2:59 AM
The Phoenix core, including the south and west, overwhelmingly rejected the prop, everywhere else voted the opposite.
Arizona Prop 314, the initiative from the legislature that makes it a state crime to enter the US outside the ports of entry, passed easily. Here is the percentage difference statewide in voting precincts.
November 20, 2024 at 2:54 AM
Arizona Prop 314, the initiative from the legislature that makes it a state crime to enter the US outside the ports of entry, passed easily. Here is the percentage difference statewide in voting precincts.
A relative worked at MCTEC the last couple weeks. The employees received this list tonight of unofficial write-ins on Maricopa ballots.
November 17, 2024 at 2:27 AM
A relative worked at MCTEC the last couple weeks. The employees received this list tonight of unofficial write-ins on Maricopa ballots.
Tucson to Nogales
November 16, 2024 at 3:54 PM
Tucson to Nogales
Same map statewide
November 16, 2024 at 8:05 AM
Same map statewide
Where did Trump outperform Lake? Everywhere. What was the percentage margin of Trump - Harris minus Lake-Gallego. In the Valley it was the heavily Dem and Hispanic districts, in the south and west, where Trump significantly did better than Lake.
November 16, 2024 at 8:03 AM
Where did Trump outperform Lake? Everywhere. What was the percentage margin of Trump - Harris minus Lake-Gallego. In the Valley it was the heavily Dem and Hispanic districts, in the south and west, where Trump significantly did better than Lake.
Even a lot of heavily Republican area in the Valley voted in favor.
November 16, 2024 at 7:01 AM
Even a lot of heavily Republican area in the Valley voted in favor.
Now that the vote count is winding down, I was interested in how prop 139 did across Arizona. With such a large margin in favor, were there any precincts that voted no? Only a few rurals.
November 16, 2024 at 6:55 AM
Now that the vote count is winding down, I was interested in how prop 139 did across Arizona. With such a large margin in favor, were there any precincts that voted no? Only a few rurals.
Subtracting the last set of early vote maps in Maricopa from current results, there are slightly more than 10k uncounted early votes Sup Dist 3. The approx party split based on differencing EV maps is shown on the right. Valenzuela should take the lead by a couple hundred votes going into recount.
November 11, 2024 at 9:16 PM
Subtracting the last set of early vote maps in Maricopa from current results, there are slightly more than 10k uncounted early votes Sup Dist 3. The approx party split based on differencing EV maps is shown on the right. Valenzuela should take the lead by a couple hundred votes going into recount.
Yep. Maricopa
November 11, 2024 at 2:39 AM
Yep. Maricopa
Here's a map of the batch of votes that resulted in media calls for Gallego's Senate victory.
November 10, 2024 at 3:27 AM
Here's a map of the batch of votes that resulted in media calls for Gallego's Senate victory.
The first pic is the party composition of the counted early vote and the second pic is virtually all of the uncounted early vote. The shift to a D lead and more Indy's should be enough to put Austin and Blattman in the lead.
November 10, 2024 at 12:09 AM
The first pic is the party composition of the counted early vote and the second pic is virtually all of the uncounted early vote. The shift to a D lead and more Indy's should be enough to put Austin and Blattman in the lead.
AZ LD4 is one of the few areas of Maricopa County where the final early votes do not have a significantly reduced R minus D percentage. Counted votes on left, to be counted on right. The increased Indy vote provides an outside chance for Butler but Marsh may be in trouble.
November 9, 2024 at 10:11 PM
AZ LD4 is one of the few areas of Maricopa County where the final early votes do not have a significantly reduced R minus D percentage. Counted votes on left, to be counted on right. The increased Indy vote provides an outside chance for Butler but Marsh may be in trouble.
Simacek is a lock to win the top spot in AZ LD2. Which of the two R's take the 2nd spot is uncertain. The two pics below show the counted vote party affiliation and nearly all of the uncounted vote.
November 9, 2024 at 9:29 PM
Simacek is a lock to win the top spot in AZ LD2. Which of the two R's take the 2nd spot is uncertain. The two pics below show the counted vote party affiliation and nearly all of the uncounted vote.
Currently Maricopa has posted vote results for 1.51 million early votes. So, the next batch of votes to be posted will be between Map Set 1 and 2.
November 9, 2024 at 8:01 PM
Currently Maricopa has posted vote results for 1.51 million early votes. So, the next batch of votes to be posted will be between Map Set 1 and 2.
The difference between each set of maps is as follows.
November 9, 2024 at 7:58 PM
The difference between each set of maps is as follows.
I have been downloading data from Maricopa County maps whenever they post new data. They update once or twice a day. The maps have data on the party affiliation of early votes. Here are the ballot counts on relevant map updates.
November 9, 2024 at 7:54 PM
I have been downloading data from Maricopa County maps whenever they post new data. They update once or twice a day. The maps have data on the party affiliation of early votes. Here are the ballot counts on relevant map updates.
Lake lost the latest drop from Maricopa to Gallego 53-44. A lot of this batch is from South Phoenix. It's going to get ugly for Lake. I don't suppose she'll ever concede.
November 9, 2024 at 6:37 PM
Lake lost the latest drop from Maricopa to Gallego 53-44. A lot of this batch is from South Phoenix. It's going to get ugly for Lake. I don't suppose she'll ever concede.
MariCo added another 90k early votes today. Dem +21, Rep +39, and Other +28. On pace to match the 2020 early vote of 1.9m only if the election day early vote drop offs are similar to the 2022 290k.
November 3, 2024 at 1:22 AM
MariCo added another 90k early votes today. Dem +21, Rep +39, and Other +28. On pace to match the 2020 early vote of 1.9m only if the election day early vote drop offs are similar to the 2022 290k.
Maricopa County early vote now surpasses all of 2022.
November 2, 2024 at 2:04 AM
Maricopa County early vote now surpasses all of 2022.