Ingar Haaland
@ihaal.bsky.social
AI & economics. Professor at NHH. @Ingar30 at the other site. https://sites.google.com/site/ingarhaaland/
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
Congratulations to Stefanie Stantcheva (@s-stantcheva.bsky.social) of @harvard.edu, winner of the 2025 John Bates Clark Medal! #econsky www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...
Stefanie Stantcheva, Clark Medalist 2025
www.aeaweb.org
April 22, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Congratulations to Stefanie Stantcheva (@s-stantcheva.bsky.social) of @harvard.edu, winner of the 2025 John Bates Clark Medal! #econsky www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...
It's not perfect, but I'm pretty impressed at 4o's first take of me posing at a beach with a beach ball (same shirt as in the reference photo).
March 26, 2025 at 11:02 AM
It's not perfect, but I'm pretty impressed at 4o's first take of me posing at a beach with a beach ball (same shirt as in the reference photo).
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
Democracy dies in deference
February 26, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Democracy dies in deference
I don't think one is "better" than the other, traditional labs have many problems too. Plain vanilla experiments using convenience samples from "online labor markets" might become less relevant, but those are only a small subset of the broader category of online experiments
Very good reanalysis, that I hope opens a debate also on *lab* vs *online* experiments.
I strongly believe that labs are overall better.
I also think that labs will be *the only* real option going forward, the surge of AI-powered bots or simply subjects using AI to reply being inevitable.
I strongly believe that labs are overall better.
I also think that labs will be *the only* real option going forward, the surge of AI-powered bots or simply subjects using AI to reply being inevitable.
A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN.
The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper.
The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper.
The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
February 9, 2025 at 6:05 PM
I don't think one is "better" than the other, traditional labs have many problems too. Plain vanilla experiments using convenience samples from "online labor markets" might become less relevant, but those are only a small subset of the broader category of online experiments
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
Hello, Bluesky! ☀️
We fund frontier research in Europe—bold ideas, unexpected discoveries and science that shapes the future. So it’s only fitting we’ve landed here. Sorry for being late.
Follow us for updates on ERC funding, research policy, and our grantees' discoveries.
We fund frontier research in Europe—bold ideas, unexpected discoveries and science that shapes the future. So it’s only fitting we’ve landed here. Sorry for being late.
Follow us for updates on ERC funding, research policy, and our grantees' discoveries.
February 7, 2025 at 8:16 AM
Hello, Bluesky! ☀️
We fund frontier research in Europe—bold ideas, unexpected discoveries and science that shapes the future. So it’s only fitting we’ve landed here. Sorry for being late.
Follow us for updates on ERC funding, research policy, and our grantees' discoveries.
We fund frontier research in Europe—bold ideas, unexpected discoveries and science that shapes the future. So it’s only fitting we’ve landed here. Sorry for being late.
Follow us for updates on ERC funding, research policy, and our grantees' discoveries.
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
New: The largest medical A.I. randomized controlled trial yet performed, enrolling >100,000 women undergoing mammography screening
The use of AI led to 29% higher detection of cancer, no increase of false positives, and reduced workload compared with radiologists w/o AI thelancet.com/journals/lan...
The use of AI led to 29% higher detection of cancer, no increase of false positives, and reduced workload compared with radiologists w/o AI thelancet.com/journals/lan...
Screening performance and characteristics of breast cancer detected in the Mammography Screening with Artificial Intelligence trial (MASAI): a randomised, controlled, parallel-group, non-inferiority, ...
The findings suggest that AI contributes to the early detection of clinically relevant
breast cancer and reduces screen-reading workload without increasing false positives.
thelancet.com
February 4, 2025 at 3:00 AM
New: The largest medical A.I. randomized controlled trial yet performed, enrolling >100,000 women undergoing mammography screening
The use of AI led to 29% higher detection of cancer, no increase of false positives, and reduced workload compared with radiologists w/o AI thelancet.com/journals/lan...
The use of AI led to 29% higher detection of cancer, no increase of false positives, and reduced workload compared with radiologists w/o AI thelancet.com/journals/lan...
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
The new OpenAI model announced today is quite wild. It is essentially Google's Deep Research idea with multistep reasoning, web search, *and* the o3 model underneath (as far as I know). It sometimes takes a half hour to answer. Let me show you an example. 1/x
February 3, 2025 at 2:21 AM
The new OpenAI model announced today is quite wild. It is essentially Google's Deep Research idea with multistep reasoning, web search, *and* the o3 model underneath (as far as I know). It sometimes takes a half hour to answer. Let me show you an example. 1/x
I find it funny how these amateurs at OpenAI are basically begging us, their paying subscribers, to test out the competition, especially when the competition is *free* with *unlimited requests*
January 29, 2025 at 12:30 PM
I find it funny how these amateurs at OpenAI are basically begging us, their paying subscribers, to test out the competition, especially when the competition is *free* with *unlimited requests*
In my BSc course, "Incentives, Politics, and Behavior," I am introducing students to interesting topics at the research frontier and making them think critically about causal identification. Today, we're doing "From Extreme to Mainstream: The Erosion of Social Norms," which feels almost too relevant
January 21, 2025 at 7:38 AM
In my BSc course, "Incentives, Politics, and Behavior," I am introducing students to interesting topics at the research frontier and making them think critically about causal identification. Today, we're doing "From Extreme to Mainstream: The Erosion of Social Norms," which feels almost too relevant
After you've been "used" to o1, 4o feels like a degraded experience. It's much more *intelligent*: better answers, asks for clarifications when needed, and follows instructions. It might be overkill for some tasks, but I've started getting annoyed when I'm out of o1 requests
January 17, 2025 at 7:54 AM
After you've been "used" to o1, 4o feels like a degraded experience. It's much more *intelligent*: better answers, asks for clarifications when needed, and follows instructions. It might be overkill for some tasks, but I've started getting annoyed when I'm out of o1 requests
An interesting aspect of o1 vs. 4o is that the former *really* pays attention to your custom instructions, whereas 4o mostly doesn't care. Ask for short, pointed responses and o1 will deliver; 4o mostly doesn't notice. Important to change "legacy" instructions created for 4o
January 16, 2025 at 7:38 AM
An interesting aspect of o1 vs. 4o is that the former *really* pays attention to your custom instructions, whereas 4o mostly doesn't care. Ask for short, pointed responses and o1 will deliver; 4o mostly doesn't notice. Important to change "legacy" instructions created for 4o
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
**New working paper**
How does the under-representation of females in Economics affect the career trajectory of female Ph.D. students?
Sahar Parsa and I look at this in a new working paper by exploring sabbatical leaves taken by female professors at top-50 US Econ departments.
How does the under-representation of females in Economics affect the career trajectory of female Ph.D. students?
Sahar Parsa and I look at this in a new working paper by exploring sabbatical leaves taken by female professors at top-50 US Econ departments.
January 7, 2025 at 4:33 PM
**New working paper**
How does the under-representation of females in Economics affect the career trajectory of female Ph.D. students?
Sahar Parsa and I look at this in a new working paper by exploring sabbatical leaves taken by female professors at top-50 US Econ departments.
How does the under-representation of females in Economics affect the career trajectory of female Ph.D. students?
Sahar Parsa and I look at this in a new working paper by exploring sabbatical leaves taken by female professors at top-50 US Econ departments.
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
How can open-ended survey questions reveal deeper insights into economic behavior? Our completely revised paper (with new title!) explores recent developments, practical applications & best practices for designing & analyzing these powerful questions. Read more socialeconomicslab.org/research/wor...
Understanding Economic Behavior Using Open-ended Survey Data - Social Economics Lab
We survey the recent literature in economics measuring what is on top of people’s minds using open-ended questions. We first provide an overview of studies in political economy, macroeconomics, financ...
socialeconomicslab.org
January 7, 2025 at 2:18 PM
How can open-ended survey questions reveal deeper insights into economic behavior? Our completely revised paper (with new title!) explores recent developments, practical applications & best practices for designing & analyzing these powerful questions. Read more socialeconomicslab.org/research/wor...
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
Jeff Bezos never wanted this cartoon to become public.
He killed it, and as a result, pulitzer prize editorial cartoonist Ann Telnaes quit.
Make sure everyone sees this cartoon.
He killed it, and as a result, pulitzer prize editorial cartoonist Ann Telnaes quit.
Make sure everyone sees this cartoon.
January 4, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Jeff Bezos never wanted this cartoon to become public.
He killed it, and as a result, pulitzer prize editorial cartoonist Ann Telnaes quit.
Make sure everyone sees this cartoon.
He killed it, and as a result, pulitzer prize editorial cartoonist Ann Telnaes quit.
Make sure everyone sees this cartoon.
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
Want to add a few questions to the General Social Survey? The 2026 module competition is open now! gss.norc.org/content/dam/...
January 2, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Want to add a few questions to the General Social Survey? The 2026 module competition is open now! gss.norc.org/content/dam/...
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
New paper: We combine evidence from a survey (correlational), bank spending data, and online experiments to show that job loss increases risk taking.
Joint work with @abbysussman.bsky.social, Carlos Vazquez-Hernandez, Daniel O'Leary, and Jennifer Trueblood
Joint work with @abbysussman.bsky.social, Carlos Vazquez-Hernandez, Daniel O'Leary, and Jennifer Trueblood
Job loss increases financial risk-taking. People who lost their jobs during the pandemic were more likely to gamble and purchase more lottery tickets, on average, than people who had not lost their jobs. In PNAS: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
December 27, 2024 at 3:52 PM
New paper: We combine evidence from a survey (correlational), bank spending data, and online experiments to show that job loss increases risk taking.
Joint work with @abbysussman.bsky.social, Carlos Vazquez-Hernandez, Daniel O'Leary, and Jennifer Trueblood
Joint work with @abbysussman.bsky.social, Carlos Vazquez-Hernandez, Daniel O'Leary, and Jennifer Trueblood
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
Bluesky can be a fraught place to post about AI but it is worth noting that the buzz over o1 (& now o3) is not “hype.” We know o1 can actually do some very hard tasks (see my post) & o3 appears to represent a big further leap.
They aren’t AGI, but will matter. www.oneusefulthing.org/p/what-just-...
They aren’t AGI, but will matter. www.oneusefulthing.org/p/what-just-...
What just happened
A transformative month rewrites the capabilities of AI
www.oneusefulthing.org
December 22, 2024 at 10:05 AM
Bluesky can be a fraught place to post about AI but it is worth noting that the buzz over o1 (& now o3) is not “hype.” We know o1 can actually do some very hard tasks (see my post) & o3 appears to represent a big further leap.
They aren’t AGI, but will matter. www.oneusefulthing.org/p/what-just-...
They aren’t AGI, but will matter. www.oneusefulthing.org/p/what-just-...
Claude Fights Back, crazy experiment www.astralcodexten.com/p/claude-fig...
Claude Fights Back
...
www.astralcodexten.com
December 21, 2024 at 8:52 AM
Claude Fights Back, crazy experiment www.astralcodexten.com/p/claude-fig...
This is the best advice for AI: Learn how it might be useful for you. Requires experimentation and an open mind.
Just a reminder that none of the people who make LLMs, no matter how smart, actually know what specific tasks LLMs will be good or bad at. We are barely benchmarking these systems at all on any sorts of tasks.
You should explore in areas of your expertise to try to figure it out for your use cases.
You should explore in areas of your expertise to try to figure it out for your use cases.
December 16, 2024 at 9:55 AM
This is the best advice for AI: Learn how it might be useful for you. Requires experimentation and an open mind.
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
📣📣📣
#EconSky
Inspired by @tapiorasanen.bsky.social, here is a starter pack for economists conducting field experiments 🤓🫶
Please let me know who is missing – and share widely! 🚀
go.bsky.app/9hev4gN
#EconSky
Inspired by @tapiorasanen.bsky.social, here is a starter pack for economists conducting field experiments 🤓🫶
Please let me know who is missing – and share widely! 🚀
go.bsky.app/9hev4gN
December 12, 2024 at 9:02 PM
📣📣📣
#EconSky
Inspired by @tapiorasanen.bsky.social, here is a starter pack for economists conducting field experiments 🤓🫶
Please let me know who is missing – and share widely! 🚀
go.bsky.app/9hev4gN
#EconSky
Inspired by @tapiorasanen.bsky.social, here is a starter pack for economists conducting field experiments 🤓🫶
Please let me know who is missing – and share widely! 🚀
go.bsky.app/9hev4gN
GPT-4o keeps changing, but it's quite striking how eager it suddenly has become to have a conversation with me. Is it now explicitly programmed to create more "engagement" or is this an artifact of some other changes?
December 10, 2024 at 9:15 PM
GPT-4o keeps changing, but it's quite striking how eager it suddenly has become to have a conversation with me. Is it now explicitly programmed to create more "engagement" or is this an artifact of some other changes?
Using 4o with Canvas is such a pleasure for working with simple LaTeX documents
December 9, 2024 at 7:44 AM
Using 4o with Canvas is such a pleasure for working with simple LaTeX documents
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
Last week’s AI + Economics Workshop in Zurich brought together some of the most talented researchers working on AI applications in economic research. This is our third year, and we have seen so many developments in what using AI means in economic research
December 8, 2024 at 9:15 PM
Last week’s AI + Economics Workshop in Zurich brought together some of the most talented researchers working on AI applications in economic research. This is our third year, and we have seen so many developments in what using AI means in economic research
Reposted by Ingar Haaland
This thread will document the starter packs that I have followed. My feed has been delightful and informative.
November 28, 2024 at 12:12 PM
This thread will document the starter packs that I have followed. My feed has been delightful and informative.
Don't ask people about their taste in music, ask for their Spotify Wrapped (revealed preferences!). I'm pretty sure my top 5 artist combination this year is globally unique.
December 5, 2024 at 10:09 AM
Don't ask people about their taste in music, ask for their Spotify Wrapped (revealed preferences!). I'm pretty sure my top 5 artist combination this year is globally unique.