Ian
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ianscotgp.bsky.social
Ian
@ianscotgp.bsky.social
1.4K followers 470 following 39 posts
Working for a better West Dunbartonshire in a fairer, greener Scotland. Co-convenor of Dun Greens. Member @westdungreens.bsky.social.
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ianscotgp.bsky.social
I'm nodding in approval at it all 👏
August 29, 2025 at 10:05 AM
ianscotgp.bsky.social
I'm just glad I didn't get a #00b140 tattoo
August 29, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Reposted by Ian
ballotbox.scot
Projecting Ipsos 12-18 Jun into seats (changes vs 25-31 Jan 24(!) / vs 2021; both on new boundaries):

SNP ~ 59 (+2 / -4)
Lab ~ 23 (-18 / +2)
Reform UK ~ 17 (+17 / +17)
Green ~ 16 (+5 / +6)
Con ~ 7 (-7 / -24)
Lib Dem ~ 7 (+1 / +3)

(Projection caveats: ballotbox.scot/projections)
Map of projected seats. SNP win 59 constituencies, Conservatives 1, Labour 5, Lib Dems 5, Greens 3. Regional list seats are 0 SNP, 6 Conservative, 18 Labour, 13 Green, 2 Lib Dem, 17 Reform UK. Labour lead in West, Glasgow and Edinburgh and Lothians East, SNP lead in other five regions. Gallagher Index is 15.1 - a lower index means a more proportional result. Map of projected runners up and margins. SNP are second in 13 constituencies, Conservatives in 14, Labour in 41, Lib Dems in 3, Greens in 1, Reform UK in 1. Closest runner up for last list seat per region is Conservative in Highlands and Islands, North East and Central and West Lothian, Labour in West, Glasgow and Mid and Fife, Lib Dem in South, and Reform UK in Edinburgh and Lothians East. In percentage terms margins of victory are 13 constituencies below 5, 21 between 5 and 10, 27 between 10 and 20, 12 above 20.
July 1, 2025 at 4:15 PM
ianscotgp.bsky.social
Thanks, Lee! 💚
June 24, 2025 at 10:17 PM