iamgbox
iamgbox.bsky.social
iamgbox
@iamgbox.bsky.social
Reposted by iamgbox
We now predict a mean of 2.7C of warming in 2100.
Not the 4C we predicted a decade ago.

This is due to less exaggeration and better policy and technology.

However, 2.7C is still very bad and it could still become much worse.

At the same time we can bend the curve down further
I have a new paper in Dialogues on Climate Change exploring climate outcomes under current policies. I find that we are likely headed toward 2.7C by 2100 (with uncertainties from 1.9C to 3.7C), and that high end emissions scenarios have become much less likely.

journals.sagepub.com...
January 17, 2025 at 2:22 PM
Reposted by iamgbox
"I come to say to you this afternoon, however difficult the moment, however frustrating the hour, it will not be long...The arc of the moral universe is long but it bends towards justice."
January 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM