Kuminga's quest for game equilibrium is going well. Data from the first 6 games: -3.4% usage → +17.7% true shooting → +11.8 net rating
The efficiency frontier in action.
#NBASky #Warriors

Two Optionality Maker journeys: #OKC & #Nets through the lens of Total Cap Allocation & Win%. OKC peaked at .829 win% last season claimed the title. Will #Nets patience pay off? Different paths, same strategy.
#Nets #Thunder #OptionalityMakers #NBASky

The price of sacrificing optionality:
The NBA's current luxury tax bill is $323.7M.
The #Cavs lead at $149M, with the #Celtics ($39.5M) and #Mavs ($31M) right behind.
#NBASky #TheApronEra #NBACBA

Early Draft. Championship Optionality Index (COI) (Y-Axis) and Championship Expectation Score (CES) X-Axis

The #Thunder chose to exercise their optionality, not let it decay—and it worked perfectly. From $147M payroll in 2018 to rock bottom, then back to $165M+ as contenders. Teams have the options-will they exercise it?

medium.com/p/6f8443a27a44

#NBASky #Analytics #Economics

With a -7.04 Front Office Score, the #Warriors face a critical choice. Impatience can be costly, but the right path (the red line on the chart) offers hope. Championship cores demand strategic patience in the new CBA era.

#NBACBA #NBASky #Warriors #OKC

The CBA era's new math:
- #OKC may have cracked the dynasty code
- #Spurs #Pistons are playing the long game perfectly. Still aspiring to win.
- #Nets are furthest from their inflection point
-Contenders like #Nuggets #Cavs #Knicks face flexibility decisions soon

#NBASky #NBACBA #Economics

The gap between Optionality and Over/Under reveals more than projections — it reveals intent.
To understand leverage, start by understanding Optionality.

📖 Read more: medium.com/p/266c653eb893

#NBASKY #OptionalityVsWins #StrategicIntent

Fascinating Negotiation dynamic: Kings & Warriors both expect Kings to struggle in 2030. Kings want lottery protections to limit their loss. Warriors want it unprotected to maximize their gain. Same bet, opposite hedges. Sam Quinn Captures it well.

Lakers & OKC have similar sized gaps in their Valuation vs. TBE scores (e.g., Lakers ~0.37, OKC ~0.35). But their colors mean opposite things!

What is the story?

#NBATBE #Analytics #SportsBiz #NBASky

Ever wonder what drives NBA team potential? 🤔

This graph shows each team's Team Building Elasticity (TBE) Score & Projected Wins.

Higher TBE = more wins (0.54 correlation). OKC leads with 80.87 TBE & 62.5 projected wins!
TBE - a new way of thinking about your NBA team... 🏀

#NBASky #Analytics

he new CBA has created a fascinating paradox: Team Building Elasticity (TBE) - a team's financial flexibility - is often inversely related to winning. Our data reveals teams must choose between adaptability and immediate success.

2025’s Immediate Rush: NBA Free Agency opened with an unprecedented velocity. Teams moved quickly to secure high-value extensions and signings for players like SGA, Paolo, Kyrie, & Harden. But the surge was brief. The market then hit a sharp plateau, with transaction volume quickly falling off.

Contrast that with 2024 (blue). While not as impressive Day 1, it shows a sustained, gradual increase. 2025 lacks this fluidity, suggesting Draymond Green's observations were right: free agency as we knew it has changed.
#NBASky #NBACBA #NBAFreeAgency #NBAFriction

Looking closely at 2025 Free Agency activity, this chart shows the Daily NBA Transactions from June 28 to July 10. The velocity isn't a steady line; it's a series of fragmented peaks and valleys.
#NBASky #NBACBA #FreeAgency #DataViz

This initial graph shows the story of the NBA's new CBA. Look at the transaction velocity (cumulative $ committed over time) in 2025 (red) vs. 2024 (blue) Free Agency. Notice anything striking? 🤔
#NBA #NBACBA #FreeAgency #DataViz

DRAFT: The 10x5 Test (Work in Progress)
Created this framework to evaluate proposed Second Apron reforms. Each gets graded against 5 major risks.
What am I missing?
Any feedback is welcome. Goal: better competition, better product, smarter policy.
#NBACBA #SecondApron #Hooponomics #NBASky

The Second Apron as a Yield Curve