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Hooponomics
@hooponomics.bsky.social
160 followers 330 following 320 posts
Warriors Fan | CBA Watcher | Basketball Nerd
https://medium.com/@hooponomic
#NBASky
Exploring answers to the questions hidden in the economics of NBA and WNBA
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Hooponomics @hooponomics.bsky.social · 15d
Wembanyama. Mobley. Giannis. All phenomenal defensive athletes & worthy DPOY candidates. But Draymond Green's defensive IQ and versatility exist in a rarefied tier—one where he can consistently expand his efficiency frontier.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Warriors #NBA
The Defender’s Calculus: How Draymond Green Mastered the Defensive Efficiency Frontier
We recently explored the Offensive Efficiency Frontier, where scorers balance volume and efficiency. Defense has its own calculus: Activity…
medium.com
hooponomics.bsky.social
We tested our elasticity ratings yesterday, evaluating their predictive accuracy for lineup NTrtg. The model was directionally correct but showed a 6-9 point margin of error. We've refined the algorithm & will validate the improvements for tomorrow's GSW-OKC game.
#NBASky
November 11, 2025 at 8:28 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Forget "2-timelines." The only timeline that matters is Steph's championship window. Winning is really hard. Don't overlook proven experience for a theoretical future. Focus is on who helps the core win now. If you can't, sorry you're not a fit for the system.
#NBASky #Warriors
November 7, 2025 at 12:27 PM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Raging debates about a player's situational fit often rely on conventional metrics like Net Rating & +/-. Useful but lack context. Introducing"Elasticity Rating"—a new metric for whose game has a high probability of scaling at pivotal moments.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBA #NBASky
The Elasticity Rating: Discovering the Right Player for the Moment
The NBA tracks more player data today than at any point in its history. Advanced metrics quantify efficiency, spacing gravity, passing…
medium.com
November 4, 2025 at 8:28 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Kuminga's quest for game equilibrium is going well. Data from the first 6 games: -3.4% usage → +17.7% true shooting → +11.8 net rating
The efficiency frontier in action.
#NBASky #Warriors
November 1, 2025 at 8:23 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Wembanyama. Mobley. Giannis. All phenomenal defensive athletes & worthy DPOY candidates. But Draymond Green's defensive IQ and versatility exist in a rarefied tier—one where he can consistently expand his efficiency frontier.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Warriors #NBA
The Defender’s Calculus: How Draymond Green Mastered the Defensive Efficiency Frontier
We recently explored the Offensive Efficiency Frontier, where scorers balance volume and efficiency. Defense has its own calculus: Activity…
medium.com
October 30, 2025 at 10:29 PM
hooponomics.bsky.social
At 6'6", Draymond Green didn't just find his defensive frontier—he's spent a career expanding it.
How? By mastering the balance between activity and impact through pure intellect.
Celebrate the genius.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#Warriors #NBASky #NBAAnalytics
The Defender’s Calculus: How Draymond Green Mastered the Defensive Efficiency Frontier
We recently explored the Offensive Efficiency Frontier, where scorers balance volume and efficiency. Defense has its own calculus: Activity…
medium.com
October 30, 2025 at 12:15 PM
hooponomics.bsky.social
For the first 4 games, JK is operating at the peak of his efficiency frontier: ~21% Usage | ~70% True Shooting. His reformed approach is the blueprint: maximizing impact without forcing volume. Great start, continued success.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Warriors
Discovering the Efficiency Frontier: Where Impact Peaks
Every NBA player has an efficiency frontier — the point at which they maximize impact by knowing what they can do well and, importantly…
medium.com
October 28, 2025 at 10:09 PM
hooponomics.bsky.social
What separates a scalable star from a specialized finisher?
The slope of their efficiency frontier.
Gentle (Curry, Durant) vs. Steep (Kuminga, Marion).
Elasticity dictates optimal role.
Low elasticity = scale. High elasticity = specialize
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Kuminga
Discovering the Efficiency Frontier: Where Impact Peaks
Every NBA player has an efficiency frontier — the point at which they maximize impact by knowing what they can do well and, importantly…
medium.com
October 28, 2025 at 4:06 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
#Kuminga's production-possibility frontier reveals a clear sweet spot: <25% usage, (ideally ~20%) >60% efficiency. Unlocking it means doing less with the ball, more without it. Higher usage = lower efficiency.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#Warriors #NBASky
Finding Jonathan Kuminga’s Equilibrium
In basketball, as in economics, resources are finite and optimization is paramount. Twenty-three-year-old Jonathan Kuminga of the Golden…
medium.com
October 27, 2025 at 12:13 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Is <24% Usage Rate (ideally ~20%) the key to unlocking #Kuminga's All-Star potential? The data reveals his true equilibrium: elite efficiency & game-changing impact from less usage. His journey is one to root for & watch closely.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Warriors #NBAAnalytics
Finding Jonathan Kuminga’s Equilibrium
In basketball, as in economics, resources are finite and optimization is paramount. Twenty-three-year-old Jonathan Kuminga of the Golden…
medium.com
October 26, 2025 at 7:44 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
@sportico.bsky.social released #NBA franchise valuations. Average: $5.51bn. #Warriors: $11.33bn. These are largely appraisal values, not actual transaction prices. The path to a $100bn franchise requires structural innovation at the league level.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Lakers #Knicks
Is the $5.51Bn Average NBA Franchise Valuation an Illusion?
Today, Sportico reported that the average National Basketball Association (NBA) franchise is now worth $5.51Bn. The Golden State Warriors…
medium.com
October 17, 2025 at 6:00 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
The #NBA's Apron Era is here. 22 teams are now hard-capped, but only 8 have true freedom. Where does your team rank in the Optionality Power Rankings? #ThunderUp is the only top-5 team without a hard cap.

medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #NBA #Magic #Warriors #Lakers #Knicks
The Updated NBA Optionality Power Rankings:
The 6 Pathways That Distill The New Hierarchy
medium.com
October 15, 2025 at 2:51 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Apron Status + Draft Capital = Optionality Score.
We ranked all 30 franchises and used the data to answer 10 key questions on #Giannis, the #Knicks, the Thunder's dynasty, and more.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #NBA #Warriors #ThunderUp #Giannis #Knicks #BrooklynNets
Which NBA Franchises have the most flexibility for transactions?
Ranking Every Team by its Optionality Score (Apron Status + Draft Capital)
medium.com
October 13, 2025 at 10:47 PM
hooponomics.bsky.social
NBA draft picks are widely understood, yet can also be misunderstood. For instance, is 1 liquid pick worth more than 5 illiquid ones? Introducing the liquidity-volume matrix featuring the #Celtics, #Thunder, #Bucks and others.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #NBAAnalytics #NBA
NBA Draft Picks Can Be Liquid or Illiquid: How Can We Measure Their Currency?
Imagine two franchises: Franchise A holds two unprotected first-round picks. Franchise B possesses twenty picks, but half are conditional —…
medium.com
October 12, 2025 at 8:58 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
In the #Giannis sweepstakes, everyone's talking about the potential buyers. They're missing the whole story.
The #Bucks are the price setters. This is their privilege.
We break down the 3 paths and the price tag.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBA #NBASky #Giannis #Knicks #Warriors
The Bucks’ Privilege in Giannis Trade Discussions:
The Clock is Ticking, They are Price Setters not Takers
medium.com
October 11, 2025 at 4:24 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
A trade market needs a willing seller (#Bucks) AND a capable buyer.
But who is truly a capable buyer?
Our Giannis Trade Matrix maps the difference between interest and capability, revealing why a syndicate is inevitable.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#Bucks #Giannis #NBASky #Warriors #ThunderUp
The Giannis Trade Matrix: Why a Two-Team Deal May Be an Insurmountable Challenge
Crucial to this analysis is the assumption that a marketplace for a Giannis Antetokounmpo trade exists. This requires a willing seller —…
medium.com
October 10, 2025 at 10:09 PM
hooponomics.bsky.social
-Can the #Spurs actually land #Giannis?
-Do the #Warriors have a viable path?
-Would #okcthunder even be interested? This deal needs to be syndicated. I mapped the trade matrix for a few teams to find out why.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Bucks #Knicks #ThunderUp
The Giannis Trade Matrix: Why a Two-Team Deal May Be an Insurmountable Challenge
The clock is ticking in Milwaukee. Giannis Antetokounmpo is under contract for the 2025–26 ($54.12M) and 2026–27 ($58.45M) seasons, with a…
medium.com
October 10, 2025 at 8:30 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Ignoring salary matching, here are a few franchises that can package LIQUID draft capital for a #Giannis trade.
LIQUID = No protections, no conditions attached
#OKCThunder: 6 1sts, 10+ 2nds
#Warriors: 4 1sts
#Nets: 3 1sts, 8+ 2nds
#Spurs: 1 1st, 8+ 2nds
#NBASky #GiannisTrade
October 9, 2025 at 7:37 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Trading for Giannis likely requires a multi-team syndicate with different motivations. The equation is simple: one team provides the star appeal, others absorb the salary, & others supply the liquid draft capital.
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #Bucks #Knicks #NBA #Giannis
The “Giannis” Trade Syndicate:
Solving the NBA’s Two-Body Problem of Salary and Draft Capital
medium.com
October 9, 2025 at 3:10 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
She is the best!! Amazing news.
paulhudrick.bsky.social Paul Hudrick @paulhudrick.bsky.social · Oct 7
Ay! Good for Kate and a great decision by the USA Network.
sabreenajm.bsky.social Sabreena Merchant @sabreenajm.bsky.social · Oct 7
Some WNBA broadcast news -- Kate Scott (you might know her from the Pac 12 network, the 76ers, and more) will be the lead voice for USA Network in its debut into WNBA coverage. www.nytimes.com/athletic/669...
October 8, 2025 at 10:27 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Aspiring to trade for a superstar like Giannis isn't about ambition—it's about solving a complex equation of salary matching & draft capital liquidity. Welcome to the era of the trade syndicate. How does the calculus work?
medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBA #NBASky #Bucks #Knicks
The “Giannis” Trade Syndicate:
Solving the NBA’s Two-Body Problem of Salary and Draft Capital
medium.com
October 8, 2025 at 8:44 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
Protected NBA draft picks often become "phantom assets" that lose value for BOTH teams involved.
We analyzed the math behind the #MemphisGrizzlies - #BostonCeltics wait & the #Lakers-#utahjazz dilemma.

medium.com/@hooponomic/...

#NBASky #NBA #Warriors #Economics #NBAAnalytics
The NBA’s Phantom Asset Problem: Why Conditional Draft Picks Often Decay
What happens when protections are so stringent in NBA trades that picks never convey or decay over years of waiting? These are “phantom…
medium.com
October 7, 2025 at 9:05 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
A huge thank you to Mike Dunleavy Jr. and the entire front office for their incredible work building this roster. A tremendously exciting time for #DubsNation. Let's go win a championship!
#Warriors #NBASky
October 6, 2025 at 12:04 PM
hooponomics.bsky.social
The #BostonCeltics built today's championship core thanks to a 2013 trade with divisional rival #BrooklynNets. A deep dive into the hidden math of draft-pick value, where an initial projection of 1.2 became a franchise-altering 2.8. medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #NBA #NBATrades #Economics
The hidden math of draft-pick trades: When 1.2 became 2.8
In a previous post, we examined how the headline number of draft picks in a trade can be misleading. We explored it in the context of the…
medium.com
October 6, 2025 at 6:43 AM
hooponomics.bsky.social
"Unprotected" #NBA picks have zero conveyance risk.
Conditional picks are risky:
Illusion (misleading bundles)
Conveyance (may vanish)
Floater (unpinnable value)

medium.com/@hooponomic/...
#NBASky #NBA #DraftPicks #Trades #Warriors #SacramentoKings #PhoenixSuns
The hidden math of draft-pick trades in the NBA: Why five picks may mean two
It is common to read an NBA trade report like this: Player A is traded to Team B in exchange for Player C and five draft picks. In…
medium.com
October 2, 2025 at 7:54 AM