Ben Hanowell
@hanowell.me
Lover of event history analysis, causal inference, Bayesian inference, and their intersection. Also a lover of representative democracy. Posts are my own thoughts. This is a personal account. In medio tuttisimus ibis.
If you see this, post the most recent photo of yourself from your camera roll. No cheating!
(First haircut and beard trim after surviving cardiac arrest.)
(First haircut and beard trim after surviving cardiac arrest.)
May 7, 2025 at 6:27 AM
If you see this, post the most recent photo of yourself from your camera roll. No cheating!
(First haircut and beard trim after surviving cardiac arrest.)
(First haircut and beard trim after surviving cardiac arrest.)
The average American has three friends.
Wait.
Wait.
May 2, 2025 at 1:19 AM
The average American has three friends.
Wait.
Wait.
In some beautiful irony that I should have predicted, apparently the anesthesia procedures I underwent while receiving an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator may have been informed by my own father.
April 17, 2025 at 11:51 AM
In some beautiful irony that I should have predicted, apparently the anesthesia procedures I underwent while receiving an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator may have been informed by my own father.
We haven’t met a pretty arbitrary threshold everybody. We’re fine!
April 8, 2025 at 3:01 AM
We haven’t met a pretty arbitrary threshold everybody. We’re fine!
Never wonder why your PUMS data has so many 4's in it again.
February 28, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Never wonder why your PUMS data has so many 4's in it again.
Hiring rate in December will have to be **really high** for the characterization of a surge to be justified.
January 10, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Hiring rate in December will have to be **really high** for the characterization of a surge to be justified.
Same YoY growth as last month, basically, and in the medium term it's clear that YoY is **decelerating**.
January 10, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Same YoY growth as last month, basically, and in the medium term it's clear that YoY is **decelerating**.
Party in King County. Or a The Flash fan convention.
November 20, 2024 at 5:57 AM
Party in King County. Or a The Flash fan convention.
AI demon jack o lantern (far left) will decrease the marginal utility of YOUR SOUL!
October 21, 2024 at 2:02 AM
AI demon jack o lantern (far left) will decrease the marginal utility of YOUR SOUL!
I actually think if you draw this as a causal diagram, it potentially sheds even more light on the problem, at least for a dummy like me. Check this out:
February 8, 2024 at 1:50 AM
I actually think if you draw this as a causal diagram, it potentially sheds even more light on the problem, at least for a dummy like me. Check this out:
Cut my life into pieces
This is the Beige report
This is the Beige report
November 29, 2023 at 11:47 PM
Cut my life into pieces
This is the Beige report
This is the Beige report
And now for your moment of cross-posted zen
May 12, 2023 at 6:13 PM
And now for your moment of cross-posted zen
Friendly reminder per @jordannafa.bsky.social
May 10, 2023 at 3:31 AM
Friendly reminder per @jordannafa.bsky.social