@greatquarter.bsky.social
CFA who has heard ''Great quarter guys!'' on many conference calls.
"U.S. equity, options, and futures markets are open [today] but it’s a non-settlement day because today is a federal/bank holiday in observance of Columbus Day."
October 13, 2025 at 12:03 PM
"U.S. equity, options, and futures markets are open [today] but it’s a non-settlement day because today is a federal/bank holiday in observance of Columbus Day."
“October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.”
Mark Twain, Pudd'nhead Wilson
Mark Twain, Pudd'nhead Wilson
October 1, 2025 at 6:10 PM
“October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.”
Mark Twain, Pudd'nhead Wilson
Mark Twain, Pudd'nhead Wilson
S&P 500 up over 7% in Q3 2025! Wow. Great quarter guys!
September 30, 2025 at 8:00 PM
S&P 500 up over 7% in Q3 2025! Wow. Great quarter guys!
Howard Marks: “I’m certainly not ringing the alarm bells. The point is that things are expensive”
The current market reminds him of 1997, as the dotcom bubble was forming, from which the market continued to rally for 2.5 - 3 years.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
The current market reminds him of 1997, as the dotcom bubble was forming, from which the market continued to rally for 2.5 - 3 years.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Oaktree’s Marks Says Stocks Hint at ‘Early Days’ of a Bubble
US stocks are “in the early days” for a bubble, although the critical point for a correction has yet to come, Oaktree Capital Management LP co-founder Howard Marks cautioned.
www.bloomberg.com
August 20, 2025 at 11:34 PM
Howard Marks: “I’m certainly not ringing the alarm bells. The point is that things are expensive”
The current market reminds him of 1997, as the dotcom bubble was forming, from which the market continued to rally for 2.5 - 3 years.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
The current market reminds him of 1997, as the dotcom bubble was forming, from which the market continued to rally for 2.5 - 3 years.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Oops!
$AEO foot traffic falls nearly 9% YoY
But, at $12.53, AEO stock price is barely down, so maybe no one cares about foot traffic?
www.forbes.com/sites/conorm...
$AEO foot traffic falls nearly 9% YoY
But, at $12.53, AEO stock price is barely down, so maybe no one cares about foot traffic?
www.forbes.com/sites/conorm...
American Eagle Foot Traffic Dips After Sydney Sweeney Controversy
Foot traffic is down at American Eagle by almost 9% year-over-year for the week of Aug. 3, according to retail data firm Pass_by.
www.forbes.com
August 12, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Oops!
$AEO foot traffic falls nearly 9% YoY
But, at $12.53, AEO stock price is barely down, so maybe no one cares about foot traffic?
www.forbes.com/sites/conorm...
$AEO foot traffic falls nearly 9% YoY
But, at $12.53, AEO stock price is barely down, so maybe no one cares about foot traffic?
www.forbes.com/sites/conorm...
"There are a lot of statistics being floated around that then have the tag line: not since 2021. Many are quick to compare this market to the SPAC craze that peaked in the first few months of 2021, but I tend to believe markets rarely repeat something that is so recent...
July 21, 2025 at 1:34 AM
"There are a lot of statistics being floated around that then have the tag line: not since 2021. Many are quick to compare this market to the SPAC craze that peaked in the first few months of 2021, but I tend to believe markets rarely repeat something that is so recent...
Regulators and traders around the world will be devoting time this weekend to read SEBI's "Interim Order In the matter of Index manipulation by Jane Street Group."
Pages 12 to 51 describe in detail ONE DAY of alleged market manipulation that produced noteworthy profits.
Pages 12 to 51 describe in detail ONE DAY of alleged market manipulation that produced noteworthy profits.
July 4, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Regulators and traders around the world will be devoting time this weekend to read SEBI's "Interim Order In the matter of Index manipulation by Jane Street Group."
Pages 12 to 51 describe in detail ONE DAY of alleged market manipulation that produced noteworthy profits.
Pages 12 to 51 describe in detail ONE DAY of alleged market manipulation that produced noteworthy profits.
Ken Rogoff... said the U.S. is leaving itself little room to go on a borrowing binge when it really needs to.
“We typically look to borrow 20% or 30% of GDP in these big crises,” he said. “It’s not clear markets will tolerate that.”
(unlocked link 👇)
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
“We typically look to borrow 20% or 30% of GDP in these big crises,” he said. “It’s not clear markets will tolerate that.”
(unlocked link 👇)
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
July 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM
Ken Rogoff... said the U.S. is leaving itself little room to go on a borrowing binge when it really needs to.
“We typically look to borrow 20% or 30% of GDP in these big crises,” he said. “It’s not clear markets will tolerate that.”
(unlocked link 👇)
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
“We typically look to borrow 20% or 30% of GDP in these big crises,” he said. “It’s not clear markets will tolerate that.”
(unlocked link 👇)
www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
“Artificial intelligence is going to replace literally half of all white-collar workers in the US,” $F Chief Executive Jim Farley said in an interview last week with... Walter Isaacson at the Aspen Ideas Festival. “AI will leave a lot of white-collar people behind.”
unlocked👇
unlocked👇
July 3, 2025 at 8:43 PM
“Artificial intelligence is going to replace literally half of all white-collar workers in the US,” $F Chief Executive Jim Farley said in an interview last week with... Walter Isaacson at the Aspen Ideas Festival. “AI will leave a lot of white-collar people behind.”
unlocked👇
unlocked👇
S&P 500 up > 10% in Q2!
Great quarter guys!
Great quarter guys!
June 30, 2025 at 8:00 PM
S&P 500 up > 10% in Q2!
Great quarter guys!
Great quarter guys!
In his latest "Friday Market Wrap!" entitled "Bullish Signs Continue," Steve Eisman articulates his market views while reviewing the past week.
Steve Eisman: "as long as there's no trade war I'd buy
every single dip" 14:47
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRxo...
Steve Eisman: "as long as there's no trade war I'd buy
every single dip" 14:47
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRxo...
Bullish Signs Continue - The Friday Market Wrap!
YouTube video by Steve Eisman
www.youtube.com
June 29, 2025 at 12:55 PM
In his latest "Friday Market Wrap!" entitled "Bullish Signs Continue," Steve Eisman articulates his market views while reviewing the past week.
Steve Eisman: "as long as there's no trade war I'd buy
every single dip" 14:47
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRxo...
Steve Eisman: "as long as there's no trade war I'd buy
every single dip" 14:47
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRxo...
However, Joshua Cascade, a professor of private equity at the Yale School of Management, said the move to sell may reflect Yale’s assessment that private equity markets are entering a prolonged downturn.
Cascade noted that rising interest rates have slowed private equity fundraising
[link below]
Cascade noted that rising interest rates have slowed private equity fundraising
[link below]
June 12, 2025 at 1:32 AM
However, Joshua Cascade, a professor of private equity at the Yale School of Management, said the move to sell may reflect Yale’s assessment that private equity markets are entering a prolonged downturn.
Cascade noted that rising interest rates have slowed private equity fundraising
[link below]
Cascade noted that rising interest rates have slowed private equity fundraising
[link below]
"But now, it’s retail traders who are turning in droves to automated trading, building the kind of programs in their basements more associated with Wall Street banks than the Reddit thread r/wallstreetbets."
(link below)
(link below)
May 31, 2025 at 5:08 PM
"But now, it’s retail traders who are turning in droves to automated trading, building the kind of programs in their basements more associated with Wall Street banks than the Reddit thread r/wallstreetbets."
(link below)
(link below)
"Even those who are optimistic AI will unleash unthinkable cures and unimaginable economic growth fear dangerous short-term pain — and a possible job bloodbath during Trump's term."
(link follows)
(link follows)
May 31, 2025 at 11:25 AM
"Even those who are optimistic AI will unleash unthinkable cures and unimaginable economic growth fear dangerous short-term pain — and a possible job bloodbath during Trump's term."
(link follows)
(link follows)
20:55 "The arrival of this intelligence, both at the AI level, the AGI, which is general intelligence, and then superintelligence, is the most important thing that's going to happen in about 500 years, maybe 1,000 years..."
Eric Schmidt
www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...
Eric Schmidt
www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...
The AI Revolution Is Underhyped | Eric Schmidt | TED
YouTube video by TED
www.youtube.com
May 25, 2025 at 11:50 AM
20:55 "The arrival of this intelligence, both at the AI level, the AGI, which is general intelligence, and then superintelligence, is the most important thing that's going to happen in about 500 years, maybe 1,000 years..."
Eric Schmidt
www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...
Eric Schmidt
www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...
US stocks and bonds wildly underperforming international (Rest of World) in 2025
YTD, $UUP (a $ index) -7%
$SPY (80% of US capitalization) price underperforming $ACWX (85% of RoW) by 15 % points
$IEF (7 - 10 yr US Treasury) price underperforming $BWX (10 yr sovereign IG debt ex US) by 6 % pts
YTD, $UUP (a $ index) -7%
$SPY (80% of US capitalization) price underperforming $ACWX (85% of RoW) by 15 % points
$IEF (7 - 10 yr US Treasury) price underperforming $BWX (10 yr sovereign IG debt ex US) by 6 % pts
May 24, 2025 at 5:45 PM
US stocks and bonds wildly underperforming international (Rest of World) in 2025
YTD, $UUP (a $ index) -7%
$SPY (80% of US capitalization) price underperforming $ACWX (85% of RoW) by 15 % points
$IEF (7 - 10 yr US Treasury) price underperforming $BWX (10 yr sovereign IG debt ex US) by 6 % pts
YTD, $UUP (a $ index) -7%
$SPY (80% of US capitalization) price underperforming $ACWX (85% of RoW) by 15 % points
$IEF (7 - 10 yr US Treasury) price underperforming $BWX (10 yr sovereign IG debt ex US) by 6 % pts
30-year government bond yields are rising globally.
Bears watching.
chart: Bloomberg
Bears watching.
chart: Bloomberg
May 24, 2025 at 12:26 PM
30-year government bond yields are rising globally.
Bears watching.
chart: Bloomberg
Bears watching.
chart: Bloomberg
$SPY $QQQ $DJIA all up a bit
Treasury yields down across maturities from 1 month bill to 30 year bond
Seems impressive in the face of a 15% decline in $UNH
Does that suggest further gains in stocks?
Treasury yields down across maturities from 1 month bill to 30 year bond
Seems impressive in the face of a 15% decline in $UNH
Does that suggest further gains in stocks?
May 15, 2025 at 3:34 PM
$SPY $QQQ $DJIA all up a bit
Treasury yields down across maturities from 1 month bill to 30 year bond
Seems impressive in the face of a 15% decline in $UNH
Does that suggest further gains in stocks?
Treasury yields down across maturities from 1 month bill to 30 year bond
Seems impressive in the face of a 15% decline in $UNH
Does that suggest further gains in stocks?
UNH down 16.5% this morning. Will 10am buyers appear to try to push it up?
May 15, 2025 at 2:00 PM
UNH down 16.5% this morning. Will 10am buyers appear to try to push it up?
Yesterday, at the Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum in Riyadh, Trump said the US stock market is "going to go a lot higher." Viewing the statement in context, Trump seemed to be focusing on the long term, saying the driver for a higher market would be a pro-business foundation. But who knows?
May 14, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Yesterday, at the Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum in Riyadh, Trump said the US stock market is "going to go a lot higher." Viewing the statement in context, Trump seemed to be focusing on the long term, saying the driver for a higher market would be a pro-business foundation. But who knows?
“Most lawyers will get out of law school without knowing that it exists,” said Lawrence Friedman, a partner at law firm Barnes, Richardson & Colburn LLP who specializes in litigation at the court.
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
This Obscure New York Court Is Set to Decide Fate of Trump’s Tariffs
The Court of International Trade this week will consider the legality of the president’s “Liberation Day” levies.
www.wsj.com
May 11, 2025 at 1:27 PM
“Most lawyers will get out of law school without knowing that it exists,” said Lawrence Friedman, a partner at law firm Barnes, Richardson & Colburn LLP who specializes in litigation at the court.
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
I have a group of tweeps I respect hugely; I carefully weigh their views.
2 weeks ago, they went wildly bearish US stocks. Understandable b/c fundamental backdrop.
But so bearish they are now my contra. (Never happened b4.)
Poetry dictates a sharp rally b4 I get bearish. But set-up could be NOW.
2 weeks ago, they went wildly bearish US stocks. Understandable b/c fundamental backdrop.
But so bearish they are now my contra. (Never happened b4.)
Poetry dictates a sharp rally b4 I get bearish. But set-up could be NOW.
May 11, 2025 at 12:26 PM
I have a group of tweeps I respect hugely; I carefully weigh their views.
2 weeks ago, they went wildly bearish US stocks. Understandable b/c fundamental backdrop.
But so bearish they are now my contra. (Never happened b4.)
Poetry dictates a sharp rally b4 I get bearish. But set-up could be NOW.
2 weeks ago, they went wildly bearish US stocks. Understandable b/c fundamental backdrop.
But so bearish they are now my contra. (Never happened b4.)
Poetry dictates a sharp rally b4 I get bearish. But set-up could be NOW.
"Retail traders are the one group that seems unfazed by the Fed or Trump’s trade policies. When the market sold off sharply in late February, individual investors bought while institutions rotated out of US stocks at a near-record pace.
May 10, 2025 at 10:53 PM
"Retail traders are the one group that seems unfazed by the Fed or Trump’s trade policies. When the market sold off sharply in late February, individual investors bought while institutions rotated out of US stocks at a near-record pace.
BRKB down 2.2% pre-market following Buffett's announced plan to step down at end of year. Is the Buffett premium only 2%?
(Like many others, I am long.)
(Like many others, I am long.)
May 5, 2025 at 11:10 AM
BRKB down 2.2% pre-market following Buffett's announced plan to step down at end of year. Is the Buffett premium only 2%?
(Like many others, I am long.)
(Like many others, I am long.)
Hildebrandt's Ice Cream shop in Williston Park, NY (84 Hillside Avenue, not far from Belmont Park) sponsored Kentucky Derby winner Sovereign and jockey Junior Alvarado.
How does a single location shop do that?
Website says it is open until 9pm tonight.
www.instagram.com/reel/DJKkVMO...
How does a single location shop do that?
Website says it is open until 9pm tonight.
www.instagram.com/reel/DJKkVMO...
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May 3, 2025 at 11:37 PM
Hildebrandt's Ice Cream shop in Williston Park, NY (84 Hillside Avenue, not far from Belmont Park) sponsored Kentucky Derby winner Sovereign and jockey Junior Alvarado.
How does a single location shop do that?
Website says it is open until 9pm tonight.
www.instagram.com/reel/DJKkVMO...
How does a single location shop do that?
Website says it is open until 9pm tonight.
www.instagram.com/reel/DJKkVMO...