Gideon Clarke
@gideonclarke.bsky.social
Like my father before me, I have on more than one occasion been physically ejected from the corporate offices of the Chicago Cubs baseball club.
A timely reminder that if the Jays bring back Bichette long-term, which I’d love them to do, it has to be as a second baseman.
September 1, 2025 at 6:27 PM
A timely reminder that if the Jays bring back Bichette long-term, which I’d love them to do, it has to be as a second baseman.
Would’ve been a hell of a matchup.
August 26, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Would’ve been a hell of a matchup.
David Bednar: Pretty good for a guy who was sent to the minors earlier this year. Good value on all three types of pitches. Arb-eligible next year, FA after that. If you’re worried he might turn back into a pumpkin, you won’t want to pay what (even) the Pirates (should) ask for him.
July 26, 2025 at 8:47 PM
David Bednar: Pretty good for a guy who was sent to the minors earlier this year. Good value on all three types of pitches. Arb-eligible next year, FA after that. If you’re worried he might turn back into a pumpkin, you won’t want to pay what (even) the Pirates (should) ask for him.
Ryan Helsley: Very good, just not metahuman like the other guys. Gives up seriously hard contact. Free agent at the end of this season. Trade cost should be lower because of that, but everyone’s looking for relief help, so the Cardinals can probably name their price.
July 26, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Ryan Helsley: Very good, just not metahuman like the other guys. Gives up seriously hard contact. Free agent at the end of this season. Trade cost should be lower because of that, but everyone’s looking for relief help, so the Cardinals can probably name their price.
Emmanuel Clase: Everything I just said about Duran, but more so. $6.4M salary in ‘26, club options for $10M each in ‘27 and ‘28. What’s the price level above “king’s ransom”?
July 26, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Emmanuel Clase: Everything I just said about Duran, but more so. $6.4M salary in ‘26, club options for $10M each in ‘27 and ‘28. What’s the price level above “king’s ransom”?
Jhoan Duran’s Savant page: The model of “shutdown closer.” Arb-eligible starting next season, under team control through 2027. He’ll command a king’s ransom, but do the Blue Jays need a closer when they already have Hoffmann? Do they want to pay a huge price for what amounts to closer insurance?
July 26, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Jhoan Duran’s Savant page: The model of “shutdown closer.” Arb-eligible starting next season, under team control through 2027. He’ll command a king’s ransom, but do the Blue Jays need a closer when they already have Hoffmann? Do they want to pay a huge price for what amounts to closer insurance?
Joe Ryan: As good as it gets at the deadline. Legit Game 2 starter. Affordable and controlled through 2027. But the Twins would clean out the Jays’ farm system — think Nimmala *and* Yesavage, plus more. I don’t think the Jays need a near-ace in the rotation, especially not at an astronomical price.
July 25, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Joe Ryan: As good as it gets at the deadline. Legit Game 2 starter. Affordable and controlled through 2027. But the Twins would clean out the Jays’ farm system — think Nimmala *and* Yesavage, plus more. I don’t think the Jays need a near-ace in the rotation, especially not at an astronomical price.
Mitch Keller: Not as nice as you’d like to see. Getting out of Pittsburgh always makes a pitcher better, but that can take time, and the Jays would need to see a significant uptick from day one. Also controlled through ‘28. Merrill Kelly would be much cheaper and not that much worse.
July 25, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Mitch Keller: Not as nice as you’d like to see. Getting out of Pittsburgh always makes a pitcher better, but that can take time, and the Jays would need to see a significant uptick from day one. Also controlled through ‘28. Merrill Kelly would be much cheaper and not that much worse.
Edward Cabrera: Much better. But he’s also averaging just 4 ⅔ innings in his last 11 starts, and anyway, he’s team-controlled through ‘28 and would cost a fortune. Not a trade-deadline acquisition.
July 25, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Edward Cabrera: Much better. But he’s also averaging just 4 ⅔ innings in his last 11 starts, and anyway, he’s team-controlled through ‘28 and would cost a fortune. Not a trade-deadline acquisition.
Merrill Kelly, on the other hand: not that bad. FIP is 3.48, though he hasn’t pitched into the 7th inning since May. A rotation stabilizer, but not someone starting a playoff game.
July 25, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Merrill Kelly, on the other hand: not that bad. FIP is 3.48, though he hasn’t pitched into the 7th inning since May. A rotation stabilizer, but not someone starting a playoff game.
Seth Lugo’s Savant page. In one word: Nothankyou.
July 25, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Seth Lugo’s Savant page. In one word: Nothankyou.
This always blows my mind.
June 26, 2025 at 2:35 AM
This always blows my mind.
It’s a Bowden idea, so judge its plausibility accordingly, but I’d make this trade yesterday.
June 20, 2025 at 9:34 PM
It’s a Bowden idea, so judge its plausibility accordingly, but I’d make this trade yesterday.
It’s football season already?
May 11, 2025 at 2:48 AM
It’s football season already?
.319/.386/.528 vs LH in 163 AB, with strong underlying metrics. I’d be glad to have him back.
January 31, 2025 at 5:49 PM
.319/.386/.528 vs LH in 163 AB, with strong underlying metrics. I’d be glad to have him back.
If you want to understand what the Dodgers are doing, read this: www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article... Like the Mets, the Dodgers have decided to buy as much talent as they feel like. The guardrails are gone. This is how baseball works now.
![Excerpt from a Baseball Prospectus article about the NY Mets signing Juan Soto:
"[Steve] Cohen could do this every day if he wanted to. They all could. Until now they’ve chosen not to for their own reasons, but that restraint has now become old-fashioned. Soto has his price. The government has one. You do. They could do to us or for us what they did for him, but they won’t because we aren’t living trophies. They can squelch us but they won’t save us because we are without his value to them. They will have what they want, whenever they want, however they want. Today Juan Soto, tomorrow the world."](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:xdb7jnw3q2x5zpcqwiwkjlu2/bafkreihgv3zyqeletwocryp2263onuoaunqo6mvp6i5cxoonkg57yyxaee@jpeg)
January 21, 2025 at 4:53 PM
If you want to understand what the Dodgers are doing, read this: www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article... Like the Mets, the Dodgers have decided to buy as much talent as they feel like. The guardrails are gone. This is how baseball works now.
Also, this 👇 is a problem. If the Jays offered Vlad $340M *before* the Soto deal, and it wasn’t close to what Vlad wants, then he’s going to free agency. That’s not a competitive or even a particularly serious offer at this stage of the relationship.
January 8, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Also, this 👇 is a problem. If the Jays offered Vlad $340M *before* the Soto deal, and it wasn’t close to what Vlad wants, then he’s going to free agency. That’s not a competitive or even a particularly serious offer at this stage of the relationship.