George Hasanakos
@georgehasanakos.bsky.social
Polling and elections commentator. Director of Research at DemosAU. Follow for election and polling analysis.
Reposted by George Hasanakos
🚨 FIRST ON 6 NEWS: New polling from DemosAU shows the Coalition holding its lead in Victoria, while Brad Battin has increased his standing as preferred premier
The Greens are just 7% behind Labor in statewide upper house polling, while One Nation has risen from 2% to 11% since the last election
The Greens are just 7% behind Labor in statewide upper house polling, while One Nation has risen from 2% to 11% since the last election
November 5, 2025 at 5:06 AM
🚨 FIRST ON 6 NEWS: New polling from DemosAU shows the Coalition holding its lead in Victoria, while Brad Battin has increased his standing as preferred premier
The Greens are just 7% behind Labor in statewide upper house polling, while One Nation has risen from 2% to 11% since the last election
The Greens are just 7% behind Labor in statewide upper house polling, while One Nation has risen from 2% to 11% since the last election
Reposted by George Hasanakos
Our NSW State Poll out today. VI, PP & Top Issue.
Primaries (change since last election)
ALP 37 (nc)
L/NP 30 (-5.4)
Grn 13 (+3.3)
Oth 20 (+2.1)
TPP: ALP 59-41 (+4.7 to ALP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/labor-o...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #nswpol
Primaries (change since last election)
ALP 37 (nc)
L/NP 30 (-5.4)
Grn 13 (+3.3)
Oth 20 (+2.1)
TPP: ALP 59-41 (+4.7 to ALP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/labor-o...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #nswpol
Labor opens up big lead in NSW poll - DemosAU
NSW Labor has jumped out to a large lead over the NSW Liberal National Coalition, leading 59 - 41 per cent on a two-party preferred (TPP) basis, according to
demosau.com
October 29, 2025 at 6:45 AM
Our NSW State Poll out today. VI, PP & Top Issue.
Primaries (change since last election)
ALP 37 (nc)
L/NP 30 (-5.4)
Grn 13 (+3.3)
Oth 20 (+2.1)
TPP: ALP 59-41 (+4.7 to ALP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/labor-o...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #nswpol
Primaries (change since last election)
ALP 37 (nc)
L/NP 30 (-5.4)
Grn 13 (+3.3)
Oth 20 (+2.1)
TPP: ALP 59-41 (+4.7 to ALP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/labor-o...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #nswpol
Our Qld State Poll out today. VI, PP & issues.
Primaries (change since last election)
LNP 37 (-4.5)
ALP 29 (-3.6)
ON 14 (+6.0)
Grn 12 (+2.1)
Oth 8 (nc)
TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/lnp-mai...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #qldpol
Primaries (change since last election)
LNP 37 (-4.5)
ALP 29 (-3.6)
ON 14 (+6.0)
Grn 12 (+2.1)
Oth 8 (nc)
TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/lnp-mai...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #qldpol
LNP maintains clear lead over Labor in Queensland – new poll - DemosAU
The Crisafulli Government maintains a clear lead over Labor in Queensland on the eve of its one year anniversary, leading 54-46% on a two-party preferred
demosau.com
October 27, 2025 at 3:38 AM
Our Qld State Poll out today. VI, PP & issues.
Primaries (change since last election)
LNP 37 (-4.5)
ALP 29 (-3.6)
ON 14 (+6.0)
Grn 12 (+2.1)
Oth 8 (nc)
TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/lnp-mai...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #qldpol
Primaries (change since last election)
LNP 37 (-4.5)
ALP 29 (-3.6)
ON 14 (+6.0)
Grn 12 (+2.1)
Oth 8 (nc)
TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP)
Our post here: demosau.com/news/lnp-mai...
Full report here: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
#auspol #qldpol
Our SA state poll in conjunction with Ace Strategies is out today with a headline TPP of 66-34 Labor.
We also have Upper House VI, Issue questions and personal ratings.
Full report: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
We also have Upper House VI, Issue questions and personal ratings.
Full report: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
demosau.com
October 21, 2025 at 5:16 AM
Our SA state poll in conjunction with Ace Strategies is out today with a headline TPP of 66-34 Labor.
We also have Upper House VI, Issue questions and personal ratings.
Full report: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
We also have Upper House VI, Issue questions and personal ratings.
Full report: demosau.com/wp-content/u...
Reposted by George Hasanakos
#DemosAU/Ace Strategies SA (state) ALP 47 Lib 21 Green 13 others 19
2PP 66-34 to ALP.
Follows a YouGov 67-33 in May.
Insane numbers. An Opposition that should be helped by federal drag is in danger of oblivion.
#saparli
www.indailysa.com.au/news/opinion...
2PP 66-34 to ALP.
Follows a YouGov 67-33 in May.
Insane numbers. An Opposition that should be helped by federal drag is in danger of oblivion.
#saparli
www.indailysa.com.au/news/opinion...
Opinion: SA political poll tells tale of two parties with a crushing blow - News | InDaily, Inside South Australia
The team behind panini shop Aye Frank are bringing its little brother to Flinders Park, corner deli style with coffee, panini and pinball.
www.indailysa.com.au
October 21, 2025 at 3:15 AM
#DemosAU/Ace Strategies SA (state) ALP 47 Lib 21 Green 13 others 19
2PP 66-34 to ALP.
Follows a YouGov 67-33 in May.
Insane numbers. An Opposition that should be helped by federal drag is in danger of oblivion.
#saparli
www.indailysa.com.au/news/opinion...
2PP 66-34 to ALP.
Follows a YouGov 67-33 in May.
Insane numbers. An Opposition that should be helped by federal drag is in danger of oblivion.
#saparli
www.indailysa.com.au/news/opinion...
Our poll of Green held Brisbane, Griffith & Ryan shows a tight contest for the 3 seats that will have a big impact on the election result.
PV: LNP 36 (+0.4) Grn 29 (-1.7) ALP 29 (+2.7)
n: 1087
mode: internet panel
date: 7-15 Apr 25
Report + Methodology: demosau.com/news/the-bat...
#auspol
PV: LNP 36 (+0.4) Grn 29 (-1.7) ALP 29 (+2.7)
n: 1087
mode: internet panel
date: 7-15 Apr 25
Report + Methodology: demosau.com/news/the-bat...
#auspol
The Battle for Inner Brisbane - DemosAU
A new poll of Greens-held Brisbane seats points to a series of close contests, with a moderate swing towards Labor at the expense of the minor party and the
demosau.com
April 21, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Our poll of Green held Brisbane, Griffith & Ryan shows a tight contest for the 3 seats that will have a big impact on the election result.
PV: LNP 36 (+0.4) Grn 29 (-1.7) ALP 29 (+2.7)
n: 1087
mode: internet panel
date: 7-15 Apr 25
Report + Methodology: demosau.com/news/the-bat...
#auspol
PV: LNP 36 (+0.4) Grn 29 (-1.7) ALP 29 (+2.7)
n: 1087
mode: internet panel
date: 7-15 Apr 25
Report + Methodology: demosau.com/news/the-bat...
#auspol
My comments on why the personality of leaders is important to voters but not the driving force.
"What is driving voters’ intentions is habits of a lifetime, the state of the economy, how well things are going for them, where they come from." #auspol
www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/que...
"What is driving voters’ intentions is habits of a lifetime, the state of the economy, how well things are going for them, where they come from." #auspol
www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/que...
Politics is a popularity contest, but is it a personality hire?
Politicians aren’t known for their warmth and rizz, but surely character traits have some sway on voting habits.
www.brisbanetimes.com.au
April 11, 2025 at 5:35 AM
My comments on why the personality of leaders is important to voters but not the driving force.
"What is driving voters’ intentions is habits of a lifetime, the state of the economy, how well things are going for them, where they come from." #auspol
www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/que...
"What is driving voters’ intentions is habits of a lifetime, the state of the economy, how well things are going for them, where they come from." #auspol
www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/que...
Our NSW poll has a 2.4% TPP swing for the Fed L/NP.
State Labor is in decent position thanks to Minns and Greens absorbing vote losses
Federal TPP: L/NP 51-49
State TPP: ALP 54-46
Date: 24-26 Mar n: 1013
Full report and methodology statement here: demosau.com/news/nsw-pol...
#auspol #nswpol
State Labor is in decent position thanks to Minns and Greens absorbing vote losses
Federal TPP: L/NP 51-49
State TPP: ALP 54-46
Date: 24-26 Mar n: 1013
Full report and methodology statement here: demosau.com/news/nsw-pol...
#auspol #nswpol
NSW Poll: Coalition has Edge Over Labor in Federal Contest
The Liberal National Coalition holds an 51% to 49% lead over Federal Labor, according to DemosAU's latest NSW Poll.
demosau.com
April 1, 2025 at 4:38 AM
Our NSW poll has a 2.4% TPP swing for the Fed L/NP.
State Labor is in decent position thanks to Minns and Greens absorbing vote losses
Federal TPP: L/NP 51-49
State TPP: ALP 54-46
Date: 24-26 Mar n: 1013
Full report and methodology statement here: demosau.com/news/nsw-pol...
#auspol #nswpol
State Labor is in decent position thanks to Minns and Greens absorbing vote losses
Federal TPP: L/NP 51-49
State TPP: ALP 54-46
Date: 24-26 Mar n: 1013
Full report and methodology statement here: demosau.com/news/nsw-pol...
#auspol #nswpol
Which public institutions are trusted the highest to the lowest in Australia?
1. Bureau of Meteorology (net trust 53%)
2. CSIRO (47%)
3. Australian Electoral Commission (42%)
4. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) (35%)
5. Therapeutic Goods Administration (32%)
1/2
#auspol
1. Bureau of Meteorology (net trust 53%)
2. CSIRO (47%)
3. Australian Electoral Commission (42%)
4. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) (35%)
5. Therapeutic Goods Administration (32%)
1/2
#auspol
March 25, 2025 at 3:29 AM
Which public institutions are trusted the highest to the lowest in Australia?
1. Bureau of Meteorology (net trust 53%)
2. CSIRO (47%)
3. Australian Electoral Commission (42%)
4. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) (35%)
5. Therapeutic Goods Administration (32%)
1/2
#auspol
1. Bureau of Meteorology (net trust 53%)
2. CSIRO (47%)
3. Australian Electoral Commission (42%)
4. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) (35%)
5. Therapeutic Goods Administration (32%)
1/2
#auspol
Our Vic poll provides hope for Fed Labor and the State Libs.
The swing against Fed Labor is moderating.
State Libs will be buoyed by Battin's 43-30 Pref Premier lead.
State TPP: L/NP 52-48
Federal TPP: ALP 51-49
Date: 17-21 Mar n=1006
More here: demosau.com/news/victori...
#auspol #vicpol
The swing against Fed Labor is moderating.
State Libs will be buoyed by Battin's 43-30 Pref Premier lead.
State TPP: L/NP 52-48
Federal TPP: ALP 51-49
Date: 17-21 Mar n=1006
More here: demosau.com/news/victori...
#auspol #vicpol
Victorian Poll Shows Swing Against State and Fed Labor
DemosAU has released new Victorian polling today showing a 7% two-party swing against state Labor since the 2022 state election, with Jacinta Allan scoring
demosau.com
March 24, 2025 at 5:43 AM
Our Vic poll provides hope for Fed Labor and the State Libs.
The swing against Fed Labor is moderating.
State Libs will be buoyed by Battin's 43-30 Pref Premier lead.
State TPP: L/NP 52-48
Federal TPP: ALP 51-49
Date: 17-21 Mar n=1006
More here: demosau.com/news/victori...
#auspol #vicpol
The swing against Fed Labor is moderating.
State Libs will be buoyed by Battin's 43-30 Pref Premier lead.
State TPP: L/NP 52-48
Federal TPP: ALP 51-49
Date: 17-21 Mar n=1006
More here: demosau.com/news/victori...
#auspol #vicpol
Reposted by George Hasanakos
DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
Victorian Poll Shows Swing Against State and Fed Labor
DemosAU has released new Victorian polling today showing a 7% two-party swing against state Labor since the 2022 state election, with Jacinta Allan scoring
demosau.com
March 24, 2025 at 3:00 AM
DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
Victorian Poll Shows Swing Against State and Fed Labor
DemosAU has released new Victorian polling today showing a 7% two-party swing against state Labor since the 2022 state election, with Jacinta Allan scoring
demosau.com
March 24, 2025 at 3:00 AM
DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48
Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49
More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...
DemosAU WA pre-state election poll
TPP: ALP 57 Lib 43
PV: ALP 43 Lib 30 Nat 5 Grn 11 Oth 11
Pref Prem: Cook 47 Mettam 32
WA Right Direction?: Yes 49 No 30
Methodology Statement: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #waelection
TPP: ALP 57 Lib 43
PV: ALP 43 Lib 30 Nat 5 Grn 11 Oth 11
Pref Prem: Cook 47 Mettam 32
WA Right Direction?: Yes 49 No 30
Methodology Statement: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #waelection
March 7, 2025 at 1:16 AM
DemosAU WA pre-state election poll
TPP: ALP 57 Lib 43
PV: ALP 43 Lib 30 Nat 5 Grn 11 Oth 11
Pref Prem: Cook 47 Mettam 32
WA Right Direction?: Yes 49 No 30
Methodology Statement: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #waelection
TPP: ALP 57 Lib 43
PV: ALP 43 Lib 30 Nat 5 Grn 11 Oth 11
Pref Prem: Cook 47 Mettam 32
WA Right Direction?: Yes 49 No 30
Methodology Statement: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #waelection
Today the West Australian has published our pre-election poll of WA state voting intention which gives WA Labor a 57-43 lead over the Liberals on a two-party preferred basis, making it a third successive landslide. #auspol
March 7, 2025 at 12:36 AM
Today the West Australian has published our pre-election poll of WA state voting intention which gives WA Labor a 57-43 lead over the Liberals on a two-party preferred basis, making it a third successive landslide. #auspol
Done be fooled, the election result is not a foregone conclusion. Read my blog on why a Labor majority, a Coalition majority and a hung Parliament are all realistic options #auspol
demosau.com/news/austral...
demosau.com/news/austral...
Australian election result is not a foregone conclusion
The 2024 Australian election result is not a foregone conclusion, despite what you might have read.
demosau.com
March 5, 2025 at 2:27 AM
Done be fooled, the election result is not a foregone conclusion. Read my blog on why a Labor majority, a Coalition majority and a hung Parliament are all realistic options #auspol
demosau.com/news/austral...
demosau.com/news/austral...
Our Qld Federal Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 39 (-0.6) ALP 31 (+3.6) Grn 12 (-0.9) ONP 10 (+2.5) Oth 8 (-4.6) TPP: LNP 53-47 (+1.0 to ALP) #auspol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...
Queensland Poll shows modest improvement for Labor
The Queensland poll, conducted between February 10 and 14, showed the LNP leading Labor 53-47%, from 54-46% at the last federal poll.
demosau.com
February 19, 2025 at 2:04 AM
Our Qld Federal Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 39 (-0.6) ALP 31 (+3.6) Grn 12 (-0.9) ONP 10 (+2.5) Oth 8 (-4.6) TPP: LNP 53-47 (+1.0 to ALP) #auspol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...
Our Qld State Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 40 (-1.5) ALP 30 (-2.4) Grn 12 (+2.1) ONP 10 (+2.0) Oth 8 (-0.2) TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP) #qldpol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...
Queensland Poll shows modest improvement for Labor
The Queensland poll, conducted between February 10 and 14, showed the LNP leading Labor 53-47%, from 54-46% at the last federal poll.
demosau.com
February 19, 2025 at 2:03 AM
Our Qld State Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 40 (-1.5) ALP 30 (-2.4) Grn 12 (+2.1) ONP 10 (+2.0) Oth 8 (-0.2) TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP) #qldpol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...
Our latest federal voting intention poll is published in PollBludger www.pollbludger.net/2025/02/06/f... #auspol
Federal polls: Essential Research, DemosAU, Roy Morgan (open thread) - The Poll Bludger
Three new federal polls, one recording a slight improvement for Labor, the other two showing little change.
www.pollbludger.net
February 12, 2025 at 8:12 AM
Our latest federal voting intention poll is published in PollBludger www.pollbludger.net/2025/02/06/f... #auspol
I've started doing a series of videos on Instagram and TikTok with political, polling and election analysis. If you're interested in following please check me out at: georgeelections #auspol #politics #elections
February 7, 2025 at 7:01 AM
I've started doing a series of videos on Instagram and TikTok with political, polling and election analysis. If you're interested in following please check me out at: georgeelections #auspol #politics #elections
Our latest federal voting intention poll shows the primary vote and two party preferred vote below in graphs. It's a very close contest between Labor and the Coalition.
demosau.com/news/new-pol... #auspol #polling #elections
demosau.com/news/new-pol... #auspol #polling #elections
February 7, 2025 at 6:23 AM
Our latest federal voting intention poll shows the primary vote and two party preferred vote below in graphs. It's a very close contest between Labor and the Coalition.
demosau.com/news/new-pol... #auspol #polling #elections
demosau.com/news/new-pol... #auspol #polling #elections
Reposted by George Hasanakos
My last-election aggregate thinks this poll is pretty good for Labor but is cautious because it only has two polls by DemosAU; it cuts Coalition lead to 50.2-49.8.
February 7, 2025 at 3:24 AM
My last-election aggregate thinks this poll is pretty good for Labor but is cautious because it only has two polls by DemosAU; it cuts Coalition lead to 50.2-49.8.
Reposted by George Hasanakos
#DemosAU ALP 33 L-NP 38 Green 12 ON 7 others 10. 2PP (last-election prefs) 50-50 (that is low for Labor off those primaries, normally would be 50.8, could be rounding or minor party mix factors)
demosau.com/news/new-pol...
demosau.com/news/new-pol...
February 7, 2025 at 3:20 AM
#DemosAU ALP 33 L-NP 38 Green 12 ON 7 others 10. 2PP (last-election prefs) 50-50 (that is low for Labor off those primaries, normally would be 50.8, could be rounding or minor party mix factors)
demosau.com/news/new-pol...
demosau.com/news/new-pol...