Giovanni Capoccia
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gcapoccia.bsky.social
Giovanni Capoccia
@gcapoccia.bsky.social
Politics Professor, University of Oxford.

How liberal democracies respond to extremism and illiberalism. Liberal democracy and its others.

Washington DC, Oxford, Rome.

More info: https://users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/
Acrobatics of the Trumpian European radical right, episode #147. 🇮🇹 Lega leader Salvini: “20% tariffs is better than the 49% imposed on Cambodia, thank you Donald” (yes, literally)
April 3, 2025 at 9:55 AM
It is of course still early and a lot can still happen--but Marine Le Pen's possible exclusion from the presidential race, will certainly impact the realignment of *all* French parties behind presidential candidates. /End
March 31, 2025 at 11:56 AM
The possible recalibration of the moderate candidate towards the center, and away form the right, of the spectrum, might in turn affect the viability of a center-left candidature (such as Hollande's) independent from Melenchon's LFI. /6
March 31, 2025 at 11:56 AM
...and other candidates, who ared less on the right than Retailleau, such as Eduard Philippe, or Gabriel Attal, or even Gerard Darmanin, might emerge stronger in the race to represent the center and the center right ./5
March 31, 2025 at 11:56 AM
This might change the calculation of centrist and center-right candidates. Many were turning to interior minister Bruno Retailleau as the potentially strongest center-right candidate (over and above Wauquiez or Philippe, for example). But... /3
March 31, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Jordan Bardella, the most likely successor, will be weaker and more contested. But the RN has no other leading figure who can plausibly take Le Pen's place. /2
March 31, 2025 at 11:56 AM
It is of course still early and the situation can change significantly--but Marine Le Pen's possible exclusion from the presidential race, will certainly impact the realignment of all French parties behind presidential candidates. /End
March 31, 2025 at 10:50 AM
The possible recalibration of the moderate candidate towards the center, and away form the right, of the spectrum, might take away space from the viability of a center-left candidature (such as Hollande) that breaks away from the more radical parts of the left and Melenchon'sw LFI. /6
March 31, 2025 at 10:50 AM
...and other candidates, who ared less on the right than Retailleau, such as Eduard Philippe, or Gabriel Attal, or even Gerard Darmanin, might emerge stronger in the race to represent the center and the center right ./5
March 31, 2025 at 10:50 AM
This might even change the calculation of centrist and center-right candidates. Many were turning to interior minister Bruno Retailleau as the potentially strongest center-right candidate (over and above Wauquiez and Philippe, for example). But... /3
March 31, 2025 at 10:50 AM
Jordan Bardella, the most likely successor, will be weaker and more contested. But the RN has no other leading figure who can plausibly take Le Pen's place. /2
March 31, 2025 at 10:50 AM
This is just dystopian. There are still people who say that Trump is “not yet” an autocrat…
March 19, 2025 at 4:32 AM
RIP Prof. Martin McLaughlin, Emeritus Agnelli-Serena Professor of Italian Studies at Oxford and Magdalen College —a wonderful colleague, scholar, and friend, very welcoming to me as a newbie to Oxford and Magdalen more than 20y ago. He will be missed by many. www.magd.ox.ac.uk/wp-content/u...
January 25, 2025 at 3:56 PM
...and the potential effects of technology on democratic processes. To read in @franc-tireur.bsky.social ⬇️
December 12, 2024 at 3:23 PM
...the importance to construct narratives in support of democracy that reflect the identity and the aspirations of a large part of the electorate...5/6
December 12, 2024 at 3:23 PM
...the contradictions of a democratic regression that has at times the support of large number of voters, and what can be done to stop it... 4/6
December 12, 2024 at 3:23 PM
..the general crisis of liberal democracies in Europe, the US and Latin America...3/6
December 12, 2024 at 3:22 PM
Among the topics discussed in the interview, there is the political crisis in France, which gives a lot of visibility to the extremes and forces the moderates to coalitions very heterogeneous and unstable...2/6
December 12, 2024 at 3:22 PM
…et les effets potentiels de la technologie sur les processus démocratiques. Merci pour la très intéressante conversation, @benjaminsire.bsky.social
December 11, 2024 at 8:02 PM
…l’importance de construire des récits en soutien à la démocratie qui reflètent l’identité et les aspirations d’une grande partie de l’électorat…5/6
December 11, 2024 at 8:02 PM
…les contradictions d’une régression démocratique qui est poussée par une partie croissante d’électeurs, et ce qu’on peut faire pour l’arrêter et la renverser…4/6
December 11, 2024 at 8:02 PM
…la crise plus générale de la démocratie libérale en Europe, aux États-Unis, et en Amérique latine…3/6
December 11, 2024 at 8:02 PM
Parmi les arguments abordés dans l’entretien, il y a la crise politique en France, qui offre une grande visibilité aux extrêmes et contraint les modérés à rechercher des compromis difficiles et instables… 2/6
December 11, 2024 at 8:02 PM
There will be 6 months (until a new election is possible) of deep political uncertainty. Macron as President would ensure continuity in France-EU relations, but his power itself will be questioned and calls for early presidential elections will become louder. Something to watch very closely. /end
December 2, 2024 at 5:40 PM
Spoke at the Brussels Democracy Dialogue 2024 organised by the Friedrich Ebert Foundation, with several colleagues, MEPs and NGO representatives. Martin Schulz gave the closing remarks.
November 22, 2024 at 3:35 PM