Aaron Songer
@fulphl.bsky.social
Follow Fulham, Philadelphia Union and have interest in politics and the law.
Mildly interested in data and unusual expectations.
Mildly interested in data and unusual expectations.
Two points.
Democrats declined from 62% a year ago and only the second time Democrats pride has fallen below 50%. The last time being 2020.
Independents are also at a low point of 53%.
Democrats declined from 62% a year ago and only the second time Democrats pride has fallen below 50%. The last time being 2020.
Independents are also at a low point of 53%.
July 4, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Two points.
Democrats declined from 62% a year ago and only the second time Democrats pride has fallen below 50%. The last time being 2020.
Independents are also at a low point of 53%.
Democrats declined from 62% a year ago and only the second time Democrats pride has fallen below 50%. The last time being 2020.
Independents are also at a low point of 53%.
I’m not sure I’m surprised. It didn’t impact that bill went forward. Similar to Senator Collins. Show a mini protest but doesn’t really impact anything.
PA7, PA8, and PA10 are projected to have more constituents lose Medicaid (3x) than the number of votes they won by in 2024.
PA7, PA8, and PA10 are projected to have more constituents lose Medicaid (3x) than the number of votes they won by in 2024.
July 3, 2025 at 2:07 PM
I’m not sure I’m surprised. It didn’t impact that bill went forward. Similar to Senator Collins. Show a mini protest but doesn’t really impact anything.
PA7, PA8, and PA10 are projected to have more constituents lose Medicaid (3x) than the number of votes they won by in 2024.
PA7, PA8, and PA10 are projected to have more constituents lose Medicaid (3x) than the number of votes they won by in 2024.
What makes us believe that the EU is rushing. Trump doesn’t really have deadlines (TACO trade) and this language suggests that the Americans have negotiating leverage and can wait. I don’t believe this is the case.
June 21, 2025 at 2:17 PM
What makes us believe that the EU is rushing. Trump doesn’t really have deadlines (TACO trade) and this language suggests that the Americans have negotiating leverage and can wait. I don’t believe this is the case.
There are 7 federal buildings in LA. That’s 340 troops per building.
There are approximately 8,800 LA police officers to protect the entire city of 3.8 million people.
There are approximately 8,800 LA police officers to protect the entire city of 3.8 million people.
June 10, 2025 at 5:33 AM
There are 7 federal buildings in LA. That’s 340 troops per building.
There are approximately 8,800 LA police officers to protect the entire city of 3.8 million people.
There are approximately 8,800 LA police officers to protect the entire city of 3.8 million people.
While bananas are a stretch, we could make bandanas.
June 5, 2025 at 11:57 PM
While bananas are a stretch, we could make bandanas.
There is no deal. This documents the ‘general terms’…’shared desires’…’not legally binding’.
It’s a marketing gimmick.
It’s a marketing gimmick.
May 9, 2025 at 6:39 PM
There is no deal. This documents the ‘general terms’…’shared desires’…’not legally binding’.
It’s a marketing gimmick.
It’s a marketing gimmick.
Clients have many litigation needs. Most do not deal with the federal government, as is this case.
Firms that settled now face a loss of associates and clients as well as congressional inquiries.
Not a good deal.
Firms that settled now face a loss of associates and clients as well as congressional inquiries.
Not a good deal.
May 1, 2025 at 4:24 PM
Clients have many litigation needs. Most do not deal with the federal government, as is this case.
Firms that settled now face a loss of associates and clients as well as congressional inquiries.
Not a good deal.
Firms that settled now face a loss of associates and clients as well as congressional inquiries.
Not a good deal.
As I predicted back in January.
The tariff exemption listing is basically a target list for exporting countries.
(Yes I used export tariff in example, but same idea as licensing restriction.)
The tariff exemption listing is basically a target list for exporting countries.
(Yes I used export tariff in example, but same idea as licensing restriction.)
April 24, 2025 at 9:10 PM
As I predicted back in January.
The tariff exemption listing is basically a target list for exporting countries.
(Yes I used export tariff in example, but same idea as licensing restriction.)
The tariff exemption listing is basically a target list for exporting countries.
(Yes I used export tariff in example, but same idea as licensing restriction.)
WSJ analysis is pretty good, but I often find their best points are buried in a few sentences in the middle of the analysis like here.
The fact is that China does not have elections and the US does. China’s currently in the waiting game, not in the negotiating game.
www.wsj.com/world/china/...
The fact is that China does not have elections and the US does. China’s currently in the waiting game, not in the negotiating game.
www.wsj.com/world/china/...
April 24, 2025 at 5:57 PM
WSJ analysis is pretty good, but I often find their best points are buried in a few sentences in the middle of the analysis like here.
The fact is that China does not have elections and the US does. China’s currently in the waiting game, not in the negotiating game.
www.wsj.com/world/china/...
The fact is that China does not have elections and the US does. China’s currently in the waiting game, not in the negotiating game.
www.wsj.com/world/china/...
Another aspect is statute of limitations. It’s 3 years from original due date for corporate returns so a new administration won’t be able to retrospectively go after tax cheats.
April 23, 2025 at 11:09 AM
Another aspect is statute of limitations. It’s 3 years from original due date for corporate returns so a new administration won’t be able to retrospectively go after tax cheats.
Yet there was no public comment from the BIg10 when the administration initiated a task force focusing on four of their schools: Northwestern, UCLA, USC, and Minnesota (per NYT April 14 article).
While focus has been on Harvard and Columbia, no school is safe.
While focus has been on Harvard and Columbia, no school is safe.
April 21, 2025 at 7:33 PM
Yet there was no public comment from the BIg10 when the administration initiated a task force focusing on four of their schools: Northwestern, UCLA, USC, and Minnesota (per NYT April 14 article).
While focus has been on Harvard and Columbia, no school is safe.
While focus has been on Harvard and Columbia, no school is safe.
The thing is Powell is just one member of a 12 member committee (Federal Open Market Committee) that sets interest rates. For Trump to control interest rates he’d need to fire seven members and find seven replacements.
I suspect that’s the main dynamic saving Powell.
I suspect that’s the main dynamic saving Powell.
April 21, 2025 at 7:03 PM
The thing is Powell is just one member of a 12 member committee (Federal Open Market Committee) that sets interest rates. For Trump to control interest rates he’d need to fire seven members and find seven replacements.
I suspect that’s the main dynamic saving Powell.
I suspect that’s the main dynamic saving Powell.
From WSJ. I’m not sure how this doesn’t impact recruitment to the military.
No one wants to enter an organization that is in chaos. Particularly so when one’s life is literally on the line.
No one wants to enter an organization that is in chaos. Particularly so when one’s life is literally on the line.
April 21, 2025 at 11:32 AM
From WSJ. I’m not sure how this doesn’t impact recruitment to the military.
No one wants to enter an organization that is in chaos. Particularly so when one’s life is literally on the line.
No one wants to enter an organization that is in chaos. Particularly so when one’s life is literally on the line.
The last paragraph notes that the Executive must follow their previous order. After the Bukele Oval Office visit, that seems improbable.
It seems to continue to treat the government as good faith participants.
It seems to continue to treat the government as good faith participants.
April 20, 2025 at 9:19 AM
The last paragraph notes that the Executive must follow their previous order. After the Bukele Oval Office visit, that seems improbable.
It seems to continue to treat the government as good faith participants.
It seems to continue to treat the government as good faith participants.
Not getting a lot of attention, but the government also required that Harvard implement a mask ban. Interesting because we can see ICE agents are consistently using masks. Per the government, this should lead to penalties of not less than suspension.
April 16, 2025 at 5:22 PM
Not getting a lot of attention, but the government also required that Harvard implement a mask ban. Interesting because we can see ICE agents are consistently using masks. Per the government, this should lead to penalties of not less than suspension.
Heres my spell check. If I type Bukele I get Bullet as suggestion. Also, if I type the other word, it autocorrects to Blake for me. I’m not buying it.
April 14, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Heres my spell check. If I type Bukele I get Bullet as suggestion. Also, if I type the other word, it autocorrects to Blake for me. I’m not buying it.
This guy is fighting (effectively) for the rule of law while large law firms cave to the whims of the administration.
We will read about Mr Sandoval-Moshenberg in history books while the partners of large law firm lawyers will only show up in their country club membership records.
We will read about Mr Sandoval-Moshenberg in history books while the partners of large law firm lawyers will only show up in their country club membership records.
April 12, 2025 at 1:37 AM
This guy is fighting (effectively) for the rule of law while large law firms cave to the whims of the administration.
We will read about Mr Sandoval-Moshenberg in history books while the partners of large law firm lawyers will only show up in their country club membership records.
We will read about Mr Sandoval-Moshenberg in history books while the partners of large law firm lawyers will only show up in their country club membership records.
$6 trillion is $23,000 for every adult in the US.
April 5, 2025 at 12:54 AM
$6 trillion is $23,000 for every adult in the US.
Until there are 500 clients signing a brief, I’m afraid this is not enough. I’d take 10 clients.
April 5, 2025 at 12:34 AM
Until there are 500 clients signing a brief, I’m afraid this is not enough. I’d take 10 clients.
The lede is retaliatory tariffs, but then goes on to note restrictions on exports of rare earth elements.
Big difference between paying more for something and not being able to obtain it at all.
Countries will find choke points and stop the export of those intermediate goods.
tinyurl.com/37caeevm
Big difference between paying more for something and not being able to obtain it at all.
Countries will find choke points and stop the export of those intermediate goods.
tinyurl.com/37caeevm
April 4, 2025 at 12:35 PM
The lede is retaliatory tariffs, but then goes on to note restrictions on exports of rare earth elements.
Big difference between paying more for something and not being able to obtain it at all.
Countries will find choke points and stop the export of those intermediate goods.
tinyurl.com/37caeevm
Big difference between paying more for something and not being able to obtain it at all.
Countries will find choke points and stop the export of those intermediate goods.
tinyurl.com/37caeevm
From WSJ, it took a global pandemic to lose this much US market value in a day.
April 4, 2025 at 1:36 AM
From WSJ, it took a global pandemic to lose this much US market value in a day.
Called it back in February. It's the right decision.
www.cnn.com/2025/04/02/p...
www.cnn.com/2025/04/02/p...
April 2, 2025 at 3:59 PM
Called it back in February. It's the right decision.
www.cnn.com/2025/04/02/p...
www.cnn.com/2025/04/02/p...
WSJ Opinion page finds an individual with 3 employees that supports tariffs. I’m all for diverse views and I recognize that WSJ is against tariffs, but if a paper has to go to that level, perhaps don’t run it at all.
April 1, 2025 at 2:17 AM
WSJ Opinion page finds an individual with 3 employees that supports tariffs. I’m all for diverse views and I recognize that WSJ is against tariffs, but if a paper has to go to that level, perhaps don’t run it at all.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/24/u...
In response to this security breech, Congressman Fitzpatrick is going to write a letter to the DNI office. The Director of National Intelligence WAS ON the text chain. He was an FBI agent. He knows how to investigate.
This isn’t it.
In response to this security breech, Congressman Fitzpatrick is going to write a letter to the DNI office. The Director of National Intelligence WAS ON the text chain. He was an FBI agent. He knows how to investigate.
This isn’t it.
March 25, 2025 at 11:17 AM
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/24/u...
In response to this security breech, Congressman Fitzpatrick is going to write a letter to the DNI office. The Director of National Intelligence WAS ON the text chain. He was an FBI agent. He knows how to investigate.
This isn’t it.
In response to this security breech, Congressman Fitzpatrick is going to write a letter to the DNI office. The Director of National Intelligence WAS ON the text chain. He was an FBI agent. He knows how to investigate.
This isn’t it.
March 25, 2025 at 2:44 AM