Good question for a new and promising podcast: "How can we navitage out of this storm?". And in time.

#Overshoot

Copenhagen City Hall this morning:

"We are not the same, but it is important that we are equal."

Erasmus of Rotterdam, the super-humanist of Enligthenment, would certainly have clapped his pale hands.

Ny rapport om kemisk forurening i havet melder rød alarm om ødelæggende konsekvenser for livet i vores hav.

Tænketanken Hav: Vi har allerede fejlet. Har i alt for mange år lukket øjnene. Den forurening, der er her nu, den har vi. Den forsvinder kun ganske langsomt. Så vi skal have lukket for hanen

Worth noting also is the acceleration from the 2024 report to the 2025 version - due to a faster phasing-in of electric vehicles and trucks as well.

Luckely combined with the outphasing (in Denmark) of conventional vehicles...

Exactly, spot on and not only in research, goes for planning of most projects too, fx Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner.

Sticking to the detailed plan seems safe and nice, but its not. Based in Homo Economicus thinking, its planning for overconfidence bias, cost overruns, time delays and low quality.

Projects fail at a spectacular rate. In project management overconfidence and base-rate neglect is often identified as a primary reason that projects underperform.

A possible cure is to carry out pre-mortems and post-mortems...

...But lets welcome another new project tool: The mid-mortem

Decreased mortality risk of physical activity in the chart below roughly translates into a "Car health" zone to the left, a "Public transport health" zone moving in the right direction, due to walking and, a "Cycling health zone", right.

Q: Any new research on physical Car health costs for society

A homage for slow mobility from the Norwegian explorer, Thor Heyerdahl during his 8.000 km journey with Kontiki, back in 1947:

"The sea holds many surprises for those whose livingroom- floor levels with the water's surface and who drift slowly and silently forward".

Brand new mobility study of green transition scenarios with congestion charging in Capital Region of Copenhagen, 2035:

In scenario 1b, with key public transport investmens, full network of cycling superhighways plus congestion charges, the gains exceed the costs by EUR 11-12 billion/year.

Seems Danish government is content with the current level of traffic safety, premature deaths due to physical inactivity in mobility, energy inefficiency, social inequality, deserted streets with dying shops

New bill means full stop for all larger future speed reduction plans and pedestrian streets

1976: Club of Rome-"The archetype of the gene of Utopian environmentalists, which offers little more than the analysis of Malthus in the lurid technicolor of the computer"

2025: Carbon Dioxide concentration higher than predicted and higher than during the warmest period of the last 3 million years