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Canadian COVID Forecast: May 10-23, 2025

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, BC, NB, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: CAN, MB, NL, NS, QC, SK
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 134 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
This image shows gauges with the May 10-23, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: 10.0 - HIGH Alberta: 10.8 - VERY HIGH British Columbia: 12.2 - VERY HIGH Manitoba: 9.9 - HIGH New Brunswick: 13.5 - VERY HIGH Newfoundland and Labrador: 7.9 - HIGH North: 10.4 - VERY HIGH Nova Scotia: 8.9 - HIGH Ontario: 11.1 - VERY HIGH Prince Edward Island: 14.6 - VERY HIGH Quebec: 9.9 - HIGH Saskatchewan: 9.1 - HIGH A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
May 12, 2025 at 11:07 PM